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    Analysis

    July energy market update

    Written by Brett Linton


    This Premium analysis covers North American oil and natural gas prices, drilling rig activity, and crude oil stock levels. Trends in energy prices and rig counts are an advanced indicator of demand for oil country tubular goods (OCTG), line pipe, and other steel products.

    The Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) July Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) was released earlier this month, forecasting spot prices, production, and inventories for crude oil and natural gas. Crude oil prices are expected to rise through the second half of the year, similar to last month’s forecast. Natural gas prices are forecast to remain low through Q3’24 and then experience typical seasonal increases through Q1’25. You can view the latest EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook here.

    Brett Linton

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    Price on Trade: Milwaukee Framework is a step forward on steel excess capacity

    Members of the Global Forum on Steel Excess Capacity (GFSEC) met in Wisconsin last week and unveiled an updated plan to combat market-distorting excess capacity. The Milwaukee Framework adds color to the 2017 “Berlin Principles.” It is also a positive step in the ongoing battle against global steel market distortions. However, the Framework is only a guidepost. It must be implemented correctly to make an impact as new problems loom.