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    Analysis

    September 21, 2015

    Final Thoughts

    Written by John Packard

    Demand (or the lack thereof) seems to be the real culprit affecting the steel market and prices at this moment. I spoke with one of the larger service centers this afternoon and asked: would imports be reduced enough to impact U.S. supply and trigger a price spike? I asked what were the chances that the market would turn in 2016 and steel all of a sudden get tight?

    The response I got was, “15% chance. Soft demand and over supply domestically – not to mention the international market will keep pressure on the market. Small pockets of volatility can be expected.” They went on to say, “If oil doesn’t come back – what drives demand?”

    John Packard

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