The Energy Information Administration’s July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) remains subject to a high level of uncertainty, driven by factors such as sanctions affecting Russia’s oil production, the production decisions of OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), and the rate at which US producers increase drilling. Due to these variabilities, the EIA continues to […]
Flat Rolled = 55 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat rolled inventories edged up in June. At the end of June, service centers carried 55 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, according to SMU data. This was up from 54.7 shipping days […]
The US economy has expanded at a modest pace since mid-May, the Federal Reserve said in its latest Beige Book report. But while the economy continues to grow, it has been exhibiting signs of a slowdown over the past month. And recession concerns are rising, the report said. The latest temperature check by the Fed on […]
Business activity in the state of New York saw a modest increase in July, following a sideways move the month prior, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The New York Fed’s Empire State headline general business conditions index – a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state – rose 12.3 points in July to […]
Total mill shipments of steel products grew in May, after shrinking the month prior. May’s mill shipments totaled 8.38 million tons, a 3.1% increase from April’s 8.12 million tons. Apparent supply also recovered in May, up 3.9% versus the prior month. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment data from the American Iron and Steel Institute […]
Data on US industrial production, capacity utilization, orders and inventories continued to improve through the first half of 2022, indicating a strengthening manufacturing sector. The health of the manufacturing economy has a direct bearing on the health of the steel industry. The Industrial Production (IP) Index The IP index is a gauge of output from […]
By CRU Research Analyst James Mills, from CRU’s Multi-Commodity Monthly Report The upside risk to commodity prices created by the war in Ukraine diminished in June as markets assessed the impact of a slower global demand growth outlook, higher inflation expectations, and a continuation of Covid-19 lockdowns in China. Bearish Economic Forecasts Are Downside Risk […]
This week’s SMU survey results show a big jump in the number of respondents reporting dwindling demand. When asked how they are seeing demand for their products, 40% of respondents said demand is declining. That was a jump from the 26% reporting falling demand in the prior two surveys and from only 5% early in […]
The number of total active drilling rigs in the US and Canada increased this week, according to data from oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in operation is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods (OCTG) demand. The […]
The US economy added 372,000 new jobs in June, while the unemployment rate held unchanged at 3.6%, and the labor force shrank by 353,000 people, according to the Labor Department. Hiring last month slowed only slightly, and the US job market remains resilient despite high inflation and waning economic growth. Job gains have slowed since […]
The US labor market added 372,000 jobs in June, an unexpected boost in hiring. It was ahead of most expectations and only slightly down from May’s revised 384,000 additional payrolls. The result kept the unemployment rate unchanged month on month (MoM) at the pandemic-era low of 3.6%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Payroll gains […]
Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index rose one 1 this week, inching up from the 18-month low seen in late June. Our Future Sentiment Index also recovered a few points from a significant decline in June. It rose 3 points this week. SMU surveys steel buyers every other week and asks how they view their chances of success […]
More respondents to SMU’s latest survey now think hot-rolled coil prices will bottom in the fourth quarter of this year, with a majority anticipating prices to fall into the range of $800-899 per ton ($40-44.95 per cwt) by early September. As of last week, SMU’s average HRC price was $995 per ton. Just a month […]
Steel mill lead times continued to shorten into July for both sheet and plate products, according to our latest market check this week. On average this week, lead times declined by 0.3 weeks compared to late June and are down an average of half a week compared to one month prior. Having gradually declined from […]
Nearly nine out of ten steel executives polled this week reported that mills are willing to talk price to secure an order, according to our latest steel market survey. A high willingness to negotiate has been evident in our market checks since early May and now stands at the highest level since early February 2022. […]
Steel prices continued to ease each week throughout June, following declines in May as well. Hot rolled prices were $1,190 per ton ($59.50 per cwt) the first week of June. Prices then slipped between $45 and $90 each of the following weeks, with the SMU index averaging $995 per ton as of last Tuesday. (This […]
The S&P Global US manufacturing PMI – another measure of manufacturing – fell to 52.4 in June, its lowest level in nearly two years, as business activity in the manufacturing sector expanded at a much weaker pace last month. Last month’s results are down from 57 in May and missed the market expectation of 56 […]
US manufacturing activity expanded at a much slower pace in June than in May. The employment, new orders, and prices paid indexes all fell month-on-month (MoM), according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). June’s Manufacturing PMI fell to 53%, a 3.1-percentage-point decline compared to a reading of 56.1% in May. The measure came in weaker […]
The US economy shrank in the first quarter of 2022 at a slightly worse rate than expected, with gross domestic production declining at a -1.6% annualized pace, according to the third and final estimate from the US Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The third review for Q1 was a slight downward revision from […]
US consumer confidence fell to a 16-month low in June, falling for the second straight month. The consumer expectation index, meanwhile, hit its lowest mark in nearly a decade. An onslaught of grim economic news continues to erode Americans’ view of their present and future prospects, The Conference Board reported. Rising inflation, a key driver of […]
Nextracker LLC, a global utility-scale solar tracker manufacturer, and BCI Steel, a Pittsburgh-based steel fabricator, will breathe new life into the abandoned Bethlehem Steel manufacturing facility in Leetsdale, Pa. The historic factory – once a part of one of the world’s largest steel-producing and shipbuilding companies of the 20th century, and where steel for US […]
The steel industry’s push to decrease CO2 emissions in steelmaking will require an increase in high-grade iron ore production and improved beneficiation techniques, according to a report from The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). To reach net-zero emissions by 2050, not only will steelmakers need to switch production methods from coal-consuming blast […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose more than expected in May, suggesting business investment remains resilient even in the face of deteriorating business and consumer sentiment as well as heightened fears of a recession. Last month’s bookings for durable goods rose 0.7% following a revised 0.4% decline a month earlier, according to the […]
Most respondents to SMU’s latest survey think that hot-rolled coil prices will be below $1,000 per ton ($50 per cwt) two months from now. That’s a big change from earlier this month, when we did our last full survey and when those who thoughts tags would dip below the $1,000-per-ton threshold this summer were in […]
Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index fell 11 points to an 18-month low last week, the largest survey-to-survey decline since April 2020. Our Future Sentiment Index also declined significantly last week, following another large decline four weeks prior. SMU surveys steel buyers every other week and asks how they view their chances of success […]
By CRU Research Managers Sarah Macnaughton and Paul Butterworth, and contribution from CRU Sustainability Analysts Zsombor Garzo International trade is an essential part of the global steel industry, with over 20% of steel production traded today. However, as the world moves towards decarbonization, CRU finds that established trade flows are at risk. The green transition […]
The number of total active drilling rigs in the US increased again this week, while Canadian rigs decreased after multiple weekly increases, according to data from oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The number of active oil and gas drilling rigs in operation is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil […]
World crude steel production rose in May, gaining ground for a third consecutive month and reaching its second-highest mark on record. Global output was estimated at 169.5 million metric tons in May. Steelmakers around the world increased production by an estimated 6.8 million metric tons, or 4.2%, from April, according to World Steel Association (worldsteel) data. […]
Steel Market Update’s latest market check revealed that steel mill lead times continue to inch down for sheet and plate products as they move closer to historical norms. On average, lead times declined by 0.2 weeks compared to our early June figures and are down 0.4 weeks compared to one month ago. Lead times over […]
Approximately 84% of steel buyers report that mills are willing to talk price to secure an order, according to executives polled in our latest steel market survey. The rate of willingness to negotiate has remained over 50% in each of our market checks since early May and is now at the highest level since early […]