The Chicago Business Barometer dropped nearly 7 points in July, falling to 58.9 from 65.7 in June and ending a run of five consecutive increases. All components of the indicator receded, but remained above 12-month averages. The July Barometer “should be viewed in the context of the underlying, upward trend in business sentiment witnessed since […]
The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 in July indicating continued manufacturing growth across the globe. During the last four months, manufacturing expansion has remained steady at 52.6 in June and May, and 52.7 in April. Growth in June was again led by European nations with eight of the ten best-performing countries in Europe. […]
This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing in the U.S. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, therefore we’ll be brief in this summary. We don’t expect these data sources to all point in the same direction. Our intention in summarizing them in […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that job creation has been positive in all regions of the country since Q3 2016, in the second-quarter data it released on Friday. Economy.com summarizes as follows: “The country’s labor market ended the second quarter on a strong note, with job growth in June that was stronger and more […]
Consumers are feeling better about the present economic environment and their expectations for the future, according to data from The Conference Board, which conducts a monthly Consumer Confidence Survey. Consumer confidence is the driver of consumer spending, which is the largest component of GDP and ultimately drives a large portion of steel consumption. The composite […]
Orders for durable goods jumped 6.5 percent in June for the largest increase since July 2014, said the Commerce Department on Thursday. Most of the gain, however, was due to a 131.2 percent surge in orders for commercial aircraft. Excluding aircraft and transportation, orders rose a more modest 0.2 percent. Core capital goods, which exclude […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices (FOB Domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals director of risk management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Metalforming companies in the U.S. and Canada are expecting steady business conditions during the next three months, but expressed concerns about potential Section 232 tariffs. The PMA Business Conditions Report, prepared by the Precision Metalforming Association, showed most members are not anticipating any changes in general economic activity or incoming orders in the coming months. […]
A mild recession will impact residential and nonresidential construction in 2019, predicts the HARDI/ITR July quarterly report. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called the Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and ITR Economics, an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide […]
Architectural firms report that billings for design services increased in June despite higher construction costs for the industry and a shortage of qualified labor. The June Architecture Billings Index, published by the American Institute of Architects, registered 54.2 following a score of 53.0 in May. Billings have been on a generally upward trajectory over the […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) sources in China have provided pricing guidance on a number of steel products coming out of China. We are seeing steel prices rising in China due to higher commodity prices (example: iron ore this morning was $69.70 per dry metric ton for 62% Fe, according to The Steel Index). The following […]
Light vehicle sales are slowing and Mexico continues to take production share from the U.S. Vehicle sales in the U.S. averaged 17.0 million units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in the first six months of 2017, down from 18.1 million in Q4 2016. March through June monthly sales were each below 17.0 million […]
U.S. industrial production is in Phase B, accelerating growth, but the latest HARDI/ITR quarterly construction forecast warns that the next phase of the cycle, slower growth, is on the horizon. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel HR futures prices have moved $12-$27/ST higher on very light trading volumes this past week. In spite of the higher HR […]
The value of the U.S. dollar is in free fall on the international foreign exchange markets. Through July 18, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar had depreciated by 7 percent since January 3. Comparing on a rolling three-month basis, the index has declined every single day since January 20. (Please see the end […]
China’s economic performance through the second quarter continued to be impressive. Chinese growth of steel production lagged the rest of the world in the first months of 2017, but the June output could indicate an unwelcome change. Once each quarter, we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed […]
Steel shipments by Canadian service centers in June totaled 392,600 net tons, down 5.4 percent from the previous month, but up 5.0 percent from June 2016, reports the Metals Service Center Institute (MSCI). On a daily basis, total shipments were 17,800 tons per day in June (a 22-day month), down from 18,900 tons per day […]
The following is excerpted from an article written in February 2014 by SMU Publisher John Packard and supply chain consultant Mario Briccetti of Briccetti Associates. Buyers and sellers of steel are often exposed to ethical questions in their everyday activities. Some of the issues that arise are fairly easy to discern as ethical or unethical, […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Index fell 10 points to 9.8 in July, after hitting a two-year high in June. New orders and shipments continued to grow but at a slower pace in New York State, dropping 4.8 points and 11.8 points, respectively. Delivery times were reported as longer in the July survey and inventory levels […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals director of risk management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Autoworkers in the U.S. and Canada say any renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement must lead to higher wages for all three countries, reverse trade deficits with Mexico, and create new manufacturing jobs in the U.S. and Canada. In a joint statement, the United Autoworkers and Canadian association UNIFOR noted that the trade […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices (FOB Domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and […]
Apparent supply is a proxy for market demand, and for hot rolled coil has been growing strongly this year. Imports continue to be an increasing factor in the sheet markets. There is a major difference in import market share for the four major sheet products. This report summarizes total steel supply from 2003 through May […]
The United States has called for a special meeting with South Korean trade officials to discuss modifying the U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement (KORUS). In a July 12 letter to the Korean trade minister, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer requested a special session in Washington to address problems with the agreement, including market access in Korea […]
John Packard, Publisher, Steel Market Update Today I spent a good portion of my time wandering around the United States and Canada soliciting information about flat rolled steel pricing, lead times, Section 232 and anything else steel buyers wanted to talk about. I thought the quote of the day was from a manufacturing company who […]
The European steel market and economy improved in the first half of 2017, but the EU is concerned that increasing protectionist policies may lead to “disastrous trade flow distortions.” Apparent steel consumption grew 3.1 percent year-over-year in the European Union during the first quarter of 2017, according to a new report by the European Steel […]
The U.S. employment situation continues to be good. Net job creation in June, including revisions for April and May, was 269,000, and the latest number of job openings was the highest on record. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) net job creation report released on Friday exceeded economists’ expectations and was another example of why […]
President Trump heads to Hamburg, Germany, today for the G20 summit with trade deficits and steel dumping on his mind. Trump is expected to receive strong opposition on any attempt to use the Section 232 steel investigation as leverage to influence trade talks. G20 leaders have been critical of the White House’s casting of national […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel If you compare prices between last week and this week, you will see the HR futures market has found support and […]