The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) increased yet again for September, reaching its second highest level in 2013, just behind February. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The American Institute of Architects reported on Wednesday that the […]
On August 23rd Steel Market Update adjusted our Price Momentum Indicator from Higher to Neutral. Since that time benchmark hot rolled prices have been within $5 per ton (+/-) of $640 per ton until this past week when prices rose by $15 per ton. Essentially, we began capturing transactions and offers related to the price […]
A decline in business activity is forecast for the next three months by metalforming companies participating in the October Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. Survey participants also expect incoming orders to decline over the next three months. The forecast was similar to September’s predictions but PMA President William E. Gaskin indicated the pessimism […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning, Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United States […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United […]
In our recent steel market survey which we conducted this past week, 56.4 percent of those responding to our questions (all respondents) told us the current contract negotiations on their 2014 flat rolled steel needs represented a “game changer” for the U.S. steel industry. Manufacturers We asked manufacturing companies if their contract negotiations included reduction […]
Global steel production, September 2013 rose 1.05 percent from August to 132,154,000 tonnes and a capacity utilization rate of 76.8 percent. The annualized three month moving average production was 1.581 billion tonnes in the third quarter (Figure 1). Capacity is now 2.076 billion tonnes. Global production this year is following the same pattern as the […]
The Chinese economy grew 7.8 percent in the third quarter, compared to 7.5 percent in the second quarter and 7.7 percent in the first quarter. Growth for the first nine months of 2013 was 7.7 percent keeping China on target for a 7.5 percent GDP for the year. According to the China National Bureau of […]
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. turned positive this week after 4 consecutive weeks in negative territory. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is based upon the current hot rolled coil price weighed against the previous 12-week average spot price as recorded by Steel Market Update. MoMo was measured […]
Domestic mill lead times, which had been relatively flat since the beginning of September according to past SMU steel market surveys, are beginning to indicate a modest strengthening. Our survey respondents put hot rolled lead times at 4.07 weeks (last year in mid-October they were 2.93 weeks) which is up slightly from the 3.94 weeks […]
Based on responses from the Steel Market Update (SMU) mid-October steel market survey, SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is +38 and is considered to represent an optimistic view of the industry by those buying and selling flat rolled steel products. The latest reading is up one point over our early October measurement but is one […]
September rose slightly from end of August numbers. The 8,031,400 tons reported by the Metal Service Center Institute (MSCI) is still 8.4 percent below the levels held by the distributors at the end of September 2012. The number of months of inventory on hand was reported to be 2.4 months on an unadjusted basis and […]
Canadian shipments for all steel products in the month of September were 474,900 net tons, a decrease of 0.8 percent from the month before but an increase of 1.1 percent from September 2012. Inventories at the end of the month stood at 1,297,700 tons, a decrease of 6.6 percent from last month and a decrease […]
Last week the International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its forecast for global / regional and national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth through 2018. For 2013 the projection for global growth was reduced by 0.3 percent to 2.9 percent and for 2014 was reduced down by 0.2 percent to 3.6 percent. As it stands 2013 will […]
Business conditions held steady for New York manufacturers according to the October Empire State Manufacturing Index. The general business index fell 5 points to 1.5 but remained in growth status. The new orders index rose 5 points while shipping fell 3 points, suggesting modest increases for both indexes for the month. The prices paid index […]
The Certified Steel Stud Association (CSSA) recently squared off against the Steel Framing Industry Association (SFIA) over galvanized coatings for steel stud. CSSA released a warning that G40e or G40EQ coated steel products are not a substitute for G40 coated steel studs. G40 is a hot-dipped galvanized coating (99 percent zinc) that is used to […]
The U.S. Treasury defines the debt ceiling or limit as “the total amount of money that the United States government is authorized to borrow to meet its existing legal obligations, including Social Security and Medicare benefits, military salaries, interest on the national debt, tax refunds, and other payments.” The current debt ceiling is set at […]
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Research metals and mining analyst, Timna Tanners was recognized by Institutional Investor as the top analyst in the space. Last year, Institutional Investor ranked Ms. Tanners as the second best analyst in the metals and mining space which includes the steel industry. Tanners has been with Bank of America Merrill […]
The Board of Directors of the World Steel Association (worldsteel) has elected the following new officers for 2013/2014: Chairman: POSCO Chairman and CEO Joon-Yang Chung Vice Chairmen: Severstal JSC CEO Alexey Mordashov, voestalpine AG CEO and Chairman Wolfgang Eder Treasurer: JFE Steel Corporation CEO and President Eiji Hayashida The new chairman takes office from Wednesday […]
The Federal Reserve publishes a trade weighted index of the value of the US$ (dollar) against a basket of the currencies of our major trading partners on a daily and monthly basis. As a result of the government shut-down we don’t have the very latest data for this index. The latest data we do have […]
On the Far East Asia side, market for finished products is still weak and in an oversupply situation. Most Asian mills coming into October will resume full production schedules after the summer time electricity curtailments. However, this added production is going into a weak finish demand situation. Consequently, even with the recent slide in the […]
Canadian building permits in August declined for the third month in a row, dropping 0.7 percent to 209,652 units from 211,080 in July, according to data released Oct. 8 by Statistics Canada. Total value of permits in August was $6.3 billion, down 21.2 percent from July following an increase of 21.4 percent the previous month. […]
Steel buyers surveyed in the September Institute for Supply Management’s Steel Buyer’s Forum are expecting orders to remain flat or drop in the next three months. Buyers who felt orders would remain the same increased to 53.3 percent from 41.2 percent in August; those who predicted a drop increased to 20 percent from 11.8 percent […]
Chinese pig iron steel production in August 2013 was 59,931,000 metric tons, a slight decline of 0.15 percent over July figures but an 11.1 percent increase over the same month one year ago. Total crude steel production was 66,277,000 tons in August, a slight increase from the 65,474,000 tons reported for July but a large […]
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. remained negative this week for the 4th week after 15 consecutive weeks in positive territory. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is based upon the current hot rolled coil price weighed against the previous 12-week average spot price as recorded by Steel Market […]
Apparent steel use is expected to grow around 3 percent for both 2013 and 2014 says the World Steel Association in its Short Range Outlook. lobal steel demand is expected to increase to 1.475 billion metric tons in 2013, up 3.1 percent over 2012. WSA says steel use will continue its growth trend in 2014 […]
The Steel Manufacturers Association (SMA) Board of Directors announced the election of Philip K. Bell as SMA President. Bell is currently Director of External Communications and Public Affairs for Gerdau Long Steel North America. He will assume his new role at SMA on November 1, 2013. Current SMA President Thomas Danjczek will retire after 15 […]
Effect of the government shutdown on information flow: about half of the data that we at SMU use to evaluate the state of and direction of the steel market is produced by government agencies and is publicly available. The current nature of things was brought home to us on Tuesday when we attempted to access […]
Based on our survey results, hot rolled and cold rolled lead times barely moved compared to two weeks ago. Galvanized lead times shrunk slightly from 6.00 weeks to 5.84 and Galvalume lead times dropped from 6.80 weeks to 6.33 weeks. The current lead times are longer than they were one year ago on all products […]
In spite of the federal government’s decision to shut down, those involved in the flat rolled steel industry continue to remain optimistic about their company’s ability to be successful in both the current environment as well as 3-6 months into the future. Steel Market Update (SMU) just completed our beginning of October flat rolled steel […]