SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Lead Times Continue to Move Out
Written by John Packard
January 21, 2016
Based on the results of our flat rolled steel market analysis, all of the flat rolled lead times are averaging longer lead times than what we measured one year ago.
The SMU steel market questionnaire found the average lead time on hot rolled coil (HRC) was 3.91 weeks, up from a 3.63 week average reported at the beginning of January and well above the 2.81 weeks reported one year ago. Our respondents are reporting average lead times as being approximately one week further extended than what they were in November 2015.
Cold rolled lead times are averaging almost six weeks (5.85) according to our survey respondents. As with hot rolled, this is approximately one week longer than what we saw last January at this time and one week longer than what we reported in November 2015.
Galvanized lead times were reported to be averaging 6.5 weeks (6.45) which is almost 1.5 weeks longer than what was being reported in November 2015 and slightly more than a week longer than what we saw as the average in mid-January 2015.
Galvalume lead times, which had been relatively stable in recent weeks at about 6.3 weeks, moved out slightly to 6.63 weeks. Lead times now are about a half a week longer than what we saw in November and almost a week longer than what we reported in mid-January 2015.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Lead Time data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU’s June at a glance
A look at SMU data for the month of June.

SMU Survey: Buyers’ Sentiment rebounds from multi-year low
Both of SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices edged higher this week. Current Sentiment rebounded from a near five-year low, while Future Sentiment rose to a two-month high

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times pull back after early-June blip, plate holds
Following the uptick seen two weeks ago, lead times eased this week for all four sheet products tracked by SMU, while plate lead times held steady, according to this week’s market survey.

SMU Survey: Pricing power abruptly shifts to steel buyers
The majority of steel buyers responding to our latest market survey say domestic mills are more willing to talk price on sheet and plate products than they were earlier this month. Sheet negotiation rates rebounded across the board compared to early June, while our plate negotiation rate hit a full 100%.