A massive five at automotive parts supplier Meridian Magnesium Products has disrupted vehicle production at Ford, General Motors, FCA, BMW and Mercedes-Benz. An explosion and fire at the Meridian Lightweight Technology’s Eaton Rapids plant in Michigan on May 2 has forced Ford to suspend production of its popular F-150 truck and Superduty pickups. Ford has […]
Construction costs are surging as tariffs drive prices up for a wide range of building materials, said a new analysis of Labor Department data by the Associated General Contractors of America. Firms are facing higher input prices that they are unable to pass along to customers. “Contractors have started to boost the prices they charge, […]
I am in Chicago this evening attending the Metals Industry Boy Scout Dinner. Joining me is Tim Triplett, so please excuse tonight’s issue if it seems a little shorter than normal. The Vietnam circumvention final ruling has been delayed another week. I was speaking to a prospective new customer yesterday and realized as I talked […]
Last week, Steel Market Update conducted our early May flat rolled steel market trends survey. One of the key areas that we focus in on is the area of service center spot pricing to their end customers. We are interested in better understanding if steel distributors are raising, lowering or keeping spot prices the same […]
The vast majority of companies that buy foreign steel say they will continue to source product from outside the United States despite the Trump administration tariffs. About 88 percent of those responding to last week’s Steel Market Update market trends questionnaire say they will continue to buy foreign, while the other 12 percent say they […]
With 66 percent of our service center data providers reporting, flat rolled inventories were modestly lower as of the end of April at 2.6 months of supply compared to March when inventories were at 2.7 months. A large percentage (52 percent) of the companies reporting told SMU their number of months of supply for flat […]
The Dodge Momentum Index, a first report for nonresidential building projects in planning, jumped 6.1 percent in April to 163.0. Commercial and institutional components of the Index both rose 5.3 percent and 5.8 percent, respectively. “Over the last two months, the commercial portion of the Momentum Index has posted the most aggressive growth, fueled by […]
The final circumvention decision on Vietnam is due tomorrow, but will not be announced to the public until Thursday. We will have a full article and comments from trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz in Thursday evening’s issue of Steel Market Update. The recent Court of Appeals case may have some impact on the Vietnam final determination. […]
Since November 2008 Steel Market Update has been measuring how buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel felt about their company’s ability to be successful in both the existing (current) as well as future (3-6 months into the future) market conditions. The result is our nationally known SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index which we believe […]
Some quick housekeeping regarding this week’s schedule. On Monday I will be going out with two requests via email. The first will be for those service centers who participate in our service center inventories index. I hope to have those emails out to each of the distributors between 7:30 and 8:30 AM ET. Around 9 […]
Compared to this time last year, flat rolled lead times are highly extended – on all products. Plate lead times, which is not on our graphic, are also highly extended, but we are treating it differently as the domestic mills are on controlled order entry/allocation with their plate customers. Hot rolled lead times are averaging […]
Extended lead times will generally lead to steel mills being stingy about offering “deals” below the company pricing guidelines. Flat rolled steel prices have essentially plateaued. There may be a small number of “deals” out there (is $860 HRC really a “deal?”), but most mills are sticking to their guns. In all four products (hot […]
Total construction spending has expanded for seven straight months, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Department of Commerce data. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year increased from 2.1 percent in January to 2.2 percent in February to 2.3 percent in March this year. On a rolling […]
U.S. auto sales slipped in April after a robust March. WardsAuto estimated the seasonally adjusted annual rate at 17.1 million and actual light vehicle sales for the month at 1.35 million, down from 17.4 million and 1.5 million, respectively, from the previous month. SUVs and pickup trucks led sales again this month, despite gas prices […]
Today, we thought we would get the final determination of the Vietnam/China circumvention complaint. Steel Market Update has been in constant contact on this subject with trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz who advised us yesterday evening, “DOC announced today that the final Vietnam circumvention determination will be May 9, extended from May 2. The determination will […]
Key market indicators tracked by Steel Market Update are at an all-time high for April but have shown signs of weakening in the past few months. Data released in April shows that 18 of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 5 negative. The balance is within the historically normal band. Trends took a […]
This is Steel Market Update’s first Key Market Indicators report since April as we have renegotiated some data supply contracts and made a few changes to the content. The report still summarizes 36 data streams that we believe critically describe the state of the steel market and provide forward guidance to steel buyers. Data released […]
Steel Market Update is sharing this Premium content with Executive-level readers. For more information about upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Key market indicators in December were at an all-time high in the history of Steel Market Update’s analysis, but trends are deteriorating. This report summarizes 36 data streams that we believe critically describe […]
It’s May 1st and a new month has begun. This month is going to be an important one for Steel Market Update and our readers. We will be sending out a link to a questionnaire as we strive to improve our product for our members. We are trying to learn more about who you are, […]
This is going to be a crucial week for the steel industry and especially for those trading in foreign steel. As many of you know, President Trump set an expiration date to the country exclusions of May 1, 2018. That is Tuesday, so we should know more about what is going to happen over the […]
One quick note to those who may be thinking about attending our Steel 101 workshop in Memphis. We only have a few spots left and I expect the workshop will be sold out within the next week or so. If you have an interest in attending and you have questions about the workshop, please send […]
Construction costs increased for the 18th consecutive month in April, according to the latest data from IHS Markit and the Procurement Executives Group. The IHS Markit PEG Engineering and Cost Construction Index jumped 4.1 points from March to April to register 61.8. Indexes for materials/equipment and labor were both above 50, indicating rising prices. Prices […]
Sales of single-family homes jumped 4 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 694,000, according to information from HUD and the Census Bureau. Sales of new homes were 8.8 percent above the March 2017 estimate of 638,000. Commerce estimates the number of new homes for sale at the end of March was […]
Existing home sales in March rose 1.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.60 million. Tight inventory and affordability have kept sales 1.2 percent below year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors. “Robust gains last month in the Northeast and Midwest – a reversal from the weather-impacted declines seen in February […]
Low inventory continues to drive up home prices across the U.S. The S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller National Home Price NSA Index rose 6.3 percent in March, up from 6.1 percent in February. “Year-over-year prices measured by the National index have increased continuously for the past 70 months, since May 2012. Over that time, the price […]
Last month, Steel Market Update forecast flat rolled steel shipments from U.S. service centers would remain steady at 109,565 tons per day in February to 109,594 tons per day in March. The Metals Service Center Institute (MSCI) reported last week that sheet distributors shipped 107,314 tons per day, a decrease over February. Our shipment forecast […]
Once each quarter, Steel Market Update publishes the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, but we include them in our reports because of the importance of China in the global steel scene, and these numbers are all that’s available. […]
Another hectic week in the flat rolled and plate steel markets. Buyers and sellers of steel are all waiting to see what calamity awaits when the clock ticks 12:01 AM on May 1. That is when the Section 232 country exclusions are set to expire, according to the deadline set by President Trump. What he […]
Is your company at risk due to the impact of the Section 232 tariffs? Industry executives responding to Steel Market Update’s April 16 flat rolled market trends questionnaire are almost evenly split on whether the Trump administration tariffs will help or hurt their businesses. Fifty-two percent say their business is not at risk, while 48 […]
According to manufacturing companies, as well as steel service centers, the steady trend for higher flat rolled steel spot prices out of the distributors is changing. For the past four months, at least 74 percent of distributors and their manufacturing customers have been reporting spot flat rolled prices as rising. The 46 percent of the […]