Flat rolled prices were essentially unchanged this week with the exception of hot rolled coil which seems to have a few more “legs” in the product due to an improving energy market and limited foreign steel imports. The pressure on HRC right now is coming from the two new players: Big River Steel and Acero […]
In July 2015 the domestic steel mills filed Antidumping (AD) and Countervailing Duties (CVD) against seven countries: Brazil, China, India, Korea, Russia, Japan and the United Kingdom. The final determinations were affirmed by the ITC in late June (Japan, China) and early September (all others) 2016. Antidumping deposit rates ranged from zero (Japan & UK) […]
February 2017 steel exports totaled 827,559 net tons (750,750 metric tons), up 1.1 percent over January and up 6.2 percent from February 2016. This is the highest export level seen since June 2015 when 885,190 tons were exported out of the US. The total February export figure is above the three month moving average (average […]
For the week ending April 8, 2017, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated the U.S. steel industry produced 1,703,000 net tons of raw steel, a 0.7 percent increase over the previous week and a 0.3 percent increase over the revised rate from the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate […]
According to the latest data released from the U.S. Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute, apparent steel supply for the month of February 2017 was 8,501,854 net tons. Apparent steel supply is calculated by adding domestic steel shipments and finished US steel imports, then subtracting total US steel exports. February apparent […]
Flat rolled steel prices dropped significantly on the SMU Index while Platts had prices much more stable with hot rolled moving lower on Friday by $5 per ton and cold rolled, which had dropped earlier in the week, bouncing back to the same levels reported the week before last. We seem to be in a […]
Licensed data for March was reported by the Steel Import Monitoring System of the US Commerce Department on March 4th. An explanation of the methodology that we at SMU use to analyze the trade data is given at the end of this piece. All volumes in this analysis are reported in short tons. The total […]
We are continuing our investigation to quantify the players in the global trade of both HRC and CRC. We now have data for all of 2016. This information is sourced quarterly from the Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau in the UK. Data is not very current because many countries are slow in reporting but we […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals director of risk management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market and we believe he will provide insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures […]
Scrap dealers are pointing at the order book at the domestic mills as one of the main reasons why ferrous scrap prices inched back after the domestic mills initially pushed for shred and obsolete grades to be lower by $30 per gross ton. The mills could not get enough dealers to fill their scrap order […]
Based on the report filed by the U.S. Department of Commerce earlier this week, March 2017 foreign steel imports will be well above 3 million net tons and could be as high as 3.4 million tons. The last time we saw licenses at, or above, 3.4 million net tons was May 2015, the month prior […]
Cyclone Debbie passed through Australia’s metallurgical coal region last week doing minimal damage to the mines and ports but shut down railway lines. Damage to the major coal carrying Goonyella rail corridor was extensive and may take as long as five weeks to repair. Australian companies estimate 15-20 million tonnes of met coal may be […]
Flat rolled steel prices are showing themselves as being in a “mature” market having been on the rise for most of the 24 weeks since prices began their climb at the end of October 2016. We peaked out on hot rolled at $655 per ton over the last two weeks. This week we moved off […]
April ferrous scrap prices continue to be in negotiation as the domestic mills try to drive down the buying prices while the dealers try to hold on because they know the mill order books are still good – especially on the sheet mills. We learned from one of our sources in the Ohio Valley the […]
For the week ending April 1, 2017, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated the U.S. steel industry produced 1,692,000 net tons of raw steel, a 1.9 percent decrease over the previous week but a 0.4 percent increase over the revised rate from the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate […]
In August 2015, the U.S. steel mills filed antidumping and countervailing duty charges against seven countries: Australia, Brazil, Japan, the Netherlands, Turkey and the United Kingdom. Antidumping (AD) was found in each of the seven countries with duties of 3.73 percent to as high as 34.28 percent. Countervailing Duties (CVD) were found to exist in […]
The American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) recently reported final U.S. raw steel production estimates for the month of February 2017. The monthly estimates are different than the weekly estimates we report in our Tuesday issues; the AISI bases the monthly estimates on over 75 percent of the domestic mills reporting vs. only 50 percent […]
At the end of March the domestic steel mills cancelled any open portion of their ferrous scrap orders for March delivery with their scrap suppliers. This is always the first sign of an expectation of a drop in ferrous scrap prices once the negotiations begin in earnest for April delivery. Even with the tight supplies […]
SMU saw the flat rolled steel markets as flat to slightly down while SteelBenchmarker was mixed and Platts had hot rolled and cold rolled prices increasing by $10 per ton. Sounds like a confusing market but, when looking closer at the actual numbers it really isn’t. Benchmark hot rolled coil (HRC) was reported to average […]
The Keystone XL project was given official approval on March 24 after the State Department issued a presidential permit authorizing TransCanada to begin construction of its long-delayed pipeline. The decision was immediately met with criticism from numerous groups. America Made When the executive order was delivered in January opening the way for TransCanada to resubmit […]
We are continuing our investigation to quantify the players in the global trade of both HRC and CRC. We now have data for all of 2016. This information is sourced quarterly from the Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau in the UK. Data is not very current because many countries are slow in reporting but we […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel export prices and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices. We want our readers to note that we have made a decision to replace SteelBenchmarker as the primary data provider of foreign hot rolled coil prices. We […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel With HR spot hovering around $650/ST, HR futures prices declined in the latest week on modest trading volumes. Conflicting sharp price […]
Mesabi Metallics, the former Essar Steel Minnesota, is seeking permission from the District of Delaware Bankruptcy Court to recommence construction activities on its taconite mine and processing plant in Nashwauk, MN. A court hearing is scheduled for April 5. Earlier this month the court gave the company permission to renew labor agreements with construction workers […]
As we moved around the industry trying to gauge where flat rolled steel prices are this week, we found most buyers as being optimistic but perhaps not as many as two weeks ago. There seems to be a growing question about whether the market has “peaked” or not. Everyone wants to know where prices will […]
For the week ending March 25, 2017, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated the U.S. steel industry produced 1,725,000 net tons of raw steel, a 1.3 percent decrease over the previous week but a 2.4 percent increase over the revised rate from the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate […]
Steel Market Update is being asked whether Big River Steel’s production has been added to the raw steel capacity that the AISI uses when calculating capacity utilization rates. The short answer is we don’t think so. The AISI did make a change and increased quarterly capacity for the 4th Quarter 2016 from 30.7 to 31.2 […]
The American Institute for International Steel reports steel imports in February were 21.3 percent higher than a year ago. AIIS cautions against U.S. protectionist policies that may hurt manufacturers who depend on global value supply chains. The press release from AIIS follows: Falls Church, VA. March 27, 2017. Steel imports dipped 3.1 percent in February, […]
Last week, Steel Market Update (SMU) conducted our mid-March flat rolled steel market trends survey. We invited 670 people to participate in the gathering of data and opinions which resulted in our flat rolled steel market trends analysis presented to our Premium level members last Friday in the form of a Power Point presentation. It […]
Flat rolled steel prices saw modest moves this past week according to Steel Market Update (SMU) and Platts steel indexes. The two strongest products were cold rolled and galvanized each up $15 per ton for the week. Benchmark hot rolled pricing was up $5 per ton on Platts to $650 per ton and $10 per […]