Steel mills appear less willing to negotiate spot prices on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steel than two weeks ago, according to respondents to this week’s Steel Market Update market trends questionnaire, perhaps reflecting events on the trade front. Mills may anticipate less competition from imports as a result of Trump’s tariffs. Every two […]
Nearly three out of four respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week say they predict flat rolled steel prices will move even higher from here. No doubt views were influenced by the Trump administration’s decision to stand firm on tariffs, even on imports from close trading partners in Canada, Mexico and the […]
Final steel imports for the month of April were reported at 3,753,987 million net tons, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce data released yesterday. The last time import levels were this high was June 2017 with 3,923,126 tons. April imports are up 12.6 percent compared to the previous month, and up 12.0 percent compared […]
A new wrinkle has been revealed for those manufacturers seeking exclusions for steel and aluminum products from Brazil, South Korea and Argentina. The three countries, which have agreed to quotas in lieu of tariffs, are not eligible for any product exemptions. A spokesperson for the Commerce Department confirmed the restriction in an email to Inside […]
The market was shocked when President Trump revoked the exclusions and implemented tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from the United States’ closest trading partners Canada, Mexico and the EU. In this week’s canvass of the market, Steel Market Update asked industry executives if they expect any direct impact on their businesses as a result. […]
U.S. steel exports in April 2018 totaled 861,004 net tons (781,091 metric tons), down 0.9 percent from the month before, but up 0.4 percent from April 2017. Total exports have averaged around 835,000 tons over the last few months. The total April export figure is above the three-month moving average (average of February 2018, March […]
As a trade war continues to build over the Section 232 steel and aluminum measures, some senators are looking to curb the president’s authority to unilaterally impose tariffs. Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) is leading the effort along with Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) to challenge President Trump’s ability to levy trade restrictions on the grounds of […]
The U.S. packaging industry, which relies on imports of tinplate, is among the many concerned about the effects of President Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. The Can Manufacturers Institute estimates that 42 percent of tinplate steel needs to be imported to manufacture food cans for American consumers. More than 60 percent of primary aluminum […]
With the Trump administration eliminating the Section 232 tariff exclusions for Canada, Mexico and the European Union, it is our opinion that the squeeze on supply coupled with higher prices due to the tariff will provide cover for the domestic steel mills to raise flat rolled and plate steel prices. SMU last moved our Price […]
Supply executives polled for the Manufacturing ISM Report on Business reported strong business conditions in May. The PMI rose 1.4 points to 58.7 percent as new orders, production and employment continued to expand. Inventories are struggling to keep pace with demand. Longer supplier lead times and freight uncertainty is impacting inventory levels, said Timothy R. […]
Global manufacturing was at a nine-month low in May, according to data from J.P. Morgan and IHS Markit, in association with ISM and IFPSM. The composite Global Manufacturing PMI dipped to 53.1 from 53.5 in April. The second-quarter PMI average shows “mild growth deceleration” compared to the first quarter, said J.P. Morgan. The U.S. outperformed […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following update on trade events in Washington: As briefly stated by the Trade Commissioner of the European Union, Cecilia Malmstrom, “Today is a bad day for world trade.” Malmstrom was referring to the announcement by President Trump that the 25 percent tariffs on steel […]
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has made it official—there will be no tariff exemptions for Canada, Mexico, and the European Union. In a briefing on Thursday, Ross said the tariffs of 25 percent on imports of steel and 10 percent on imports of aluminum will go into effect at midnight. Argentina, Brazil, Australia and South Korea […]
The Trump administration’s announcement today that it would not spare its closest trading partners from the 25 percent tariff on steel imports surprised many in the market. Effective at midnight, steel from Canada, Mexico and the EU countries will be subject to the same penalty as exports from China and other so-called “bad actors.” Steel […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices (FOB Domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel We had a very volatile day in the ferrous metals markets today, saw strong price moves higher in HR futures on […]
The American Institute for International Steel, a trade group representing foreign steelmakers, said it is deeply disappointed the Trump administration has decided to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from the EU, Canada, and Mexico. “Make no mistake: restricting the raw material supply in the U.S. and imposing tariffs on imports from our closest […]
Based on the latest license data from the U.S. Department of Commerce reported earlier this week, we are expecting the trend for May steel imports to total approximatley 2.6 million net tons. That’s just over one million tons less than what was imported in April. We continue to see strength in coil and sheet plate […]
In the table below, Steel Market Update provides a snapshot of flat rolled steel pricing, commodities that affected steel prices, and economic data of importance to the flat rolled steel industry in June. Looking back at the past month, SMU’s Pricing Momentum Indicator continued to point higher as the domestic mills reacted to the Trump […]
The American iron and steel industry supports nearly two million jobs and contributes more than $520 billion to the U.S. economy, when considering the direct, indirect (supplier) and induced impacts of related commerce, claims a study released last week by the research firm John Dunham & Associates. The study also shows that the iron and […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following update on trade issues in Washington, including China, NAFTA, and a new Section 232 investigation on automotive imports: • The White House reported that 25 percent tariffs on $50 billion worth of imports from China will be announced by June 15, and […]
The Canada Border Services Agency initiated an investigation on May 25 into the dumping and subsidizing of certain cold-rolled steels in coils or cut lengths from China, South Korea, and Vietnam. The investigation was prompted by a complaint from ArcelorMittal Dofasco. Cold rolled imports under the investigation increased from 85,075 metric tons in 2015 to […]
The Trump administration’s announced Section 232 investigation into imports of automobiles and auto parts is not sitting well with lawmakers or automotive industry analysts. Some lawmakers are calling the suggestion that automotive imports are a threat to national security an abuse of executive branch authority. Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT) called the investigation […]
Chinese steel trade data was recently released for the month of April 2018, providing updated data on iron ore imports, scrap imports and flat rolled imports and exports. Chinese imports of iron ore in April totaled 82,920,000 metric tons, a decrease of 3.3 percent from the previous month, but an increase of 0.8 percent from […]
President Trump has ordered a Section 232 investigation to determine whether imports of automobiles threaten national security interests. The investigation comes on the heels of China’s announcement that it will drop tariffs on imported vehicles from 25 percent to 15 percent and tariffs on autoparts to 6 percent. The reductions are presumably positive for the […]
India is disputing the legality of Section 232 tariffs and quota arrangements by the United States, claiming violations of the GATT and Safeguards Agreement. India filed an official request with the World Trade Organization for dispute settlement consultations with the United States. India joins several other nations which dismiss the claim that imports of aluminum […]
Based on the latest license data from the U.S. Department of Commerce reported earlier this week, we are expecting the trend for May steel imports to total 2.5 million to 2.6 million net tons. We continue to see strength in plate imports, in both coil and sheet. Finished imports are trending toward 2.1 million net […]
What are the potential long-term implications of the Trump administration steel tariffs, in particular their effects on rerollers in the United States? Steel Market Update canvassed steel executives this week for their views on current market conditions, and the impact of the tariffs on pricing and availability clearly remains a source of concern. “I buy […]
Steel Market Update canvassed the market on May 22 to gather steel executives’ views on supply, demand and pricing in the current environment. Some also shared their thoughts on their biggest challenges today. Below are some of their more insightful comments: Q: Are you seeing any signs that steel prices are going to “break out” […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following update on trade issues in Washington: Greetings from the West Coast. I just attended the National Association of Foreign Trade Zones Spring conference. Foreign trade zones have been targeted by the Trump administration in the tariff proclamations, including the Section 232 tariffs on steel […]