By CRU Economist Ippolito Tarabini and Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Exchange Rate Outlook Q1 2021 The latest foreign exchange market developments have shown the resilience of the dollar. Since the start of the year, the single most important driver of dollar strength has been U.S. fiscal policy, which has boosted expectations of U.S. […]
By CRU Economist Ippolito Tarabini and Multi-Commodity Analyst Zanna Aleksahhina, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor There is a global semiconductor shortage. It was ignited by strong demand for consumer electronics during the COVID-19 pandemic and it is now threatening auto production around the world. We expect it to reduce global vehicle output by around […]
By CRU Economist Ippolito Tarabini, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor The dollar has been extremely volatile over the past two quarters. Underlying this is macroeconomic uncertainty linked to the coronavirus pandemic. We expect such uncertainty and volatility to continue into Q4, but trade-weighted dollar and dollar-euro to be range bound around a stable trend. […]