Final Thoughts
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Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
June 10, 2020
We had an exceptional SMU Community Chat on Wednesday with James Banker, Jr., of NLMK USA. Banker was candid, forthcoming (except when asked about steel pricing) and provided solid information for those who were on the webinar. The recording is available as are the PowerPoint slides used during the webinar. You can find both by clicking here.
Our next SMU Community Chat webinar will feature Donald Bly of Applied Value. We had an interesting conversation today full of insights into buying negotiations, the appetite for steel and how hungry suppliers are, as well as details regarding supply chain and OEM’s limited risk in the future. You can register for next week’s webinar by clicking here.
I received a question by email yesterday morning asking about idled blast furnaces and how long they can remain idle? During our Community Chat webinar, Jim Banker did a great job of explaining what hot idle means, how expensive it is, and how quickly a furnace can come back on. I also asked Chuck McDaniels, one of our Steel 101 workshop instructors, the same question. The quick answer is if the furnace is prepared properly the amount of time needed to return it to full production is relatively short. The amount of time it can remain in hot idle is based on the wear and tear of the refractory bricks. If taken down properly, with good bricks, it can remain in hot idle for an extended period.
We are learning that U.S. Steel Mon Valley is bringing up their #1 furnace and will take down their #3 furnace (although both are running right now). We are also learning of AK Steel bringing back their Dearborn blast furnace and BOF by mid-July. My understanding is the Dearborn facility will feed slabs to Middletown. We reached out to AK Steel, but have not received any confirmation as of this writing.
U.S. Steel did respond with the following: “As we continue to navigate business conditions during the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, we are adjusting to changing market conditions by utilizing the flexibility afforded by our banked blast furnaces. We may intermittently bring blast furnaces up or down to accommodate changes in our order book. Edgar Thomson #1 blast furnace was restarted to provide for volume requirements, but we continue to evaluate and adjust based on customer demand.”
I am having numerous conversations with our sponsors and exhibitors regarding the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference. After being involved in about a dozen of these Zoom meet events, I can see people/companies are starting to get excited with what we are trying to present to the industry.
The proof will be in the numbers, and I want everyone to know that we are receiving new registrations, many upgraded registrations (meaning more individuals coming from companies already registered) and a few cancellations. My gut tells me those who cancel will come back when they realize this will be the networking and content event of the year. For that matter, we are planning on putting more content in this event than we ever could during a live conference. We will provide “on-demand” pieces to complement our live program.
“We will have a story to tell” is my first hint as to what our program will look like….
You can register for the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference by clicking here.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
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John Packard
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Final thoughts
SMU has heard from some larger buyers who have stepped back into the market to buy at prices that, if not at a bottom, they assess to be close to one. Is it enough to stretch out lead times and send prices upward again? Or do we continue to scrape along the mid-$600s per short ton (st) as we have been doing for most of the last month?
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Final thoughts
Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves had some insightful things to say today about the steel market and about a conference we suspect might be Steel Summit.
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Final thoughts
They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Well, when you add in some commentary from respected peers in the steel industry to those pictures, that may shoot you up to five thousand words, at least. In that spirit, we’ve added some snapshots from our market survey this week, along with some comments from market participants.
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Final thoughts
I thought we’d have more clarity this week on Section 232, Mexico, and a potential carve-out for steel melted and poured in Brazil. As of right now, the only official comment I have is from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR).
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Final thoughts
There are just 40 days left until the 2024 SMU Steel Summit gets underway on Aug. 26 at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta. And I’m pleased to announce that it's official now: More than 1,000 people have registered to at attend! Another big development: The desktop version of the networking app for the event has officially launched!