When steel prices rise, so does the credit and inventory risk for mills and service centers. When steel prices rise by 40 percent, as they have in the past year, the risk puts smaller players at a big disadvantage. Service centers have been cozying up to their bankers to get extended lines of credit, some […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released another excellent employment report for February and revised the two previous months upward. February’s net creation of 313,000 jobs as reported by the BLS on March 9 was the best monthly result since July last year. To make the recent results even better, December was revised up by 15,000 […]
Net job creation in March, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday, dropped by 64 percent from February, but this was not as bad as it first looks. Figure 1 shows the 3MMA of the number of jobs created monthly since 2000 as the brown bars and the total number employed […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
Business activity grew robustly in New York State, according to firms responding to the March Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The general business conditions index climbed more than nine points to 22.5 from 13.1 in February. A level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Orders and shipments in the region saw strong growth […]
Legal experts say President Trump’s efforts to use the Section 232 steel tariffs as a bargaining chip with NAFTA and other trade negotiations could make the U.S. position more difficult to defend before the World Trade Organization and the courts. An importer hit with the tariff could claim the president had exceeded his authority under […]
Fabricators and Manufacturers Association (FMA) Chief Economist Chris Kuehl believes Section 232 tariffs will not create a trade war and that most of what is happening now is nothing more than posturing. Although he told SMU that “trade wars are not unusual as countries try to protect their domestic products.” Kuehl was critical of how […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel HR futures prices have moved up. POTUS has been keeping the HR futures market hopping this week. The plethora of news […]
Economic indicators of manufacturing activity remain strong and continue pointing to good demand for steel at least through mid-year. This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing in the United States. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, and therefore will be brief […]
Global manufacturing expanded at a solid pace in February, according to the J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI. The composite PMI inched downward for the second month to 54.2, indicating solid but slower growth. Industrial nations saw growth rates decelerate somewhat in February including the U.S., Eurozone, Japan and the UK. Improvement of manufacturing conditions was brisker […]
Union Partners has acquired Lamination Specialties Corp., a manufacturer of electrical steel laminations with three Chicago-area locations. The company also operates a full-service electrical steel service center. It anticipates no disruption of services as it transitions to new ownership. Lamination Specialties is the latest to join the Union Partners family, which includes Mapes & Sprowl, […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
There were no surprises in this month’s data as our SMU Price Momentum continued to reflect higher steel prices, and that expectation continues over the next 30 to 60 days. Our SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is at, or very near, all-time highs for our index. Buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel are optimistic […]
Manufacturing expanded for the 18th consecutive month in February, according to the latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The PMI rose 1.7 percentage points to 60.8 percent in February. Any reading above 50 indicates expansion. New orders continued to expand last month, although softening 1.2 percentage points to 65.4 percent. Production dipped 2.5 points to […]
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell in February to its lowest level since August 2017. The barometer slipped 3.8 points from January’s reading to 61.9. Compared to a year ago, the index was up 8 percent and was above the 2017 average of 60.8 New orders were at a six-month low and production was at […]
Global steel production grew by 2.7 percent in the three months through January, though the pace of growth continued to be slowed by pollution control restrictions in China. Excluding China, the pace of growth for world steel production was 4.8 percent, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of World Steel Association data. On […]
The decline in value of the U.S. dollar on the international exchange markets has slowed in the last 30 days, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of currencies. Please see the end of this report for an explanation of data sources. The analysis of currency trends is a highly technical undertaking. Therefore, in this […]
Durable goods orders fell 3.7 percent in January to $239.7 billion, according to Commerce Department data. January’s decline follows two months of increases and is the biggest decline since July 2017. Analysts expected a decline of 2.0 percent or less. Durable goods are manufactured items that are expected to last three years or more. The […]
New rules requiring electronic logging devices (ELDs) to monitor drivers’ hours behind the wheel are having the predicted effect on the market, disrupting trucking operations, igniting fierce competition for trucking capacity and sharply raising freight rates. Under the complicated hours of service regulations that took effect Dec. 18, drivers can work no more than a […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
U.S. gross domestic product grew in every region of the country in last year’s second and third quarters, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis data. The BEA introduced a new data set for GDP by state and region in 2014 and backdated it to Q1 2005. This week, the data was updated through Q3 2017. […]
A majority of metalforming companies surveyed in the February Precision Metalforming Association Business Conditions Report expect improvement in economic activity during the next three months. The latest report showed 97 percent anticipate better conditions going forward. “The Trump administration has shown strong leadership on important policy initiatives like tax reform and infrastructure, which give confidence […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel The HR futures prices continue to grind higher in the near dates but have been lagging in the latter half of […]
Manufacturing activity continued to expand in New York State, but at a slower pace in February. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business index dipped five points to 13.1. A slight increase in new orders was offset by a similar decrease in shipments. Unfilled orders increased slightly and delivery times lengthened. Input prices jumped in […]
The employment picture looks attractive so far for 2018, particularly for construction and manufacturing. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported on Friday that the economy created 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in January. The BLS data included revisions for previous years, which we have incorporated into this update. There were increases in the total number […]
Steel Market Update was contacted this week by an analyst who questioned the accuracy of the American Iron and Steel Institute data published by SMU. He wondered how AISI calculates its weekly mill capacity utilization rates and whether their calculations account for idled furnace capacity. A close look at the AISI data shows the domestic […]
Mill Steel Co., the Grand Rapids, Mich.-based flat rolled steel distributor, is among a growing list of companies that are sharing a portion of the coming tax windfall with their employees. Mill Steel has awarded a $1,000 bonus to all 400 of its full-time associates as a result of the tax cut passed by Congress […]
The Fourth of July has always been my favorite holiday, so maybe that’s why experiencing a space launch up close evoked so many of the same strong emotions. I was at Cape Canaveral in Florida on Tuesday, sitting in the “Feel the Heat” section for the historic test flight of the Falcon Heavy rocket, the […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel Increased HR futures buying this week reflects the slightly more bullish narrative in the domestic HR price expectations. Concern that lead times […]
The steel industry stands to be a major beneficiary of the $1.5 trillion in infrastructure improvements proposed by President Trump in his State of the Union address on Tuesday, but don’t count on the extra government business anytime soon. Not unlike his plan to build a border wall paid for by Mexico rather than the […]