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    CRU: Dollar Remains Strong as Commodity Currencies Hit

    Written by Ross Cunningham


    By CRU Senior Cost Analyst Ross Cunningham, from CRU’s Steel Monitor

    Covid-19 has spread across the world at alarming rates. As of March 28, the pandemic has reached 177 countries and shows little sign of letting up. When fighting a global health and economic crisis unlike anything ever seen before, there will be no winners—only those that lose a little less than others. Commodity currencies have fallen sharply since the start of the year due to Covid-19. This fall reflects two factors—a large decline in the global demand for commodities; and a “risk off” sentiment that led to record capital flight out of emerging markets (EMs). All of the capital that entered EMs in 2019 was taken out in the first three months of 2020.

    Latest in Market Data

    Apparent steel supply remains historically strong through August

    The volume of finished steel that entered the US market increased 1% from July to August to the second-highest monthly level recorded in the past four years, according to SMU’s analysis of recently released Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute data. Apparent steel supply is calculated by combining domestic mill shipments and finished US steel imports, then subtracting total US exports. It can be used as a proxy for domestic steel demand. Supply has remained historically strong since May, when it surpassed the 9 million st mark it had previously been beneath for four years.

    US shipments of heating and cooling equipment slow further in August

    Total shipments of heating and cooling equipment cooled further in August, according to the latest figures from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). After falling 11% month on month (m/m) in July, shipments slipped another 10% in August. The monthly pace marks the third-slowest shipment rate year-to-date. Shipments of water heaters, air conditioners, and heat pumps declined m/m, while warm-air furnace shipments picked up. Compared with a year earlier, only air conditioners and heat pumps increased.