By CRU Senior Analyst Helen O’Cleary The U.S. economy saw an impressive overall rebound through Q3, following severe Covid-19 disruption in Q2. We estimate that U.S. industrial production contracted 7.5% y/y in Q3, following a decline of 14.4% y/y in Q2. However, the momentum of the recovery is slowing as fiscal stimulus and the effects […]
By CRU Economist Anissa Chabib, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service 2020 has seen an unusual recession that was brought on by a pandemic. To match this, the shape of the recovery is likely to be equally unusual. The U.S. recovery is starting to lose momentum, with more slowing to come in 2021. Large uncertainties lie […]
Construction spending rose 1.4 percent in August primarily due to a robust residential construction sector, said the Associated General Contractors of America. AGC cautioned that without federal support, nonresidential construction will continue to stagnate. “The August spending report shows a stark divide between housing and nonresidential markets that appears likely to widen over the coming […]
Home prices continued to rise at a modest rate in July. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index reported an annual gain of 4.8 percent, compared to 4.3 percent in June. On a month-over-month basis the National Index grew 0.8 percent in July. The 20-city composite, actually 19 cities in July due to […]
Consumers continued to snap up new homes in August with sales up 4.8 percent from July and 43.2 percent higher than a year ago. Sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,011,000, reported the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. It was the first time since 2006 that the […]
Wholesalers who sell HVAC and galvanized steel products to the construction sector have been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of demand in a market dealing with the COVID pandemic. They have been downright shocked by the spike in galvanized steel prices, which have jumped by about $7/cwt or $140 per ton in just the past […]
Wholesalers who sell HVAC and galvanized steel products to the construction sector have been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of demand in a market dealing with the COVID pandemic. They have been downright shocked by the spike in galvanized steel prices, which have jumped by about $7/cwt or $140 per ton in just the past […]
Existing-home sales in the U.S. rose for the third consecutive month in August to their highest level in nearly 14 years. The National Association of Realtors reports a 2.4 percent increase in sales from July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.0 million and a 10.5 percent leap compared to August 2019. The median […]
By CRU Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen and Economist Anissa Chabib The U.S. economy has seen a faster than expected resumption of economic activity since the “stay at home” orders ended in May. Most notable has been the improvement in the labor market. The number of people who lost their jobs in March and April was […]
Housing starts fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.42 million in August due to declines in multi-family construction. Single-family housing starts rose 4.1 percent from July’s annual rate, but multi-family starts plunged more than 20 percent, according to data from U.S. Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department. Building permits […]
Builder confidence was at an all-time high in September, said the National Association of Home Builders. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) rose five points to 83, exceeding last month’s previous high of 78. The index is a strong signal that housing is leading the economic recovery, said NAHB. “Historic traffic numbers have builders […]
Economic activity increased modestly in most of the U.S. in August but remained well below pre-COVID-19 levels, said the Federal Reserve in its latest Beige Book publication. “Continued uncertainty and volatility related to the pandemic, and its negative effect on consumer and business activity, was a theme echoed across the country,” said the Fed in […]
The U.S. consumer’s confidence in the present situation has deteriorated drastically in response to the pandemic. The composite value of consumer confidence in August, reported by The Conference Board, was 84.8 with a three-month moving average (3MMA) of 91.6. The 3MMA has decreased from 130.4 in February. This indicator is quite volatile, therefore the moving […]
How much has the market recovered from the depths of the pandemic? If steel prices are an indicator, we’ve made some progress. But is the bump we’ve seen in the past several weeks just a temporary blip or a sign that the upturn in steel demand is real and sustainable? Service center and OEM executives […]
Home prices rose 4.3 percent in the June S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, matching the annual gain in May. The 20-city composite posted a 3.5 percent gain, slipping slightly from 3.6 percent in the previous month. Phoenix, Seattle and Tampa led the increases with year-over-year gains of 9.0 percent, 6.5 percent […]
