SMU Data and Models

HRC vs. prime scrap spread widens in April
Written by Ethan Bernard
April 10, 2024
After narrowing for three months, the spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices widened this month, according to SMU’s most recent pricing data.
SMU’s average HRC price slipped this week, while the average April price for busheling scrap was flat month over month.
Our average HRC price stood at $835 per short ton (st) as of April 9, down $10 from a week earlier.
Meanwhile, busheling tags remained level at $410 per gross ton in April. Figure 1 shows price histories for each product.

After converting scrap prices to dollars per short ton for an equal comparison, the differential between HRC and busheling scrap prices is $469/st as of April 10, up $20 from a month earlier (Figure 2). This is the first time the spread has widened since December.

By the way, did you know SMU’s Interactive Pricing Tool can show steel and scrap prices in dollars per short ton, dollars per metric ton, and dollars per gross ton?
Figure 3 explores this relationship differently: We have graphed HRC’s premium over busheling scrap as a percentage. HRC prices now carry a 104% premium over prime scrap, up from 99% a month ago.


Ethan Bernard
Read more from Ethan BernardLatest in SMU Data and Models

August service center shipments and inventories report
US service centers flat-rolled steel supply in August declined month-over-month (m/m) and year-over-year (y/y), according to SMU data.

Apparent steel supply remains elevated in July
Apparent supply totaled 8.88 million short tons (st) in July, down 38,000 st from June and 6% higher than the same month last year

HRC vs. prime scrap spread narrows slightly
The price spread between prime scrap and hot-rolled coil (HRC) narrowed by a hair this month, according to SMU’s most recent pricing data.

SMU Scrap Survey: Current Sentiment rises as Future Sentiment falls
SMU’s current Scrap sentiment index increased this month while future sentiment declined, according to our latest ferrous scrap survey data.

SMU scrap market survey results now available
SMU’s September ferrous scrap market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.