SMU Imports Report: Great Lakes Leads in Plate

Most notable about coiled plate is that in the 19 months from January 2017 through July 2018, the Great Lakes region received three times as much tonnage as all other regions combined. The Rio Grande, Gulf and Pacific South were a distant second, third and fourth, respectively. Minimal tonnage arrived at the North and South Atlantic or Pacific North ports. Figure 1 shows the year-to-date tonnage into each region and the dominance of the Great Lakes.

 National level import reports do a good job of measuring the overall market pressure by product, but the downside is that there are huge regional differences. Figure 2 shows the year-to-date change for each of seven regions and the change at the national level. Imports of coiled plate into the U.S. as a whole were up by 20.3 percent year to date compared to 2017. Growth in the Great Lakes region where most of the tonnage arrived was 14.1 percent YTD. The tonnage into the Pacific South ports of L.A. and San Diego increased by 71.1 percent, while those crossing the Rio Grande grew by 35.6 percent.

Figures 3, 4, 5 and 6 show the history of coiled plate imports by region since March 2013 on a three-month moving average basis (3MMA).

There has been a drastic decline of coiled plate imports into the Pacific North since 2014 and the first half of 2015. Tonnage into the Pacific South has been trending up for 18 months.

Coiled plate imports into the whole Atlantic seaboard have been minimal since mid-2015.

Import volume into the Great Lakes has been increasing steadily for two years. The volume into the Gulf is flat after a declining trend from 2015 through 2017.

Tonnage out of Mexico, mostly through Laredo, has trended up since the beginning of 2016, except for a four-month hiatus in February through May last year.

Premium subscribers have access to detailed reports by district and source nation on our website in the Analysis> Imports/Export section. These reports show, for example, that the Port of Savannah has experienced a 51 percent decline in OMC sheet this year and that most of the tonnage into that port is coming from Taiwan and Vietnam.

Sources: Information in this report has been compiled from tariff and trade data from the U.S. Department of Commerce and the U.S. International Trade Commission.