Sales of new single-family homes soared 13.9 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 901,000 and the highest level in almost 14 years, according to estimates by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Compared to a year ago, sales surged 36.3 percent. The phenomenal increase stunned […]
Existing-home sales made a record monthly jump of 24.7 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.86 million. Sales have soared the past two months. “The housing market is well past the recovery phase and is now booming with higher home sales compared to the pre-pandemic days,” said Lawrence Yun, National Association of […]
China’s July crude steel output jumped 1.9 percent from June and 9.1 percent from a year ago to 93.36 million metric tons, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Steel demand rallied after declining during the pandemic-induced shutdowns and is now benefiting from Chinese stimulus measures that include infrastructure building and housing construction. Average daily […]
The housing industry continued to be a boost to the economy in July. Housing starts jumped 22.6 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,496,000 from the revised June rate of 1,220,000. Compared to a year ago, housing starts were up 23.4 percent. “Demand is being supported by low interest rates and […]
Nonfarm employment rose by 1.7 million in July, but from May through July has made back less than half the losses of March and April. The July jobs report was released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday and slightly exceeded analyst’s expectations by adding 1.8 million jobs. May’s job gain was revised up […]
The construction industry reported 20,000 new jobs in July, but almost all were in new housing construction, says the Associated General Contractors of America. “It is gratifying that the construction industry continued to add jobs in July, but last month’s gains were entirely in residential building and specialty trades,” said AGC Chief Economist Ken Simonson. […]
In three months through June, total construction expenditures had negative growth for the first time since November 2011. SMU Comment: Data in this report is not adjusted for seasonality. We remove this effect by considering only year-over-year data. Total construction contracted by 0.6 percent in June as a result of a 2.6 percent contraction in […]
Construction is slowing but still has positive growth driven by state and local building and infrastructure expenditures. Privately funded work is contracting. In August, construction expenditures were at an all-time high. Steel Market Update analyzes the Construction Put In Place (CPIP) data to provide a detailed description of activity that accounts for about 45 percent […]
Home prices grew at a little slower rate in May, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index. The National Home Price NSA Index posted an annual gain of 4.5 percent in May, down slightly from 4.6 percent in April. Data from the Detroit metro is unavailable for March, April and May due to COVID-19 […]
New home sales were robust in June, jumping 13.8 percent from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 776,000, according to estimates by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Sales were 6.9 percent higher than in June 2019 and at the highest rate since the Great Recession.. “While […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Iron Ore Market Outlook Iron ore prices fell by $2 /dmt in the past week as port stocks continued to rise on high arrivals from Australia, while steel production in China declined slightly. On Tuesday, July 21, CRU has assessed the 62% Fe fines price at $111.0 […]
Housing starts in June jumped 17.3 percent from May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,186,000. Single-family starts jumped 17.2 percent and multi-family construction leapt 18.6 percent. Regionally, housing starts soared 114.3 percent in the Northeast and climbed 29.3 percent in the Midwest and 20.2 percent in the South. Housing starts declined by 7.4 […]
Construction expenditures continued to show a positive but slowing year-over-year growth in May of 1.4 percent, non-seasonally adjusted. Because of the momentum that exists in most construction projects, steel consumption is likely to decline more slowly in building than in manufacturing. Steel Market Update analyzes Commerce Department Construction Put In Place (CPIP) data to provide […]
The Conference Board Employment Trends Index (ETI) increased in June, further stabilizing from sharp declines in recent months. The index now stands at 49.05, up from 45.27 in May. However, the index is still down 54.8 percent from a year ago. “The Employment Trends Index increased for the second consecutive month, but the virus’s recent […]
The U.S. manufacturing sector is gaining strength after months of contraction, say supply executives surveyed in the June Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The June PMI jumped 9.5 points to 52.6 indicating an expansion in the overall economy for a second straight month. “June signifies manufacturing entering an expected expansion cycle after the disruption caused […]