Economy

May Manufacturing Growth Slows, Demand Edging Down: PMI
Written by David Schollaert
June 5, 2022
The S&P Global US manufacturing PMI – another measure of manufacturing – fell to 57 in May, its lowest level in four months, and a noticeable turn from the market improvement the month prior.
Last month’s results are down from 59.2 in April and a “flash” May reading of 57.5. (Recall that a reading above 50.0 indicates growth.) The report said the manufacturing upturn slowed amid cooling demand, surging costs, and material shortages. In particular, cost inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in six months even though delivery delays were the least widespread in 16 months.
“A cooling in new orders growth was in part linked to customers pushing back on high prices, though also reflected shortages and growing concern about the outlook, said Chris Williamson, S&P Global Market Intelligence’s chief business economist.
Output growth at manufacturers was strong, driven by client demand, and an uptick in new orders supported the upturn in production. Despite the gain, the rate of expansion was the slowest over the past three months due to material shortages and delivery delays. A softer rise in order book totals resulted as inflows began to stymie growth momentum, the report said.
New orders rose sharply in May, with higher new sales inflows often attributed to a sustained rise in customer demand and the acquisition of new clients. That said, the pace of growth softened further from March’s recent peak and was the slowest seen since January. Foreign client demand also softened, with export orders rising at the slowest rate for four months. Global uncertainty due to the war in Ukraine and challenging logistics reportedly weighed on the upturn.
“A solid expansion of manufacturing output in May should help drive an increase in GDP during the second quarter, with production growth running well above the average seen over the past decade,” said Williamson. “However, the rate of growth has slowed as producers report ongoing issues with supply chain delays and labor shortages, as well as slower demand growth.”
By David Schollaert, David@SteelMarketUpdate.com

David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in Economy

SMU Community Chat: Tariff-induced panic purchases, inflation, and calculating costs
Chief executive of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), Tom Derry highlighted how reactive buying behavior has shifted the market into a quiet demand period. Derry presented ISM data during the weekly SMU community chat.

Architecture billings still sluggish despite project inquiry uptick
The Architecture Billings Index (ABI), a leading indicator for non-residential construction activity, declined for an eighth straight month in June.

Beige Book: Tariff pressures mount, flat outlook
All districts reported “experiencing modest to pronounced input cost pressures related to tariffs, especially for raw materials used in manufacturing and construction.”

Steel exports recovered in May but still historically low
US steel exports rose 10% from April to May but remained low compared to recent years. This came just one month after exports fell to the lowest level recorded in nearly five years.

AISI: Raw steel production ticks up near recent high
The volume of raw steel produced by US mills inched higher last week, according to the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). After steadily increasing in April and May, domestic mill output stabilized in early June and has remained historically strong since.