Foreign vs. Domestic HRC Price Analysis: Import Prices Catching Up

The temptation to purchase foreign hot rolled over domestic steel remains high, although at a lesser potential discount compared to previous weeks. U.S. buyers continue to place orders for foreign material despite long lead times for delivery. Since mid-March, foreign steel prices have begun to increase at a greater rate than domestic prices, yet foreign prices still hold potential discounts of 7-17%, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price comparison. The peak of potential discounts occurred in mid-February for Far East Asian prices, and in early to mid-March for German and Italian products.

The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). This is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs can fluctuate, ultimately influencing the true market spread. This compares the SMU U.S. hot rolled weekly index to CRU hot rolled weekly indices for Germany, Italy and Far East Asian ports.