General Motors announced Thursday that it will stop production at five North American assembly plants by the end of 2019, alarming workers and suppliers. The closings include Detroit-Hamtramck, Warren Transmission and Lordstown Assembly in Ohio, Oshawa Assembly in Ontario and Baltimore Operations in Maryland. It will be the first closure for GM since 2010. The […]
Home price increases are slowing, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index. The National Home Price NSA Index reported a 5.5 percent annual gain in September, down from 5.7 percent in August and the second consecutive decline. Sixteen of the 20 cities reported smaller annual price gains. Gains are now at the lowest level […]
The announcement by General Motors today is going to be a precursor for more bad news, in my opinion. With every action there is a reaction, and the expectation that raising steel prices by an extra 25 percent (and more) would not have an impact on the competitiveness of U.S. made products is being short-sighted. […]
The attitudes of steel buyers and sellers, as measured by this week’s SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index questionnaire, show mixed feelings in the marketplace following the midterm elections. Current Sentiment was an impressive +65 measured as a single data point. Future Sentiment dropped -7 points to +58. Both are well within the “optimistic” side of […]
Lead times for most flat rolled steel products are at or near their shortest of the year. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level—the shorter the lead time, the less busy the mill. The less busy the mill, the more likely they are to negotiate on price. Responses […]
Steel mills remain open to price negotiations on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated products, but not plate, report buyers canvassed by Steel Market Update this past week. Steel Market Update tracks how buyers and sellers of flat rolled and plate steel characterize price negotiations with the mills. The steelmakers’ greater willingness to compromise on […]
Two out of three respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week said they remain concerned about the possible negative impacts of trade tariffs on their business and that of their customers. The Section 232 tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum remain a serious obstacle to the new North American free trade […]
After six months of decline, existing-home sales showed some improvement in October. Completed transactions for single-family homes, condos, townhomes and co-ops increased 1.4 percent from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.22 million, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. The increase was tempered by a 5.1 percent drop in sales […]
Last week, Steel Market Update conducted our mid-November analysis of the flat rolled and plate steel market trends. During the process, we reviewed demand, lead times, negotiations, service center spot pricing, steel pricing and a myriad of other important issues of interest to buyers and sellers of hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, Galvalume and plate […]
Builder confidence, as measured by the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, fell eight points in November to its lowest reading since mid-2016. The index posting of 60 was still in positive territory, but indicated caution among builders. “Builders report that they continue to see signs of consumer demand for new homes but that customers are […]
Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell four points to 56 in December on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) as concerns over housing affordability persist. Although this is the lowest HMI reading since May 2015, builder sentiment remains in positive territory. “We are hearing from builders […]
Housing starts rebounded in October due to multi-family construction, while single-family starts continued to decline. Overall housing starts were 1.5 percent higher from September to October for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,228,000, according to Commerce data. Multi-family starts were up 6.2 percent, but single-family starts declined 1.8 percent. Starts climbed 32.9 percent in […]
I thought some of the comments made to me earlier today by one of the steel mills were quite interesting. “We continue to see good activity, but regional trade is king (and competitive) and long lead time foreign is being shunned. Instead of fighting off Vietnam in coated, we see a battle within NAFTA. Imports […]
Thursday is Thanksgiving here in the United States and Steel Market Update will not publish on Thursday. We will publish our normal Tuesday issue and then we will publish a limited edition on Sunday, Nov. 25. I know I am looking forward to having a couple days in a row “off” as I get ready […]
This report examines the import share of sheet, plate, long and tubular products and 16 subcategories through September. Table 1 shows total supply to the market in three months through September and in 12 months through September for the four product groups and the 16 subcategories. Supply to the market is the total of domestic […]
On Wednesday, Nov. 28, Steel Market Update, along with CRU, will conduct our first SMU-focused webinar. This webinar is available to all current member companies as well as our potential new customers. I will be leading the discussion on how SMU is seeing the current market situation, and a mid-term forecast will be provided by […]
I am back in my office for a few weeks after having just gone to the Pittsburgh offices of CRU. I continue to be amazed at the strength of the people CRU has hired both in the United States and elsewhere around the world. They are very supportive of the Steel Market Update business, and […]
This evening’s price and price momentum discussion comes after a number of conversations held with flat rolled steel service center CEO’s and a trading company executive on Thursday and Friday of last week. The words “mud” and “murky” were prominent as the steel distributors try to figure out where things are headed as we enter […]
Steel service centers are struggling to peg the spot end user markets and what price levels they need to be offering to their spot flat rolled customers, based on the results obtained from last week’s flat rolled and plate steel market trends analysis performed by Steel Market Update. Steel Market Update follows the service center […]
Nearly nine out of 10 of the steel buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire earlier this week believe the domestic mills will be unsuccessful in their attempts to collect the $40 price increased they announced this time last month. Since those announcements, flat rolled steel prices are little changed, if not down […]
The price of new nonresidential buildings accelerated in October as contractors attempted to recoup fast-rising costs for materials and labor, according to an analysis by the Associated General Contractors of America of new Labor Department data. Association officials said that trade tensions and labor shortages are contributing to higher construction prices, making it harder for […]
The laws of unintended consequences concern me. President Trump’s Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs, as well as Section 301 tariffs, are only beginning to have an impact on the consumer. It is only a matter of time before consumers have to react as they do not have unlimited cash flow to pay higher prices […]
The SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index saw both the current and future indices as slightly more optimistic than what Steel Market Update reported during the middle of October. Current Sentiment was measured at +62, up +3 points from our last analysis. Future Sentiment at +65 improved by +12 points from what we reported two weeks […]
Most buyers tell Steel Market Update that flat rolled mills are open to price negotiations on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steel products. The notable exception is plate. Two out of three respondents to SMU’s latest market trends questionnaire report that plate mills will not compromise on price, while one-third have found some wiggle […]
Lead times for Galvalume and plate products shortened up a bit in the past two weeks, but otherwise lead times for flat rolled products have seen little change in October or November, despite the price hike announcements by the major mills. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level—the […]
The Associated General Contractors of America urged the newly elected Congress to work together to make infrastructure funding a top priority in 2019. A statement from the chief executive officer of AGC, Stephen E. Sandherr, follows: “We congratulate all the winners from tonight’s election and look forward to having the opportunity to educate newly elected […]
The Dodge Momentum Index moved lower in October, dropping 4.2 percent from September to a reading of 150.5. The index, published by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first report for nonresidential projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending by a full year. Commercial and institutional planning both […]
Construction is experiencing strong growth led by nonresidential building and infrastructure expenditures. On Nov. 1, the Commerce Department released the Construction Put in Place (CPIP) expenditures data for September. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year increased from 2.1 percent in January to 4.2 percent in September. On a […]
Net job creation in October totaled 250,000 positions. Construction and manufacturing gains were both strong, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Table 1 breaks total employment down into service and goods-producing industries and then into private and government employees. Most of the goods-producing employees work in manufacturing and […]
Labor productivity grew by 0.5 percent in the third quarter of 2018. The average of the last three quarters has been 0.3 percent. Unit labor costs increased 1.2 percent year over year, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data. Unit labor costs and productivity changes are reported quarterly […]