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    Scrap Prices Rangebound or Surprise to Come?

    Written by John Packard


    Perhaps the scrap market can best be described by those actively sourcing/selling ferrous scrap. Here is how one of the larger groups saw the market this week, “The scrap trade was quite tumultuous this week.  Scrap demand, both export and domestic was robust, forcing the scrap processors to take a hard look at what sales to take or pass on.  Regional disparities were much more significant than usual as scrap was dislocated from the Midwest into the “river” and Southeast markets.  However, some of this pressure was relieved by availability and bookings of competitively priced imports of scrap and metallics.  Overall, the market settled generally sideways to up slightly ($5-10/gt), primarily based on regional factors and April settlements…”

    When referring to imports of metallics our source is referencing pig iron and DRI (direct reduced iron). We spoke directly with one of the pig iron sources for the domestic steel mills and we were told that recent deals to Nucor and SDI (Columbus) were done at $268-$268.50 out of Brazil.

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    Nucor said on Monday, Nov. 2, that its consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil will be $1,280 per short ton (st) this week, up $10/st from last week. The CSP for HR coil from California Steel Industries (CSI) on the West Coast will be $1,350/st, also up $10/st from a week earlier. Nucor continues to offer lead times of three to five weeks, according to its letter to customers. You can track mill price announcements on our website. Steel Market Update published a weekly price assessment on Tuesday, Oct. 27, showing HR coil prices averaging $1,305/st, up $15/st from the previous week.

    HR Futures: Basic story remains, but curve shifts

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    galvalume steel coil

    SMU Survey: Mill willingness to negotiate price at lowest levels since 2021

    The majority of steel buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that mills continue to hold a firm grip on prices. The share of buyers reporting that mills were negotiable fell this week to the lowest rate seen in over five years. Every two weeks, SMU surveys service center and manufacturer buyers asking if mills are negotiable on new spot sheet and plate orders. In this week’s survey, just 3% of respondents said mills were willing to talk price to secure an order (Figure 1). This is down 11 percentage points from our mid-October survey.