I am chomping on the bit as today we managed to book a nationally known and widely recognized speaker who will (I hope) hold everyone in their seats until the end of our SMU Steel Summit Conference. When booking your travel to Atlanta for our conference, you will want to arrive as early Monday morning […]
It’s time to start thinking (and planning) for what you, your family and your company are going to do should the United States and China fail to reach a trade agreement. The Trump administration has threatened to impose 25 percent tariffs on $250 billion worth of products produced by Chinese factories. So far, President Trump […]
Earlier this week I was at the Port of Tampa Steel Conference as I was asked to be the master of ceremonies, and I also moderated the two main panels on Wednesday morning. Both panels dealt with trade issues with the primary focus being on the Section 232 tariffs on steel. The Port of Tampa […]
I am in Tampa, Fla., where I will be the master of ceremonies and the moderator of two panels regarding trade and trade policy at the 30th Port of Tampa Steel Conference. Originally, I was only going to moderate one panel, but weather in the Northeast has fouled up air travel and the original moderator’s […]
I continue to get mixed messages regarding the strength of the flat rolled steel market, and specifically lead times and pricing. I have heard from a number of steel buyers of longer lead times on galvanized at a couple of mills. The strength does not yet seem to be universal. Neither is the weakness. For […]
There is a considerable amount of information/debate happening in Washington, D.C., Canada, Mexico, China and Europe regarding tariffs either in place or being threatened by the Trump administration. We included a press release in tonight’s issue that was sent out by Wilbur Ross of the U.S. Department of Commerce earlier this week. U.S. Trade Representative […]
One constant I am hearing during my phone and email conversations is that January was a good month for shipments and February has started out strong. The construction community is pleasantly surprised, and I really have not heard anyone say business is bad in any market segment. One of the mills pointed out that much […]
It’s Super Bowl Sunday and I expect everyone’s focus is on the game and not on business. Mine, and my team’s, will be as well. Here’s hoping for a great game and that the best team wins (without any help from the referees). Because of the game, and the desire for not only your family […]
We have many new members as well as those on trials of our newsletters and website. I want to take a couple of minutes and explain what “final thoughts” means as it relates to this newsletter and Steel Market Update in general. Since I first started writing the Steel Market Update newsletter, I wanted a […]
What an interesting week it has been, and it’s only Tuesday. As previous articles have already stated, Nucor, U.S. Steel, NLMK USA and ArcelorMittal (verbally) have joined California Steel and USS/POSCO by announcing $40 per ton price increases on flat rolled. For those of you who are new to the industry or to our newsletter, […]
I have read a number of articles recently claiming steel prices have gone back to the levels they were when the Section 232 tariffs were announced. This is somewhat deceiving as the domestic mills had been pushing prices up prior to the announcement. A better benchmark would be to use the historical average on hot […]
Nope, I have not yet changed my position on the flat rolled market and where I am seeing momentum. Demand is good, sentiment is just “ok” for lack of a better term. I am seeing a little weakness in the plate market, but come on, the spread between plate and hot rolled is way too […]
Another hectic day in the steel industry – at least for me. Steel buyers seemed to be taking a wait-and-see approach to the market at the moment, but this too will change (it always does). At the moment, I still have our Price Momentum Indicator pointing toward “Lower” spot prices over the next 30 days. […]
It’s football night in North America, so I don’t know how many late Sunday night readers I will have. Hopefully, your team won, and all is well with the world. We have closed registrations for the end of January Steel 101 workshop. Our next workshop will be in Baytown, Texas, (just outside of Houston) and […]
For those of you who haven’t spent much time on the Home Page of our website, you are probably unaware of us removing the video of me talking about our newsletter and that space (upper left side) is now the placeholder for a number of video testimonials about our newsletter and the SMU Steel Summit […]
I was asked this evening if the JSW Ohio production tonnage is included in the weekly raw steel production report produced by the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI). In the fine print of their weekly report, the AISI states that 1st Quarter 2019 production is estimated at 30.5 million tons, which is lower than […]
I heard from one of my trading contacts who lives inside of China over the weekend. He had attended an economic lecture, the topic of which has been banned in China. China’s economy is a mess. I will have more on the Chinese economy and what it might mean for North America in the coming […]
It is so rare that I get to spend two weeks in the office, and I think I am going to be here for another week or so. At the end of the month, I will be in Mississippi to conduct one of our Steel 101 workshops. The Starkville workshop is close to being sold […]
I mentioned this in my pricing article earlier in this newsletter, but I think it bears repeating. When I was with Winner Steel (now called NLMK Sharon Coatings) we brought up two new coating lines. As each line came onstream it was imperative to get orders, so the line would run. One way to get […]
When on calls with steel service center and manufacturing executives, one of the questions that always comes up is my view on the economy. I am not an economist and I defer to CRU and to economists like Alan Beaulieu of ITR Economics (Alan speaks at the SMU Steel Summit Conference). I know Dr. Beaulieu’s […]
The New Year has started, the pace is a little slow for some, others have told me that their order books got a kick start yesterday. I have to imagine the differences are based on geography and product. This afternoon I had an interesting conversation with the head of commercial for a domestic steel mill. […]
Welcome to 2019! As we begin the New Year, I want to welcome everyone back to their offices or plants. I am looking forward to another interesting year as we continue to deal with the effects of Steel 232, anti-dumping and countervailing duties, threats of Section 232 for automotive and Section 301 on finished goods […]
Tomorrow night is Christmas Eve and so I am not going to spend a lot of time talking about the steel industry. My words tonight are aimed at the heart as I wish each of you a wonderful holiday and a happy, healthy New Year. From all of us here at Steel Market Update. John […]
So, we have our service center inventories at 2.5 months of supply, down slightly from the 2.6 months we got from our distributor data suppliers the previous month. This is not from our survey; we decided to put that data aside as it was suspect – it had both buyers and sellers contributing to the […]
We are quickly sliding toward the Christmas Holiday and the New Year. I guess this means I will need to do some shopping (and shipping) over the next 24 hours or lose my good standing as a father… Over the next couple of publications, we will write about this year through the rear-view mirror. 2018 […]
It seems like forever since I have been in the office for a full week. Well, this week is one of the rare occasions. A little home time as we run up to the Christmas and New Year’s holidays. A note about our publication schedule as we will be taking some time off between Christmas […]
JSW Ohio tried to run their EAF and caster today, but found they needed a couple of small fixes. The goal is now to melt their first heat and cast their first slab tomorrow (Friday). We continue to watch this closely as there will be an impact on the market once the mill has been […]
A couple of comments regarding possible price increase announcements as we go into first-quarter 2019 made today as I canvassed the flat rolled and plate steel markets pricing. “Mills appear to be much more sanguine on prices than I’ve seen in a while. I’m hearing them say that once all of the mills are done […]
JSW Ohio (former Mingo Junction mill) has been struggling to get their existing electric arc furnace (EAF) up and running. It was supposed to have fired up last week, but we were told there is an issue with the oxygen, and the new ETA first heat date is Monday or Tuesday of this week. I […]
It has been a busy week for Steel Market Update. I spoke at the HARDI annual conference in Austin, Texas, on Sunday and I was in Atlanta on Tuesday evening and Wednesday working with our web developers. I am in the office on Friday. Next week I will be in Toledo, Ohio, on Monday through […]