
Price: Reciprocal tariff changes and potential new tariffs for Brazil, Canada, others
Trade issues do not seem poised to leave the headlines anytime soon. And as recent developments show, the administration’s tariff policy remains ever-changing.
Trade issues do not seem poised to leave the headlines anytime soon. And as recent developments show, the administration’s tariff policy remains ever-changing.
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices moved in opposite directions this week. After rebounding from a near five-year low in late June, Current Sentiment slipped again. At the same time, Future Sentiment climbed to a four-month high. Both indices continue to show optimism among buyers about their company’s chances for success, but suggest there is less confidence in that optimism than earlier in the year.
The difference: The spat with Turkey was a big deal for steel. This time, the 50% reciprocal tariff for Brazil – if it goes into effect as threatened on Aug.1 – hits everything from coffee and to pig iron. It seems almost custom-built to inflict as much pain as possible on Brazil.
Hot-rolled (HR) coil prices in the US ticked down this week but have fluctuated little over the past month. Stateside tags continue to trail imports from Europe, supported by Section 232 steel tariffs that were doubled in early June.
President Donald Trump on Wednesday said he would increase the “reciprocal” tariff on imports from Brazil to 50% effective Aug. 1. That could have big implications for pig iron.
Institute for Supply Management CEO Tom Derry will join SMU for our next Community Chat on Wednesday, July 23, at 11 a.m. ET (10 a.m. CT)
Sheet and plate prices slipped this week on so-so demand, sideways scrap prices, and chatter that certain mills were making unsolicited calls looking for tons.
The US ferrous scrap market settled sideways in July.
CRU analysts Thais Terzian and Frank Nikolic will be the featured guests on the next SMU Community Chat on Wednesday, July 9, at 11 am ET.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters that tariffs for Vietnamese imports to the US are 20% and "specific industries" have trade protections under the Section 232 tariffs.
I’m not sure how many different ways I can write that it’s been a quiet market ahead of Independence Day. There are variations on that theme. I’ve heard everything from the ominous “eerily quiet” to "getting better" and even the occasional “blissfully unaware” (because I’m enjoying my vacation).
It will be a shorter week as the United States celebrates Independence Day on Friday. But we won’t leave you high and dry.
David Schollaert presents this week's analysis of hot-rolled coil prices, foreign vs. domestic.
Steel buyers this week are lamenting weak demand, cautious buying, and So. Much. Uncertainty. I'm no doctor, but I suggest a dual diagnosis of extreme tariff fatigue and early-onset summer doldrums.
US manufacturing activity slowed for a fourth straight month in June. That's a sharp shift after trending up for most of Q1.
GE Appliances announces $490-million reshoring project in Kentucky.
CRU analysts Thais Terzian and Frank Nikolic will be the featured guests on the next SMU Community Chat on Wednesday, July 9, at 11 am ET. The live webinar is free for anyone to attend. A recording will be available to SMU subscribers.
Most economists will tell you that universal tariffs will result in inflation and reduce demand, causing a recession or worse. (After all, this is what happened in the 1930s). It is a rare product that is so essential that demand will not go down if prices go up.
A roundup of trade news, what's up with Brazilian pig iron, SMU's latest survey results and more to keep you up to date.
The Canadian steel industry is bracing for thousands of job losses because of US tariffs, the Canadian Steel Producers Association says.
After a hot start to June, the CME ferrous derivatives complex has cooled down.
“Contractors say that they're still busy, but their order books have gotten a lot softer or a lot more uncertain,” said Ken Simonson, chief economist for The Associated General Contractors of America.
CRU analysts Thais Terzian and Frank Nikolic will be the featured guests on the next SMU Community Chat on Wednesday, July 9, at 11 am ET.
Could the US and Mexico end up with a tariff-rate quota system?
“Economically, the business case for products made in the us has become a lot more attractive," the CEO told Fox Business.
We’ll have a lot to talk about because construction is at the intersection of so many of today’s hot-button issues. The main question: Will construction thrive or dive in the rest of ’25? (Nothing wrong with a rhyme, even in serious times.)
CSPA, USW disappointed in Canadian government's actions on steel.
The moves include reciprocal procurement restrictions, import quotas, and the formation of stakeholder task forces for aluminum industries.
US housing starts tumbled in May to a five-year low, according to figures recently released by the US Census Bureau.
The actions, which includes tariffs, are necessary to protect the Canadian market from global overcapacity. They are also needed because other countries have redirected material to Canada as a result of higher US tariffs, Carney said.