The pendulum has passed bottom and finally begun to swing the other way in price negotiations. Steel mills no longer hold a dominant bargaining position over spot buyers. That shift is consistent with the shortening lead times and declining prices reported by Steel Market Update. SMU asks buyers every two weeks whether mills are willing […]
Steel prices continued to slide this week with the benchmark hot rolled number down another $40 per ton to an average of $1,730 per ton. That’s a decline so far of $225 per ton, or 11.5%, from the peak of $1,955 per ton in early September. In our questionnaire this week, SMU asked buyers where […]
Sheet and plate prices fell across the board this week on shorter lead times, import competition and increased spot availability from domestic mills. Declines for hot-rolled coil were generally steeper than those for value-added products. And while certain mills are trying to hold the line around $1,800 per ton, EAF producers were reported to be […]
Looking for floor plate for Christmas? What about hot-rolled coil for the New Year? You’re in luck. Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s steel mill in Riverdale, Ill., can get floor plate to you by Dec. 25, or just 18 days from now. And most of its sheet mills can get you hot-rolled coil by Jan. 1, or 25 days […]
I’m concerned we’ve all gotten a little too complacent with the idea that the price correction underway will continue to be gradual and that the new floor for hot rolled coil, whatever it is, will be four digits instead of the sub-$400-500 per ton floors that have characterized past downcycles. I’m not saying we’re headed […]
(Editor’s note: This is a corrected version of Final Thoughts. The original misstated a hot rolled peak of $1,995 per ton, not $1,955.) In our questionnaire this week, we asked steel buyers: Do you sense that the market is changing, and in what ways? Not surprisingly, many referenced shortening mill lead times and declining steel prices. […]
Foreign steel prices continue to tempt U.S. buyers with potential discounts of 24-43% over domestic steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest comparison of domestic and foreign hot rolled steel prices. Foreign hot rolled steel prices are now theoretically $430-761 per ton cheaper than domestic steel, after taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into consideration. […]
New orders, production, employment, and imports grew in November. But prices fell, and delivery delays increased on tightening backlogs. That’s the takeaway from the Institute for Supply Management’s latest Manufacturing Report on Business. ISM’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 61.1% in November, up 0.3 percentage points from October and indicating continued expansion in the overall economy for the […]
U.S. manufacturing activity fell to its lowest point of the year in November. Producers reported near-record supply delays, the slowest new order inflows year-to-date, and waning job growth, according to the latest U.S. Manufacturing PMI data from IHS Markit. The report noted that extended lead times, supplier shortages and higher energy prices pushed the rate of […]
Steel prices declined for the third consecutive month in November, following a 12-month streak of continuous price increases. Hot-rolled coil prices declined $105 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,770 per ton ($88.50 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Nov. 30. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for hot-rolled coil was adjusted from Neutral […]
Sometimes it is the little things that provide hints as to the direction steel prices will take. During our Steel 101 workshops, I use the example of when you hear from that steel salesman on what seems like a daily basis – that’s when you know a market is about to turn (or has turned). […]
Sometimes it is the little things that provide hints as to the direction steel prices will take. During our Steel 101 workshops, I use the example of when you hear from that steel salesman on what seems like a daily basis – that’s when you know a market is about to turn (or has turned). […]
Plate prices moved up this week as recent mill price increases gained some traction, but prices for sheet products were flat to down, based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market on Monday and Tuesday. The plate price was up $60 to an average of $1,835 per ton, while hot rolled coil was down […]
Published mills lead times are back, another sign that the steel market is returning to something resembling normal. Hot-rolled coil lead times, for example, are three to four weeks at some mills. That would be unremarkable in a normal market. But it is news after a year in which customers were either on allocation or […]
Flat rolled and plate steels all saw double-digit decreases this week as the price trend appears be gaining downward momentum The average price for hot rolled dropped by $50 to $1,780 per ton, the first time that benchmark has been below $1,800 since early July. Prices for cold rolled and coated products saw declines of […]
