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    SMU Price Ranges & Indices: How Much Further Do We Have to Go?

    Written by John Packard


    Flat rolled steel prices were mixed this week with three of the four items moving lower and one (galvanized) remaining the same. The questions being asked by buyers – both at the service center and manufacturing level – is how much further do prices need to fall before bouncing back?

    The issue of “finding the bottom” is a big one to buyers who are trying to lock in the lowest priced inventories as possible as we head into the New Year. We are hearing that inquiries are high at a number of steel service centers but buyers are still skeptical. We are also hearing that the domestic steel mills are offering prices better than what we have published below for “major” tons and for a specific piece of business. We have chosen to keep those prices out of our index as they do not necessarily represent “spot” prices which are readily available in the industry.

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    SMU Price Ranges: Sheet and plate up, buyers see strength into ’27

    Sheet and plate prices continued to press higher this week as the current supply squeeze shows no signs of letting up even as contract season winds down and lead times tip into 2027. The historic rally marks a sharp reversal from last year, when the consensus was that prices would drift lower on uneven demand and new capacity. Steel buyers said it remains difficult to find a domestic mill with spot availability in a market that some said is tighter than in 2021, even if prices haven't spiraled as high as they did then. SMU's price assessment for spot hot-rolled (HR) coil stands at...