Sales of new single-family homes jumped 1.6 percent from November to December, according to the latest Commerce data. Sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 842,000, 15.2 percent above the December 2019 estimate. Median sales price was $355,900 and average sales price was $394,900. The seasonally adjusted inventory at the end of December […]
It’s impossible to know what the future holds for the steel market in 2021, but our immediate prospects are less uncertain simply because we have a new president. At least we know who will be calling the shots for the next four years. That should help companies anticipate Biden’s major policy decisions—like them or not—so they […]
As prices soar to historical high levels, we are constantly probing, looking for signs of a crack in flat rolled or plate steel prices. Nucor announced higher plate base prices today with discrete plate being referenced at $51.00/cwt ($1,020 per ton). Here are some of the “interesting” comments we received from steel buyers this week: […]
Construction employment remains below pre-pandemic levels in 34 states despite gains in 37 states and the District of Columbia in December, according to an analysis of federal data by the Associated General Contractors of America. The data reflects the broad impact of the pandemic and the need for additional coronavirus recovery measures, said AGC. “While […]
Home prices soared in November, gaining 7.6 percent from October and 9.5 percent year-over-year, reports the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. Home Price Index. The 20-City Composite rose 8 percent from the previous month and 9.1 percent from November 2019. Phoenix, Seattle and San Diego led the increase with gains of 13.8 percent, 12.7 percent and […]
If the market is getting anxious about a coming correction in steel prices, there are few signs of it yet in industry sentiment data, as measured by Steel Market Update. Current Sentiment remains at an optimistic level in the mid-60s where it has ranged since October. Future Sentiment is slightly less bullish but still above typical […]
I received a call from Cleveland-Cliffs in response to an inquiry I had made a couple of weeks back regarding the #6 blast furnace at their Cleveland steel mill. Cliffs wanted to make sure I understand as the #6 blast furnace comes back online that it is not to increase production, only to replace the […]
The average lead time on spot orders of hot rolled steel from the mill declined slightly for the second time in Steel Market Update’s biweekly survey and is now more than a half-week shorter than at this time last month. Lead times for other flat rolled products remained relatively unchanged, however, in SMU’s latest check […]
After registering a slight dip in Steel Market Update data two weeks ago, lead times for delivery of spot orders of hot rolled steel inched back out again this week to an average of nearly eight weeks. SMU and most in the market have been watching closely for signs that lead times are beginning to […]
There has been little to no price negotiations between spot buyers and the mills since September, and Steel Market Update data shows no sign that is changing. More than nine out of 10 buyers responding to SMU’s questionnaire this week (note the predominant blue bars) reported that the mills are almost always unwilling to negotiate […]
With one month of the new year in the record books, steel demand continues to outpace supplies, leaving the mills in a dominant negotiating position. Roughly nine out of 10 buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week reported that their mill reps are unwilling to talk price on virtually all flat rolled and […]
The Architecture Billings Index took another plunge in December, falling to 42.6 from 46.3. A score below 50 shows a decline in demand for design planning and is a leading economic indicator for nonresidential construction activity. “Since the national economic recovery appears to have stalled, architecture firms are entering 2021 facing a continued sluggish design […]
The housing construction market continued its strength in December with starts vaulting 5.8 percent from November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,669,000. Single-family housing starts soared 12 percent, but starts of multifamily housing of five units or more plummeted 15.2 percent. Building permits, an indicator of future construction, rose 4.5 percent last month […]
At least two more automakers with substantial North American operations have cut production because of a global microchip shortage, according to company representatives. Stellantis has scheduled “down time” at an assembly plant in Brampton, Ontario, a company spokeswoman said. The Canadian plant makes the Chrysler 300, Dodge Charger and Dodge Challenger cars. The company – […]
Earlier this week I received a note from one of our readers regarding the plate price index and the changes we recently made to the index (FOB Mill vs. Delivered pricing). We were asked how we are accomplishing this, and how do our members reconcile the historical data that was based on delivered pricing versus […]