Steel buyers have gained a clear advantage when it comes to negotiating lower prices for hot-rolled coil and galvanized product. The change in pricing power toward buyers – following a year in which mills could name their price – comes as prices for most products are down, lead times are coming in, and inventories are increasing. SMU […]
Spot prices might be wobbling. But mill balance sheets are as strong as they’ve ever been – and the cash will continue to pour in as 2022 contracts reset at substantially higher numbers. Here are two opposing trends I’m keeping an eye on: (1) whether mills will use their cash hoards to expand outside of steel […]
By CRU Senior Prices Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service, Nov. 18 In the last several weeks, U.S. sheet prices have started to decline, though prices remain well above global prices. Under pressure from imports and service centers eager to sell high-cost inventory before the end of the year, prices for processed […]
Steel Market Update’s poll of buyers on Monday and Tuesday showed further small declines for flat rolled steel prices, while plate prices were up a bit. No sign yet of a sharp correction as prices continue to ease downward. The benchmark price for hot rolled is now down to $1,830 per ton, $25 lower than […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share the below excerpt of a Premium item with Executive members. SMU publishes service center shipment and inventory data for Premium subscribers on the 11th business day of each month, one day after our data providers receive the data. Premium member reports include expanded analysis with detailed shipment and inventory levels, […]
Hot-rolled coil prices continue to slide. And galvanized base prices are holding more or less steady. What gives? Check out the slide below. The green line is galvanized base prices. The blue line is lead times. Prices are on the left-hand side of the slide. Lead times are on the right. Prices have been around […]
Distributors who sell galvanized steel products to the construction and HVAC sectors still feel very positive about their prospects heading into next year despite weakening prices and rising inventories. Declines in galvanized prices out of the domestic mills have been fairly minor so far and demand remains strong, reported members of the Heating, Air-Conditioning & […]
Some of our key market indicators are pointing toward higher inventories at service centers and an “expectation” of lower prices out of the domestic steel mills. There are many questions yet to be answered as to what the “new normal” will look like when it comes to flat rolled steel prices. We have not seen […]
Flat Rolled = 56.7 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 62.0 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories increased in October, as shipments slowed, according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of October, service centers carried 56.7 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, compared to 54.5 […]
Total mill shipments of steel products fell 12.2% in September to 8.502 million tons, after seeing an 11.1% increase the month prior. Apparent supply also slipped in September, down 6.9%, following a 7.9% increase in August. September’s contractions mark the first decrease in steel supply in seven months. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment […]
Algoma Steel posted record profits in its fiscal second quarter, and the Canadian flat-rolled steelmaker expects money to continue to pour in as high spot prices roll into 2022 contracts. The Sault Ste Marie, Ontario-based company also thinks that the traditional relationship between sheet and plate prices will be restored as infrastructure spending increases demand for […]
Buyers continue to gain leverage in steel price negotiations, especially for hot rolled products. Steel Market Update asks buyers every two weeks whether mills are willing to talk price on spot orders. Nearly three out of four (72%) of the hot rolled buyers responding to this week’s poll said mills are now willing to negotiate HR […]
Lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate steel continue to shorten, as expected in a period when steel prices are declining. SMU’s latest check of the market shows the typical hot rolled lead time has now dipped below seven weeks for the first time since November 2020. That’s nearly a month shorter than […]
Even as domestic prices ease, foreign steel imports continue to tempt U.S. buyers with potential discounts of 24-43%, according to Steel Market Update’s latest comparison of domestic and foreign hot rolled steel prices. Foreign hot rolled steel prices are now theoretically $452-801 per ton cheaper than domestic steel, after taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week shows both flat rolled and plate prices declining by another $10-25 per ton. The declines were not unexpected and are in line with the downtrend that has materialized in the last two months as seasonal dips in demand and competition from imports put pressure on domestic […]