Product
January 9, 2023
Written by David Schollaert
Raw steel production by US mills fell further last week as capacity utilization slipped to just 71.3%, according to data released by the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) on Monday, Jan. 9.
The decline came as production was again impacted by the holidays, with mills in the Great Lakes, South, and West cutting production, even as those in the Northeast and Midwest increased output.
The situation in Turkey for procuring ferrous scrap for its steel industry is facing some difficult times. As obsolescent scrap flows start to abate in Northern Europe and the US with the onset of the winter and the holiday season, the price of buying scrap for this period is trending upward. The domestic market in the US is expected to rise in November, possibly in December, and definitely in January as the US melt rate shows no signs of lessening. In Europe, the main problem is supply as the Turkish mills have leaned on this region heavily over the last two months rather than sourcing enough higher priced US cargoes. The European suppliers can only sell what is convenient at this point without an increase in price.
Australia’s BlueScope has raised its earnings outlook for the first half of fiscal 2027, citing stronger-than-anticipated performance at its North Star BlueScope mill in Ohio and improved results across several other businesses. The Melbourne-based company said in earnings guidance on Monday that it expects its North American businesses to deliver earnings about two-thirds higher than in the second half of fiscal 2026. North Star is forecast to perform nearly three-quarters better than in that period, when it reported EBIT of AU$484 million (US$339.8 million). BlueScope attributed the North Star uplift primarily to stronger benchmark spreads.
Nucor said on Monday, Oct. 26, that its consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil will be $1,270 per short ton (st) this week, up $15/st from the prior week. The CSP for HR coil from California Steel Industries (CSI) on the West Coast will be $1,340/st, up $20/st from last week. Nucor continues to offer lead times of three to five weeks, according to its letter to customers. You can track mill price announcements on our website. Steel Market Update (SMU) published a weekly price assessment on Tuesday, Oct. 20, showing HR coil prices averaging $1,290/st, up $10/st from the previous week. We will update our prices on the evening of Tuesday, Oct. 27.
Steel production is set to return to California next year. Pacific Steel Group broke ground on its Mojave Micro Mill in Kern County, just outside Los Angeles, earlier this year. It marked what California Governor Gavin Newsom recently touted as the first steel mill to break ground in the state in more than 50 years. The plant is scheduled to begin commissioning in the first quarter of 2027, and the project is expected to create ~700 jobs. Before Pacific Steel, the last mill to break ground in California was the Kaiser Steel plant in Fontana, 50 miles outside of Hollywood. The plant was built to supply the World War II effort and began operating in 1942. It eventually shut down in 1983. Today, the site is home to California Steel Industries (CSI), a joint venture between Nucor and JFE Steel. CSI is a reroller and does not melt its own steel.
GrafTech International continues to expect modest growth in graphite electrode demand for the full year of 2026. The company reaffirmed its expectation of a 5-10% year-over-year increase in graphite electrode sales volume as it seeks to gain market share. “Overall, we continue to see improving trends across several of our key regions,” CEO Tim Flanagan said on a conference call Friday to discuss its third quarter results.