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    Final Thoughts

    Final Thoughts: No contract tons for you!

    Written by Michael Cowden


    If you’re a Seinfeld fan, you probably remember the classic episode about “The Soup Nazi.” (If you’re not, check out this clip.)

    Spoiler alert: George Costanza tries to negotiate a lower price for bread from a Manhattan shop famous for its soup. He ends up not only with no bread but also with no soup: “No soup for you!”

    Michael Cowden

    Read more from Michael Cowden

    Latest in Final Thoughts

    Final Thoughts: Longer waits, higher stakes

    We’re in rarefied air for the US domestic steel industry. Mill lead times are approaching or even exceeding (in the case of plate) records set in 2021. Prices, meanwhile, are on an epic run—13 months and counting. Availability, not price, is the largest hurdle buyers are facing. And market participants think the shortage could stay around for a while. Incoming imports and mills catching up after fall maintenance could ease the squeeze. Even so, most sources do not expect meaningful relief until 2027.

    Final Thoughts: Is the steel market now tighter than in 2021?

    "Now, the problem is no longer the price. The problem is having access to steel." That would have made a good lead. But I can’t take credit for it. Those (very quotable) words are from Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman and CEO Lourenco Goncalves during the steelmaker’s quarterly earnings conference call on Monday. For a while, I thought the shortages we'd been hearing about might be mostly a problem for small- and mid-sized buyers. But we’re seeing even some of the biggest steel buyers talking openly about supply problems.