Subaru will scale back production of vehicles at its assembly plants in Lafayette, Ind., and in Japan’s Gunma prefecture, because of a semiconductor shortage, a company spokesman said. “We currently expect several thousand units will be affected at each plant,” he said. “We are closely watching the situation and working to minimize the impact on […]
Flat Rolled = 51.3 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 50.8 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled Service center flat rolled steel inventories found their low point in November and bounced back up in December. Service centers carried 51.3 shipping days of supply at the end of December, up from 40 in November. The data […]
“It’s not how much it cost, it’s do I have steel to make my parts…?” That was one of the comments discussed this morning during our HARDI galvanized steel conference call. Some of the mechanical contractors have jobs to complete, and they need steel to finish. However, others are trying to hold back on buying […]
On Wednesday at noon the Biden administration will take over the Executive Branch of the U.S. government. President Biden is planning on hitting the ground running as he works to control the pandemic, put the U.S. back in the Paris Climate Accord, and (unfortunately) deal with a country fractured by Trump insurrectionists. Biden has made […]
November heating and cooling equipment shipments totaled 1.66 million units, up 36.3 percent from levels one year prior, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). Total 2020 shipments through November reached 20.4 million units, up 6.3 percent compared to 19.2 million units shipped in the same period of 2019. As […]
By CRU Economist Ippolito Tarabini and Multi-Commodity Analyst Zanna Aleksahhina, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor There is a global semiconductor shortage. It was ignited by strong demand for consumer electronics during the COVID-19 pandemic and it is now threatening auto production around the world. We expect it to reduce global vehicle output by around […]
The U.S. automotive industry showed remarkable resiliency in 2020 despite a production shutdown in March and the most challenging year since the Great Recession. U.S. auto sales ended the year at an estimated 14.6 million units, well below forecasts of 16.7 million, yet incredibly robust amidst a pandemic, high unemployment and an economic recession. U.S. […]
I anticipate next week’s spot hot rolled and other flat rolled steel prices will be higher than what we reported on Tuesday evening (HRC = $1,080 per ton average). We received information from an end user today of hot rolled purchases of $1,140 per ton for end of March/early April production. An order for HR […]
Hot rolled steel prices are venturing into uncharted territory as an unprecedented combination of variables—idled capacity, short supplies, limited imports and an economy that’s surprisingly strong despite the pandemic—keep pushing them higher. Assuming that today’s record-high prices are unsustainable for the long-term, Steel Market Update asked in its survey last week: At what level do […]
The runup in steel prices continues unabated with benchmark hot rolled prices now averaging $1,080 per ton. The $1,080 number on hot rolled is the highest in our history (we reported $1,070 back in July 2008). Steel buyers should note that even as we bust through our past record high, we believe prices will still […]
Current Sentiment among steel buyers, as measured by Steel Market Update’s Jan. 4 questionnaire, saw a small increase, while Future Sentiment saw a small decrease, suggesting that service center and OEM executives feel more confident about their immediate prospects than they do about the uncertainty ahead. As one commented: “We ended 2020 struggling to get […]
The merger of Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot S.A. (Groupe PSA) was approved last week and is expected to be finalized on Jan. 16. The new company will be called Stellantis and will have a production capacity of 8.7 million vehicles per year. The lineup will include French carmakers Peugeot and Citroen, Jeep, Ram pickups, and […]
After communicating with one of our readers over the weekend, I realize it is important for our readers, and those who interact with our website, to understand what the SMU Price Momentum Indicator means. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator definition on our website clearly states that this is meant to be a visual showing where […]
Officials at the Associated General Contractors of America provided a troubling outlook for the construction industry for the first half of 2021. Postponement and cancellation of construction jobs, difficulty finding skilled labor, rising material costs, supply shortages and continued costs and challenges associated with COVID-19 suggest that the industry will not return to pre-pandemic levels […]
Hot rolled lead times were slightly shorter this week, but lead times for other products were the same or slightly longer, based on Steel Market Update’s first check of the market in the new year. Lead times for deliveries of hot rolled were still highly extended at an average of nearly eight weeks, and it’s […]