Category: Analysis

US rig activity has been historically weak since June, hovering just above multi-year lows for four months. Canadian counts have ticked lower in recent weeks but remain strong.

SMU is pleased to share this Insight piece from CRU economists. You can visit the CRU website to learn about its global commodities research and analysis services. The US presidential election will take place this Tuesday, Nov. 5, with opinion polls indicating a tight race between the two main contenders, Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump, […]

A roundup of this week's CRU aluminum news.

It’s official. U.S. Steel has made the first coil at Big River Steel 2 (BRS2). We congratulate the company and all the hard work that went into achieving that milestone. USS said BRS2 would begin shipments to customers this quarter. And we’re assuming those volumes will increase into Q1'25.

The premium galvanized-coil prices carry over hot-rolled (HR) coil continues to decline following the uptick seen earlier this year.

The theme of “unprecedented stability” in pricing predominated among galvanized steel buyers this month.

Earlier this week, SMU polled steel buyers on an array of topics, ranging from market prices, demand, and inventories to imports and evolving market events.

Cleveland-Cliffs is keeping its market price for HRC flat at $750/short ton with the opening of its December order book.

After closing the third quarter -3.84% on a y/y basis, our first look at fourth-quarter flatbed spot rates puts us virtually flat y/y, coming in at -0.68%.

Nucor said it is seeking $740 per short ton (st) for hot-rolled (HR) coil this week, up $20/st from last week. USS, meanwhile, is shooting for up $30/st for sheet products in general. (USS did not announce a target price for HR.)

SMU price indices declined again this week for all products other than hot-rolled sheet. Our indices have trended lower across October, falling as much as $75 per short ton (st) in that time.

Primetals Technologies renewed two long-term maintenance service contracts with steel producers in the Americas.

September marked the lowest month for steel imports so far this year, according to preliminary Census data released by the Commerce Department.

Domestic raw steel production recovered for the third consecutive week last week, according to the latest figures released from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). While up, output remains near one of the lowest rates recorded across 2024.

Nucor has raised its weekly consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil by $20 per short ton (st), now at $740/st as of Monday, Oct. 28.

We all know the American news cycle moves pretty fast. Viral today, cached tomorrow. So it is with the US presidential election on Tuesday, Nov. 5. People have election fatigue. They've moved on to other things like planning holiday parties, debating Super Bowl hopefuls, or even starting to look forward to our Tampa Steel Conference in February.

US plate prices are at their lowest level in almost four years, and less than half of what they were when they reached an all-time high of $1,940 per short ton (st) in May 2022.

SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Past survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]

US drill rig activity remains near multi-year lows, hovering within a narrow range over the last five months. Canadian counts have stabilized in recent weeks but remain near some the highest levels recorded in the past seven months.

SMU’s Current Sentiment Index suggests steel buyers are still optimistic about their businesses’ ability to succeed in today’s market, though their confidence has significantly declined compared to recent months.

In this Insight piece, CRU economists explore the possible economic effects of Trump's and Harris' agendas.

U.S. Steel plans to increase sheet prices by at least $30 per short ton (st). That's something we haven't seen for a while.

SSAB Americas plans to increase plate prices by at least $60 per short to, according to a letter to customers dated Thursday, Oct. 24. The higher prices are effective immediately for all new non-contract orders scheduled to ship on or after Dec. 2.

More than nine out of every 10 steel buyers polled by SMU this week reported that mills are flexible on prices for new orders. Negotiation rates have been strong since April and on the rise since early September.

The construction sector added 25,000 jobs in September, driven by labor shortages and improved wages, according to data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Mill lead times have declined on both sheet and plate products this week, according to steel buyers responding to our latest market survey,

U.S. Steel aims to increase spot prices for all new orders of flat-rolled steel by at least $30 per short ton (st), according to an internal letter dated Thursday.

SMU's hot-rolled (HR) coil price slipped this week to $685 per short ton (st) on average. We also adjusted our sheet momentum indicators to lower for the first time since July.

Steel prices ticked lower again this week for most of the products SMU tracks. Our indices have declined as much as $40 per short ton (st) across the last four weeks.

Steelmaking raw material prices strengthened for all but one product in October, a change in pace compared to recent months, according to SMU’s latest analysis.