Housing starts slipped 0.7% in October as single-family housing production lagged, hampered by supply-chain shortages and limited access to labor and lots. Overall housing starts decreased to 1.52 million units, seasonally adjusted, according to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The October reading of 1.52 […]
With relatively few exceptions, buyers tell Steel Market Update they sense the market is changing, and they expect steel prices to continue falling – though most expect the declines to be gradual. Their views are likely informed by price trends to date, which have been incremental, at least so far. The average price of hot rolled […]
Strong consumer demand and low inventories helped push builder confidence higher in November for the third consecutive month despite continued supply-side challenges. Even though the construction sector continues to wade through building material bottlenecks and lot and labor shortages, builder sentiment for newly built single-family homes moved three points higher to an index reading of […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share the below excerpt of a Premium item with Executive members. SMU publishes service center shipment and inventory data for Premium subscribers on the 11th business day of each month, one day after our data providers receive the data. Premium member reports include expanded analysis with detailed shipment and inventory levels, […]
Some of our key market indicators are pointing toward higher inventories at service centers and an “expectation” of lower prices out of the domestic steel mills. There are many questions yet to be answered as to what the “new normal” will look like when it comes to flat rolled steel prices. We have not seen […]
U.S. heating and cooling equipment shipments rose in September to 2.09 million units, up 1.7% from August, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). September levels are up 2.9% from those seen one year prior. Recall that 2020 monthly shipment levels were somewhat erratic; shipments in the second quarter were […]
Flat Rolled = 56.7 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 62.0 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories increased in October, as shipments slowed, according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of October, service centers carried 56.7 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, compared to 54.5 […]
Monthly Key Market Indicators, as analyzed by Steel Market Update, edged down over the past month as positive indicators have decreased successively since June. A typical summer slowdown started the momentum shift, however, a surge in COVID variant cases, compounded by a slow-moving job market and supply-chain bottlenecks have continued to push the market indicators […]
Earnings season is (mostly) done and dusted, so I’d like to turn your attention to another season: M&A announcement season. Bankers like to get deals done before Christmas. And I think there is a decent chance that any deals in the pipeline now are announced in the next month or so. Also, while spot prices […]
Steel prices are on the way down, but not steel buyers’ optimism – at least not yet. Steel Market Update’s indexes for both Current and Future Buyers Sentiment registered lofty readings of +78 this week. Could this be industry optimism at its peak? SMU surveys buyers every two weeks and asks how they view their chances […]
Steel Market Update’s price range for plate products raised a few eyebrows this week. Allow me to point out a few facts about SMU pricing data. SMU provides a weekly range as reference points for you to review. The reference points come from steel buyers and from steel mills. However, we place the most emphasis on […]
Buyers continue to gain leverage in steel price negotiations, especially for hot rolled products. Steel Market Update asks buyers every two weeks whether mills are willing to talk price on spot orders. Nearly three out of four (72%) of the hot rolled buyers responding to this week’s poll said mills are now willing to negotiate HR […]
Lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate steel continue to shorten, as expected in a period when steel prices are declining. SMU’s latest check of the market shows the typical hot rolled lead time has now dipped below seven weeks for the first time since November 2020. That’s nearly a month shorter than […]
Steel buyers are “confused” as are some traders as to what deals are being offered into the hot rolled market right now. Steel Market Update has been advised by a couple of large HRC buyers of offers below $1,600 per ton ($80.00/cwt), while at the same time we have spoken to buyers who continue to […]
The U.S. construction sector saw an employment boost in October, as firms added 44,000 workers to their payrolls. The increase was supported by a 10.4% decline in the sector’s unemployment rate, while nonresidential construction firms posted back-to-back increases for the first time since January, reports the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) in its latest […]
North American auto assemblies recovered in October after reaching the lowest monthly total year-to-date in September. October’s production total jumped 18.1% sequentially but was still down 24.6% year on year. The impact of the chip shortage and supply-chain disruptions is still constraining the automotive sector. Semiconductor scarcity and parts delays had further worsened through the […]
The House has finally passed a bipartisan infrastructure bill after months of wrangling not only among Republicans and Democrats but also among factions within the Democratic party. “American steel built this country, and the industry is now ready to get to work on rebuilding this country. Repairing and modernizing our national transportation system is essential […]
Production disruptions from the semiconductor chip shortage across the U.S. automotive landscape are little changed from Steel Market Update’s mid-October analysis. The widespread stoppages and assembly cuts were piling up through October and into November, but the latest feedback from automakers suggests the shortage may be easing. Last month Toyota announced plans to cut its […]
Mill executives have been front and center over the past couple weeks during their earnings calls and the annual gathering of AISI and SMA members in Washington. Below is a sampling of some of their more notable remarks: • Just because the U.S. and EU managed to negotiate a quota to replace the controversial Section […]
The U.S. construction sector slipped in September as spending faded for the second consecutive month following a downward revision in August’s results, the Commerce Department reported. The Census Bureau’s report on construction spending shows that the value of residential construction put in place in September was up 19% year on year but fell 0.4% month […]
Total construction spending declined in September for the first time since February, as both residential and nonresidential construction slipped, according to a new analysis of federal construction spending data by the Associated General Contractors of America. AGC continues to lobby for the House to complete work on the bipartisan infrastructure bill that the Senate passed […]
It goes without saying, the steel industry is in a dynamic, volatile market and the only thing that is certain is the volatility will continue as we move into calendar year 2022. It is not just price we need to watch over the coming months. There are many moving pieces to this puzzle. The agreement […]
We’re all on the same price roller coaster, and that’s true whether we’re talking steel, plastic or wood. But we’re not all on the same car – and so your impression of the market might be vastly different if you’re in the front car instead of the back one. That’s the impression I got while speaking […]
Despite all the uncertainty over the economy and steel prices as the year nears an end, sentiment among steel buyers remains extremely optimistic versus historical levels, as measured by Steel Market Update. But this week’s check of the market saw a small decline to the lowest sentiment reading since July. SMU surveys buyers every two […]
“Business is great! Why is Steel Market Update always spreading so much gloom and doom about falling steel prices?” That’s not an actual quote, but we hear comments to that effect nearly every week. As if folks believe it will be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Of course, if prices decline, it won’t be because of some […]
Gibraltar Industries Inc. reported net income of $27.9 million in its third quarter, down nearly 11.0% from the same period last year due to rising labor costs and supply-chain shortages, company executives said. The Buffalo, N.Y.-based manufacturer and distributor of building products reported a 24.5% increase in revenue to $369.4 million during the period. Sales […]
Lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate steel from the mills have shortened again compared to this time last month. About 60% of the buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s survey this week describe lead times as just “slightly longer than normal.” Only 15% still consider them “highly extended.” SMU’s check of the […]
Steel Market Update data suggests buyers continue to gain some leverage in price negotiations. SMU asks buyers every two weeks if the mills are willing to talk price on spot orders. Around 50% of hot rolled buyers responding to this week’s poll said some mills are now willing to bargain to secure an order. That’s […]
I thought I’d be writing today that Steel Market Update had switched all its steel pricing momentum indicators to lower. But what you think should happen and what reality serves up are sometimes very different things. Hot-rolled coil prices continued to fall – they’re down $25 per ton compared to last week. That’s not a surprise. […]
Do you sense the steel market is changing? “There is definitely a different tone to the market over the past few weeks,” said one of the many buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week expressing similar views: “There are many more sellers than buyers now. Domestic pricing will slide soon.” “The market has […]