Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
March 30, 2016
Good evening from Naples, Florida (warm, sunny) where the Association of Steel Distributors is holding its Spring Meeting. I am looking forward to the business meeting portion and presentations which will be coming on Friday and Saturday. I will report on what I learn in Sunday evening’s edition of Steel Market Update.
The sense or early “vibe” that I am getting here is business is decent, in some cases good. One service center owner when asked about his inventory position said, “committed” even though much of what they sell is into the spot market.
I had a similar conversation with a mill rep who also told me that their order book was being “controlled” (I was told they don’t like to use the “A” word – as in allocation). Their customers are not necessarily happy about the controlled part of the business but, it helps keep prices strong. This rep also pointed out that no one is going to make a move on price until they understand their cost. The issue is scrap and the desire to get the negotiations done prior to the ISRI (scrap) conference next week in Las Vegas. It hasn’t happened. Dealers are holding out and the mills aren’t yet willing to pay up to the levels being asked. The expectation right now is for scrap to move $30 to as much as $50 per gross ton higher for April delivery than what we saw at the beginning of March.
I got a note today from one of our members who thanked me for helping him find a new product, ZAM, which he ended up using in his product. The value of a subscription to Steel Market Update can sometimes be one article positioned at just the right time.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final thoughts
SMU has heard from some larger buyers who have stepped back into the market to buy at prices that, if not at a bottom, they assess to be close to one. Is it enough to stretch out lead times and send prices upward again? Or do we continue to scrape along the mid-$600s per short ton (st) as we have been doing for most of the last month?
Final thoughts
Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves had some insightful things to say today about the steel market and about a conference we suspect might be Steel Summit.
Final thoughts
They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Well, when you add in some commentary from respected peers in the steel industry to those pictures, that may shoot you up to five thousand words, at least. In that spirit, we’ve added some snapshots from our market survey this week, along with some comments from market participants.
Final thoughts
I thought we’d have more clarity this week on Section 232, Mexico, and a potential carve-out for steel melted and poured in Brazil. As of right now, the only official comment I have is from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR).
Final thoughts
There are just 40 days left until the 2024 SMU Steel Summit gets underway on Aug. 26 at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta. And I’m pleased to announce that it's official now: More than 1,000 people have registered to at attend! Another big development: The desktop version of the networking app for the event has officially launched!