Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts

Written by John Packard


OK, so it’s March Madness and most of our readers want to watch their favorite team or test their skills at nailing their bracket and bragging rights around the water cooler in the morning. For the steel industry March Madness is taking a different meaning. More price increase announcements, full order books and a win (at least from my perspective) on the hot rolled dumping (AD) ruling on Tuesday.

We have a much longer than normal newsletter this evening. There are a couple of articles about the hot rolled ruling and what the status of each of the flat rolled suits stand at this time. It is important to note that the margins produced to date are not final. The margin rates will be used to determine the cash deposit necessary for each country (actually for the importer of record – that is the person responsible for paying any monies) who chooses to ship steel to the U.S. now that the preliminary margins (including countervailing duties and critical circumstances) have been determined.

When speaking with attorney Lewis Leibowitz both yesterday and today on the subject we thought it was important for companies to understand that all of the exclusion requests on hot rolled have been denied. The Department of Commerce has even denied exclusions requested for products that technically are not produced here in the United States!

A note to our Premium level members: We will have our survey power point presentation available online sometime on Friday afternoon. We will also publish a Premium supplemental issue of our newsletter in the morning. In that issue will be a much more detailed analysis of the MSCI data along with our Apparent Excess/Deficit forecast for March, April, May, June and July.

If you would like to learn more about what Premium membership includes, pricing and how to register please contact me at 800-432-3475 or by email: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com.

As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.

John Packard, Publisher

Latest in Final Thoughts

Final thoughts

What's the tea in the steel industry this week? Here's the latest SMU gossip column! Just kidding... kind of. Yes, some of the comments we receive in our weekly flat-rolled market steel buyers' survey are honestly too much to put into print. Some make us laugh. Some make us cringe. Some are cryptic. Most are serious. We appreciate them all. Below are some highlights from our survey results this week. Some of the comments that we can share with you are also included, in italics, in the buyers' own words, with minimal editing on our part.

Final thoughts

Unless you've been under a rock, you know by know that Nucor's published HR price for this week is $760 per short ton, down $65/st from the company’s $825/st a week ago. I could use more colorful words. But I think it’s safe to say that most of the market was not expecting this. For starters, US sheet mills never announce price decreases. (OK, not never. It has come to my attention that Severstal North America rescinded a price increase back on Feb. 14, 2012. And it caused quite the ruckus.)