Final Thoughts
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Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
July 27, 2020
Watch the market closely. I am hearing rumors that at least one EAF mill is trying to get flat rolled numbers up. Right now, most (not all) data providers were not supportive of higher numbers. I am hearing integrated mills are not booking a lot of spot business, and thus are able to get slightly higher prices. Although with new capacity coming back online there is a struggle for market share. We will need to watch lead times closely in the coming weeks.
Here are just two of the comments we received from steel buyers today:
“I do not believe pricing will rise with the announced price increases. If it does it will be short lived, as I believe the minimills’ lead time is too short, and they need tons to fill.”
“Although I was not really expecting it, I am now thinking some of the increase will stick. As a side note, based on numbers we have received, the offshore spread is shrinking a bit. The offshore increase was certainly more than the domestic.”
Less than a month to go… (26 days)
I added a couple new speakers to the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference. I added Big River Steel CEO David Stickler, and I added Tom Cullen, CEO of Magic Coil Products.
We have the CEOs for the following steel mills speaking at this year’s conference:
David Burritt, U.S. Steel
Leon Topalian, Nucor
Mark Millett, Steel Dynamics
Maximo Vedoya, Ternium
David Stickler, Big River Steel
Lourenco Goncalves, Cleveland-Cliffs/AK Steel
We could never have had as many mill CEOs in a live event (just not enough time in the program). With a virtual event, we can control time and offer more speakers, cover more topics.
We have a couple of professional speakers for this year’s conference that I think you will find quite interesting. Ryan Avery THE Keynote Speaker will discuss how to stop being “a” leader and become “THE” leader. In 2012 Ryan won the prestigious World Championship of Public Speaking. Jeff Butler is an entrepreneur and he will discuss Building an Effective Multi-Generational Workplace. You will not want to miss either of these young speakers.
Encourage the “C-Suite,” Human Resources and young up-and-coming leaders to attend this year’s conference.
Our parent company’s events team produced a virtual conference for the wire and cable industry last week using the same platform we will be using for the 2020 SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference. That conference attendance was larger than the normal live event, as it was very much international in focus, and the virtual nature allowed for attendees from around the world to interact with the platform on their schedule.
The ability to multi-task and network with large numbers of people was appreciated by the wire and cable attendees. One analyst reported having 20 conversations going on at the same time.
Whether you are registered or not, you will want to participate in Wednesday’s SMU Community Chat Webinar as Paul Terry of CRU Events and I unveil the new platform from which we will host our conference this year. We will provide answers to many questions you might have about the conference, the program and your ability to network.
You can register for the webinar by clicking here, or going to www.SteelMarketUpdate.com/blog/smu-community-chat-webinars We will record this webinar and it will be available later this week under the SMU Community Chat webinar link in our website (same one referenced at the beginning of this paragraph).
We are closing in on 600 registered attendees, having added these companies over the past 24 hours (those with an * mean more than one attendee registered from that company): Medtrade*, Bailey Metal Products, Ltd, Magic Coil Products*, Zekelman Industries*, Verde Industries, Inc., Minnesota Power*, and Metal Master. If you would like to join them click here. If you have questions, please feel free to reach out to us at Events@SteelMarketUpdate.com
Don’t forget SMU NexGen Leadership Award nominees will be given free registration to this year’s conference. You can nominate someone by clicking here or going to www.smusteelsummit.com and clicking on the 2020 Award tab. Nominations close soon.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
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John Packard
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Final thoughts
SMU has heard from some larger buyers who have stepped back into the market to buy at prices that, if not at a bottom, they assess to be close to one. Is it enough to stretch out lead times and send prices upward again? Or do we continue to scrape along the mid-$600s per short ton (st) as we have been doing for most of the last month?
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/images/Featured_News_Icons/gears.png)
Final thoughts
Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves had some insightful things to say today about the steel market and about a conference we suspect might be Steel Summit.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/images/Featured_News_Icons/gears.png)
Final thoughts
They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Well, when you add in some commentary from respected peers in the steel industry to those pictures, that may shoot you up to five thousand words, at least. In that spirit, we’ve added some snapshots from our market survey this week, along with some comments from market participants.
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/images/Featured_News_Icons/gears.png)
Final thoughts
I thought we’d have more clarity this week on Section 232, Mexico, and a potential carve-out for steel melted and poured in Brazil. As of right now, the only official comment I have is from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR).
![](https://www.steelmarketupdate.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/11/SMU-Steel-Summit.png)
Final thoughts
There are just 40 days left until the 2024 SMU Steel Summit gets underway on Aug. 26 at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta. And I’m pleased to announce that it's official now: More than 1,000 people have registered to at attend! Another big development: The desktop version of the networking app for the event has officially launched!