US apparent steel supply recovers in December but remains low
December supply increased 7% from November to the third-lowest monthly rate of the year.
December supply increased 7% from November to the third-lowest monthly rate of the year.
Entering 2026, tin has led a frenzied base metal rally during a historic phase for commodities. Frothy market conditions, driven by volatile investor positioning and shifting macro risk sentiment, pushed several metals—including tin—to record highs in January, before a sharp correction in February.
SMU polled steel buyers on an array of topics, ranging from market prices, demand, and inventories to tariffs, imports, and evolving market events.
Over the last month, incoming macro data was encouraging but did not signal a wholesale change in trajectory from uneven expansion within industrials.
Trade for many of the sheet and plate products we follow has fallen to multi-year lows through December.
The total amount of raw steel produced around the world recovered 5.5% from December to an estimated 147.3 million metric tons in January, according worldsteel.
Total construction starts edged up 0.7% in January to an annualized rate of $1.24 trillion, according to Dodge Construction Network.
Steel imports slowed further in December and January to some of the lowest volumes recorded in recent years.
SMU’s Steel Demand Index slipped from earlier in the month, but remains above expansion territory, according to late-February indicators.
The amount of raw steel produced by US mills rose to the highest level recorded in over four years, according to AISI's latest figures.
North American auto assemblies recovered in January, up nearly 12% vs. December, though down more than 2% year on year (y/y), according to GlobalData.
The latest Baker Hughes rig count report shows steady drilling for oil and gas in the US, while drilling in Canada improved slightly.
SMU's Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices continue to show that steel buyers are optimistic for their businesses’ chances of success.
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.
SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) rose again in January, maintaining momentum from the month prior. The increase came as service center intake levels ticked up, supported by a jump in shipments, according to our latest service center inventories data.
The galvanized steel market is navigating price increases and longer lead times with a surer footing than in prior months.
The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) tumbled in January, as business softened further at architectural firms across the US.
Hot rolled and galvanized lead times are about half a week longer than they were three months ago, while production times for cold rolled, Galvalume, and plate products are one to two weeks longer.
US ferrous scrap prices continued to rise in February, scrap sources told SMU.
Since late 2025, mills have begun to hold a firmer stance on prices, tightening their grip at the start of this year and holding on since
Once wintery weather gives way to sunnier spring conditions, plate sources foresee the market accepting the $50-60 per short ton spot price increases issued by Nucor Plate Group, Oregon Steel Mills, and SSAB.
US service centers’ flat-rolled steel supply declined in January, after trending higher in December. Shipping days of supply slipped to 58.5 on an adjusted basis at the end of January, according to SMU data.
Raw steel production ramped up last week to one of the highest weekly rates recorded in the last four years, according to recently released American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data.
Following November’s nine-year low, heating and cooling equipment shipments rebounded 19% in December.
The latest Baker Hughes rig count report shows steady drilling for oil and gas in the US, while drilling in Canada slowed slightly.
Nucor on Friday announced plans to increase plate prices by $50 per short ton (st).
CRU: US Midwest sheet prices have continued to rise from our mid-January assessment.
Earlier this week, SMU polled steel buyers on an array of topics, ranging from market prices, demand, and inventories to tariffs, imports, and evolving market events.
SMU’s sheet price indices inched up to new multi-month highs this week, while plate prices held steady.
Domestic mill output ramped up last week to a five-month high, according to the latest production data released by the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI). Production has held strong in recent weeks following the multi-month lows seen at the end of the year.