CRU
March 16, 2021
Written by Erik Hedborg
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor
Iron ore prices have fallen back to $200 /dmt as Chinese demand continues to weaken and the country’s ports have registered the highest level of iron ore inflow since Q1. On Tuesday, July 27, CRU assessed the 62% Fe fines price at $200.0 /dmt, a $21.0 /dmt fall in the past week.
CME Group’s hot-rolled coil futures have jumped higher as the loss of a reheating line at a large Southern mill have renewed domestic production issues. At market close on Oct. 12, the Q4'26 futures are now pricing in $1,295 per short ton (st) for HR coil, a month-over-month (m/m) increase of $63/st. For 2027, the forward curve is up $80 /st vs. September, at $1,207/st. For November 2026 through March 2027, prices are at an average just above $1,300/st.
CRU Research Principal speaks about the implication of Mesabi Metallics' proposed steel mill in Iowa.
CME Group’s HR coil futures have had a volatile stretch over the past few weeks.
Americas wire and cable demand held firm through H1 2026, as data center and energy infrastructure buildouts, driven by wider electrification and power supply investments, more than offset weakness in traditional construction sectors such as residential
For the next month, CRU forecasts that steelmaking raw materials demand will improve as buyers will restock ahead of seasonally stronger steel-demand periods.