• Skip to main content

    Government/Policy

    January 5, 2021

    Leibowitz on Trade: Running Low on Everything

    Written by Lewis Leibowitz

    Two phenomena that we have not seen in a long time have recently appeared. Whether they are short-term events or long-term realities is provoking debate. I am speaking of the distinct but related issues of inflation and shortages of, it seems, nearly everything.

    Inflation was a major factor in the U.S. economy throughout the 1970s. The term “stagflation” was coined during that time (just in time for the 1980 presidential campaign that resulted in Ronald Reagan’s landslide victory over President Jimmy Carter). Since then, inflation has been a topic of minor interest—until this year. With the apparent demise of the COVID-19 pandemic, and government efforts to return to vigorous economic growth, inflation has now appeared. While the Biden administration, for good political reasons, has sought to minimize the problem, the most recent inflation report last month revealed that most of the economy experienced significant inflation in April. Consumer prices rose a seasonally adjusted 0.8 percent in one month and the annual rate of inflation was 4.2 percent, the highest rate since 2008, the year of the financial crisis. Industrial goods including steel and aluminum, food and services (bought an airline ticket lately?) all contributed to the increases.

    Lewis Leibowitz, SMU Contributor

    Lewis Leibowitz

    Lewis Leibowitz, owner of the Law Office of Lewis E. Leibowitz, practices in the areas of international trade law, customs law, and international commercial transactions. He represents clients before all federal courts and agencies dealing with international trade matters. Mr. Leibowitz advises and assists clients in diverse matters including trade remedies, customs, foreign-trade zones and free trade agreements, trade negotiations, and related matters. He can be reached at lewis.leibowitz@lellawoffice.com.

    Read more from Lewis Leibowitz

    Latest in Government/Policy

    Canada, Ontario commit billions to steel and automotive industries

    The Canadian federal government and the Ontario provincial government have announced five-year commitments totaling CA$5.22 billion (US$3.72 billion) for a Joint Steel Action Fund. That funding comes alongside up to an additional CA$2.5 billion over two years for large-scale automotive capital projects. The federal and provincial governments said the package is intended to support domestic steel production, automotive manufacturing, and the transition to connected and electric vehicles.

    Commerce lowers Mexico’s dumping rate in CORE case

    The US Department of Commerce has reduced the anti-dumping duty on corrosion-resistant steel (CORE) for some Mexican producers after a court order. On remand from the Court of International Trade (CIT), Commerce agreed that the record did not show that Galvasid SA de CV’s US customers separately negotiated or paid freight or insurance. The agency therefore removed the adjustment and recalculated the margin. As a result, the agency lowered Galvasid’s coated steel dumping rate to 14.54%, from 24.05%. The all-others rate is now 14.29%, down from 17.42%. Ternium’s rate is unchanged at 14.17%.

    Price on Trade: Steel’s zero-sum game

    During the first three quarters of 2026, finished steel imports from South Korea increased 50.8% compared with the same period in 2025. Imports from Vietnam increased 23.4%, imports from Turkey increased 49.5%, and imports from India increased 29.5%. Those are not marginal increases. They are substantial import surges, especially in a US market where apparent domestic consumption has bounced around but has not grown since 2017. More importantly, these import surges are arriving at lower average unit values (AUVs).

    Commerce updates duties on Japanese HR

    The US Department of Commerce has adjusted anti-dumping duties on imports of hot-rolled flat steel products from Japan. The adjustment has lowered duties for one company but raised them for others. Commerce made the adjustments in the final results of an administrative review of the year ended Sept. 30, 2024. The agency set a final weighted-average dumping margin of 13.96% for Nippon Steel companies. This is lower than the company’s previous rate of 29.7%.