There has been a broad consensus that wherever the current market bottoms will be higher than pre-pandemic norms. But as our latest survey results indicate, estimates of where that bottom is keep moving lower. About half of respondents to our latest survey think prices will be $800-899 per ton two months from now. In late […]
Steel mill lead times continued to shorten into July for both sheet and plate products, according to our latest market check this week. On average this week, lead times declined by 0.3 weeks compared to late June and are down an average of half a week compared to one month prior. Having gradually declined from […]
Nucor is keeping plate prices flat with the opening of its August 2022 order book. The Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker said it would maintain plate prices, effective with new orders. All published adders and extras will be applied, the company said in a letter to customers dated June 30. In its previous letter to customers dated June 13, Nucor […]
Domestic sheet prices continue to slide back to levels not seen since late 2020 or early 2021. Even plate prices, which had been stable to date, are starting to show signs of cracking. SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price now stands at $955 per ton ($47.75 per cwt), down $300 per ton (24%) from early June […]
Steel prices continued to ease each week throughout June, following declines in May as well. Hot rolled prices were $1,190 per ton ($59.50 per cwt) the first week of June. Prices then slipped between $45 and $90 each of the following weeks, with the SMU index averaging $995 per ton as of last Tuesday. (This […]
US manufacturing activity expanded at a much slower pace in June than in May. The employment, new orders, and prices paid indexes all fell month-on-month (MoM), according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). June’s Manufacturing PMI fell to 53%, a 3.1-percentage-point decline compared to a reading of 56.1% in May. The measure came in weaker […]
The appeal of foreign hot rolled coil (HRC) over domestic steel is slowly diminishing, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic HRC price comparison. Between mid-April and late May, foreign steel prices generally declined at a faster rate than domestic prices, resulting in greater potential discounts on imported products. Now, domestic prices are declining at a faster […]
Steel Market Update’s average hot-rolled coil price has fallen below $1,000 per ton ($50 per cwt) for the first time since December 2020 – or 18 months ago. The move comes as some market participants said that a floor might be near while others said such talk was mostly wishful thinking. Our benchmark hot-rolled coil […]
The steel industry’s push to decrease CO2 emissions in steelmaking will require an increase in high-grade iron ore production and improved beneficiation techniques, according to a report from The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA). To reach net-zero emissions by 2050, not only will steelmakers need to switch production methods from coal-consuming blast […]
I mentioned in my last Final Thoughts that you should keep your eyes open for potential catalysts for higher prices even amid all the signs that tags probably have nowhere to go but lower. It turned out we found one hiding in plain sight. It’s contract talk season in the US, with labor pacts between […]
The temptation to purchase foreign hot rolled coil (HRC) over domestic steel is beginning to ease, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic HRC price comparison. Foreign products now hold potential discounts of 9-15% over domestic steel, versus savings of 12-26% one month ago. Between mid-April and late May, foreign steel prices generally declined at […]
Steel Market Update’s latest market check revealed that steel mill lead times continue to inch down for sheet and plate products as they move closer to historical norms. On average, lead times declined by 0.2 weeks compared to our early June figures and are down 0.4 weeks compared to one month ago. Lead times over […]
I’m running out of ways to write about steel prices going down because I’ve been doing it since late April. There are the usual reasons plus a few new ones. There had been hopes that China would come out of Covid lockdowns, that Beijing would roll out stimulus, and that Asian HRC prices would set […]
Sheet prices continued to fall this week on lower raw material costs, a buyers’ strike and concerns in some corners about a potential recession. But that gloomy sentiment was not universally shared, with some sources pointing to strong or at least steady demand despite the lower prices. SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price now stands at […]
Despite falling prices and declining lead times for galvanized sheet, overall demand is still generally strong and a good reason for optimism, according to members of the Heating, Air-Conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International on this month’s call of HARDI’s Sheet Metal/Air Handling Council. One HARDI member in the Rocky Mountain region noted that his company […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is please to share this abbreviated Premium content with our Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. If you are part of a service center company and interested in becoming a data provider, please contact Estelle.Tran@CRUGroup.com. Flat Rolled = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply […]
North American auto assemblies improved by 5.9% in May, after shrinking by 15.8% the month prior – the first decline all year. And though ongoing supply hurdles continue, North American production has improved since bottoming out last December. May’s results are 14.4% higher year-on-year (YoY), but still 17.5% below the pre-pandemic period of May 2019. […]
The following article on the hot-rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled HR futures are coming back to life after a quiet spell in May. Month to date in June more than 225,000 […]
The temptation to purchase foreign hot rolled coil (HRC) over domestic steel remains high, but imports are not as competitive as they had been, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic HRC price comparison. Between mid-April and late May, foreign steel prices generally declined at a faster rate than domestic prices, resulting in greater potential discounts on imported […]
Despite inflation, rising interest rates, and faltering equities markets, the outlook is not all doom and gloom when it comes to the metals markets, says Rick Marabito, CEO of service center group Olympic Steel. In fact, the outlook for demand and consolidation is actually quite good, he told attendees of this week’s Steel Market Update […]
Total mill shipments of steel products slipped in April following a slight uptick the month prior. April’s mill shipments totaled 8.12 million tons, 2.6% decline from March’s 8.34 million tons. Apparent supply also fell in April, down 4.7% versus the prior month. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment data from the American Iron and Steel […]
Flat Rolled = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 55.2 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat rolled inventories rose in May as many service centers reported signs of slowing demand. At the end of May, service centers carried 54.7 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, according to SMU […]
Sheet prices are falling at the fastest clip we’ve seen since before the war in Ukraine. Let’s call it the great rewind. But where are we rewinding to – earlier this year or 2019, the last “normal” market we had before the disruptions caused by the pandemic and the war? First come context: SMU’s average […]
SMU on Monday and Tuesday canvassed steel buyers on a variety of subjects ranging from future steel prices and new capacity to demand and supply chain issues. As we did earlier this month, we are sharing the comments we received in each buyers’ own words rather than summarizing them in ours. Want to have your voice […]
Hot-rolled coil prices have suffered their biggest week-over-week decline since before the war in Ukraine sent tags sharply higher. Steel Market Update’s average hot-rolled coil price stands at $1,100 per ton ($55.50 per cwt), down $90 per ton from $1,190 per ton last week and down $265 per ton from $1,365 per ton in mid-May. […]
Mills are struggling to fill July order books, and some might still have room in June – that’s the feedback we’re getting from market participants and in our survey. You can check the full details in Brett Linton’s writeup of our latest lead time figures. One consequence of slipping lead times: We’re hearing from more […]
The temptation to purchase foreign hot rolled over domestic steel remains high, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) price comparison. Since mid-April, foreign steel prices have declined at a faster rate compared to domestic prices, resulting in greater potential discounts on imported products. Select foreign prices now range between $119-238 per […]
Steel Market Update’s latest market check indicates steel mill lead times continue to decline for sheet products as they move closer to historical norms. Plate lead times have been relatively flat since mid-May. Lead times over the past two weeks have been roughly in line with what we were seeing in the early weeks of […]
The big news of the day is that hot-rolled coil prices slipped below $1,200 per ton ($60 per cwt) for the first time since the start of the Ukraine war. The big question remains how far they’ll fall and how fast. There are no immediate signs of what might stop the declines. The Detroit-area scrap […]
US hot-rolled coiled prices have fallen below $1,200 per ton ($60 per cwt) for the first time since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. SMU’s hot-rolled coil price stands at $1,190 per ton ($59.50 per cwt), down $65 per ton from last week and down $290 per ton from a post-war high of $1,480 […]