SMU Data and Models
Distributors Supporting Higher Steel Spot Prices
Written by John Packard
March 15, 2018
Last week, Steel Market Update conducted an analysis of the flat rolled steel market trends. We reached out to 640 individuals representing more than 600 manufacturers, steel service centers and wholesalers, steel mills and toll processors and asked dozens of questions related to flat rolled and plate steel usage.
One of the key areas of our inquiry was what steel service centers are doing regarding spot prices to their customers. Specifically, we asked both manufacturing companies and distributors whether service centers were raising, lowering or keeping spot prices the same as two weeks ago (the last time we inquired).
Going back to mid-fourth quarter 2017, there has been a building wave of support for higher spot prices by steel distributors to their customers. This support is related to price increases being collected and, in SMU’s opinion, the mills’ ability to collect these price increases in part due to the support provided by the service centers.
Flat rolled and plate steel service centers are almost universally asking for higher spot pricing from their customers. The percentage of manufacturing companies reporting that their service center suppliers were raising prices increased from 86 percent in mid-February to 94 percent this past week.
We saw 98 percent of the service centers responding to our questionnaire reporting their company as raising spot prices to their customers.
With the president announcing tariffs against foreign steel, there is no question that in the short-term steel distributors will continue to ask for higher spot pricing. The expectation is for prices to remain high and move even higher, which would mean that this “up” market cycle could extend for some time to come. For this reason, we are keeping our SMU Price Momentum Indicator pointing toward higher steel prices over the next 30-60 days.
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models
Steelmaking raw material prices ease in July
The majority of steelmaking raw material prices declined in June, following the same trend seen in May, according to SMU’s latest analysis.
SMU price ranges: HR declines moderate. Are we near a bottom?
SMU’s sheet price ranges slid again this week. But the declines were more pronounced on tandem products whereas prices for hot-rolled coil held roughly steady.
Some SMU Key Market Indicators improve, others remain near historic lows
SMU’s Key Market Indicators include data on the economy, raw materials, manufacturing, construction, and steel sheet and long products. They offer a snapshot of current sentiment and the near-term expected trajectory of the economy. All told, nine key indicators point lower, 16 are neutral, and 13 point higher. One thing worth noting: The nine indicators pointing lower are all lagging indicators. Many of those pointing upward are leading indicators.
SMU survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebound
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both saw improvement this week. Current sentiment ticked higher but remains near the four-year low seen earlier this month. Future Sentiment continues to indicate that buyers are optimistic for future business conditions.
SMU market survey results now available
The latest SMU market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Historical survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if your […]