Lead times for coated steels and steel plate have extended a bit, but lead times for orders of hot rolled and cold rolled have seen little change in the past few weeks. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level. The longer the lead time, the busier the mill. […]
Negotiations between steelmakers and steel buyers were mixed in early January, depending on the product. Responses to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week indicate that talks over price have tightened considerably for plate, while loosening slightly for hot rolled and cold rolled orders. In the hot rolled segment, the majority of buyers (56 […]
November heating and cooling equipment shipments came in at 1.45 million units, up 0.4 percent from the same month one year ago, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). Residential and commercial storage water heater shipments rose 3.5 percent year over year to a combined 701,383 units; 684,329 units were […]
Written by: John Packard, President & CEO Steel Market Update Your customer will tell you what you need to know. The key is to listen. The key is to suppress your temptation to dominate the conversation. Brian Buckalew, Vice President of Business Development, Majestic Steel, recently wrote in a LinkedIn post: “People that are not […]
Steel buyers sentiment has seen a notable improvement as business conditions appear favorable to start the new year. Both the Current and Future Sentiment indexes had readings above +60 this week. The goal of SMU’s index is to measure how buyers and sellers of steel feel about their company’s ability to be successful today (Current […]
I was taking a deeper dive into some of the data compiled from last week’s flat rolled and plate steel market trends analysis. Having added about 50+ new companies to our survey, we now send invitations to 500+ individuals who actively participate in the flat rolled or plate steel markets. On purpose, we concentrate on […]
A leading indicator of nonresidential construction spending rose in December, but yearly data suggests construction spending may see a slowdown in 2020. The Dodge Momentum Index, a monthly measure of the initial report for nonresidential building projects in planning, gained 1.5 percent last month for a reading of 156.2. Planning for institutional projects rose 2.3 […]
I want to take a moment to thank John Walburg and the entire California Steel Industries team for their support of our Steel 101 workshop, which we just completed. The Fontana, Calif., steel mill tour was the highlight for many of our Steel 101 workshop attendees, and I want to personally thank CSI for allowing […]
John Packard is traveling…. As always, the holiday break put the brakes on buying, making it a challenge to gauge steel prices in the first week of 2020. But it appears the upward price momentum has continued into the New Year. Steel Market Update’s survey of the market over the past two days shows flat […]
The Congressional Budget Office expects the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement to result in higher than expected tariff revenue for the United States on motor vehicles and parts due to stricter rules of origin and labor value content requirements. Included in the revenue calculation is an estimated $3 billion in tariffs to be paid by automakers over the […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive level members. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Key Market Indicators showed a substantial improvement in market trends in the December data. This report is designed to be a big picture summary of data SMU has […]
Edmunds analysts estimate auto sales will top 4.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2019, pushing the total for the year to 17.1 million and the fifth year in a row above the 17 million mark. “The fact that new car sales have stayed this strong for this long really defies the odds, especially given […]
Construction spending improved in November, boosting optimism among contractors regarding new projects for 2020. Construction spending rose 4.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.324 trillion from November 2018 to November 2019, while industry employment grew in 63 percent or 226 out of 358 metro areas, according to a new analysis of federal […]
For those of you who stretched out the Christmas, Hanukkah and New Year’s Holidays and are just returning to your offices – Happy New Year and welcome to the decade that promises to make the last 10 years look tame. Steel Market Update will return to our normal market analysis schedule this week, and we […]
S&P Dow Jones reported that the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index gained 3.3 percent in October, compared to 3.2 percent in the previous month. The 20-City composite posted a 2.2 percent year-over-year gain, while the 10-City composite rose 2.2 percent. “October’s U.S. housing data continue to be reassuring,” says Craig J. […]
Key Market Indicators showed a substantial improvement in market trends in the December data. This report is designed to be a big picture summary of data SMU has reported in detail during the month. It summarizes 36 data streams that describe the state of the steel market and provide forward guidance for steel buyers and […]
First issue of the New Year. For that matter, today is the first issue of the new decade. It will probably take awhile to get used to 2020 vs. 2019. Of course, with the political climate and it being an election year, maybe we will have 2020 ingrained in our heads sooner rather than later. […]
November sales of new single-family homes increased 1.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 719,000 units after a downward revision to the October rate. “Fueled by the limited number of resales available for purchase, low interest rates and low unemployment, new home sales are finishing the year strong,” said Greg Ugalde, chairman of […]
Housing starts increased 3.2 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,365,000. Starts were 1.36 percent above the November 2018 rate. Commencement of construction for single-family homes increased 2.4 percent from October, while starts for buildings of five units or more increased 2.3 percent. New construction was strongest in the South with […]
Welcome back from the Christmas Holidays. This is the 149th Executive level issue of Steel Market Update produced during calendar year 2019. It is also anticipated to be the last Executive issue prior to the New Year. On Monday we will publish our last Premium issue of the year, our 49th for 2019. Christmas and […]
Steel buyers sentiment has seen little change in the past several weeks as the market pauses to digest the latest price increases and looks ahead to the beginning of the new year. The goal of the index is to measure how buyers and sellers of steel feel about their company’s ability to be successful today […]
In four rounds of price increases since late October, flat rolled steel mills have raised prices by a total of $150 per ton. How much are they collecting? Some, but certainly not all, according to the service center and manufacturing executives who responded to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week. SMU data places the average […]
Happy Holidays! I expect this week to be a tad on the slow side as buyers and sellers of steel celebrate Hanukkah and Christmas. One year ago, benchmark hot rolled prices were averaging $745 per ton ($37.25/cwt), down from the cycle peak achieved the week of July 23, 2018, at $915 per ton ($45.75/cwt). Since […]
All the laid off auto workers were back on the job at the beginning of November following the GM strike and restarts at the auto plans reportedly went smoothly. This analysis is based on data from LMC Automotive for automotive assemblies in the U.S., Canada and Mexico. The breakdown of assemblies is “Personal” (cars for […]
After a brief hesitation early in the month, mill lead times for spot orders of flat rolled steel have continued to increase. The latest data shows slightly longer lead times for all flat rolled products except for Galvalume. Plate lead times have extended, as well. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand […]
Negotiations between steelmakers and steel buyers continue to tighten. Responses to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week indicate the mills are slightly less flexible on price for most products as they work to collect four increases announced since late October totaling $150 per ton. In the hot rolled segment, the majority of buyers […]
FCA and PSA Peugeot signed a binding agreement on Dec. 18 providing for a 50/50 merger to create the fourth largest global auto manufacturer by volume and third largest by revenue. The combined company will have annual unit sales of 8.7 million vehicles and expected revenue of nearly $189 billion, based on 2018 results. The […]
Existing home sales slipped in November after making gains in October, according to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors. Completed transactions fell 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million last month, but were up 2.7 percent from a year ago. The decline is not a cause for worry, […]
U.S. Steel tonight announced their intention of focusing their company on three core assets: Gary Works, Mon Valley Works and Big River Steel. This comment was made at the same time they announced their intention to idle a large portion of their Great Lakes Works near Detroit. WARN notices have been sent to the 1,500+ […]
Steel Market Update conducts two flat rolled and plate steel market trends surveys every month. Our early December analysis indicates the flat rolled distributors are raising spot prices to their end-user customers, and in the process supporting at least a portion of the four recent price increases totaling $150 per ton ($7.50/cwt). Whether the mills […]