The International Monetary Fund has made an upward revision to its forecast for global GDP growth in 2018 and 2019. The IMF updates its World Economic Outlook (WEO) in April and October each year. The IMF blog last Tuesday stated: “The world economy continues to show broad-based momentum. Against that positive backdrop, the prospect of […]
Once each quarter, Steel Market Update publishes the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, but we include them in our reports because of the importance of China in the global steel scene, and these numbers are all that’s available. […]
Housing starts increased more than expected in March due to a rebound in multi-family construction. Housing starts grew 1.9 percent from February to March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,319,000. Year-over-year, housing starts leapt 10.9 percent, reports the National Association of Home Builders. Single-family housing starts were weak in March at a rate […]
Key market indicators tracked by Steel Market Update in March remain very positive, but took a small step back from the all-time highs reported in February. Data released in March shows that 18 of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 5 negative. The balance is within the band of historically normal. Trends deteriorated […]
Home prices continued to surge in January, according to the latest pricing index from Standard & Poors. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller national home price index showed a 6.2 percent annual gain in January, down from 6.3 percent in December. The 20-City Composite reported a 6.4 percent year-over-year gain, up from 6.3 percent in the previous […]
New home sales dipped 0.6 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 618,000, according to the latest data from the Department of Commerce. The rate was 0.5 percent higher than the February 2017 estimate. “The recent upward revisions to the sales numbers reflect our forecast for a gradual strengthening of the single-family […]
Existing-home sales rebounded in February after two months of declines, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Total existing-home sales jumped 3.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.54 million. Sales were 1.1 percent higher than a year ago. The median price for all housing types was $247,700, a 5.9 […]
Housing starts fell 7.0 percent in February, driven by a 26 percent plunge in multifamily housing construction, according to data from the Department of Commerce. Total housing starts were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.24 million units. Single-family housing starts rose 2.9 percent in February to a rate of 902,000. “The uptick in […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released another excellent employment report for February and revised the two previous months upward. February’s net creation of 313,000 jobs as reported by the BLS on March 9 was the best monthly result since July last year. To make the recent results even better, December was revised up by 15,000 […]
Net job creation in March, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday, dropped by 64 percent from February, but this was not as bad as it first looks. Figure 1 shows the 3MMA of the number of jobs created monthly since 2000 as the brown bars and the total number employed […]
The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year has slowed every month from January 2017 through January 2018. On a rolling three-month year-over-year basis, the situation is better, with growth improving every month from September through January. Hopefully, this trend will continue. Construction expenditures data is developed by the Department […]
The decline in value of the U.S. dollar on the international exchange markets has slowed in the last 30 days, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of currencies. Please see the end of this report for an explanation of data sources. The analysis of currency trends is a highly technical undertaking. Therefore, in this […]
Home prices jumped 6.3 percent in December, according to the latest data from the S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index. The 10-city composite increase was 6.0 percent, unchanged from November. The 20-city composite posted a 6.3 percent year-over-year gain, compared to 6.4 percent the previous month. On a month-over-month basis, home […]
Sales of new single-family homes dropped in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 593,000, according to the latest Department of Commerce data. January sales were 7.8 percent below December and 1 percent below the January 2017 rate. During the last three months, the average sales rate was 644,000. The median sales price was […]
Existing home sales fell for the second consecutive month in January, dropping 3.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.38 million, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. Compared to a year ago sales are down 4.8 percent, the steepest decline since 5.5 percent in August 2014. Inventory rose 4.1 percent […]
Housing starts in January jumped 9.7 percent from December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,326,000, according to data released by the Department of Commerce. Construction of homes of five units or more surged 19.7 percent, while single-family starts climbed 3.7 percent. Starts increased across three of the four U.S. regions, but dropped by […]
In December, total construction spending expanded by 1.4 percent year over year. Viewed in the longer term, however, the growth rate is slowing. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year slowed every month in 2017. On a rolling three-months basis, growth improved in October and December. On this three-month […]
Construction spending increased for the fifth consecutive month in December, but an infrastructure bill is needed to address growing deficiencies in transportation, water and wastewater infrastructure, says the Associated General Contractors of America in an analysis of new government data. “Construction spending ended the year on a high note, with gains over November levels for […]
The latest HARDI/ITR quarterly forecast expects accelerated residential construction in the U.S. through the first half of the 2018. Construction will slow in the second half as the U.S. enters a “brief and mild macroeconomic recession in 2019.” Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, the […]
Prepare for growth in the U.S. economy this year, says ITR Economics. The latest HARDI/ITR quarterly forecast predicts accelerated industrial production through the first half of the year and possible slowing in the second half. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, the Heating, Air-conditioning & […]
U.S. Department of Commerce data shows that new-home starts declined in December while building permit authorizations remained relatively flat. Housing starts dropped 8.2 percent in December from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,192,000. Compared to December 2016, starts were down 6.0 percent. Single-family housing starts were 11.8 percent below November’s […]
Total construction spending in the United States expanded by 1.3 percent in November, versus November 2016, but in the longer term the growth rate is slowing. On a rolling 12-month basis year over year, construction spending slowed every month in 2017. On a rolling three-months basis year over year, growth improved in October and November, […]
Total construction expenditures have turned around and grew by 3.9 percent in three months through February year over year. The growth of total construction on a rolling 12-month basis year over year has been constant at 2.1 percent for each month December through February. On a rolling three-month year-over-year basis, the situation is much better […]
New home sales surged in November to the highest pace since July 2007, report the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. The seasonally adjusted annual sales rate of 733,000 was up 17.5 percent from October and 26.6 percent from November 2016. Home prices averaged $377,100 in November with a median sales price […]
Existing home sales surged for a third month in November, increasing at their strongest pace in almost 11 years, reports the National Association of Realtors. Sales jumped 5.6 percent sequentially to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.81 million and were 3.8 percent higher year-over-year. The median home price for all types of existing housing […]
Housing starts surprised economists by jumping 3.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,297,000. Compared to November 2016, starts were up 12.9 percent. Starts of single-family homes jumped 5.3 percent to 930,000 units, the highest level since September 2007. Construction starts on buildings with five units or more in November inched […]
Construction improved in October, but the longer-term trend is for a slowdown in construction spending. Construction slowed every month this year through August on a rolling three-months year-over-year basis. The slowdown in the growth rate stabilized in September and October, improving from 0.5 percent to 1.5 percent. Construction expenditures data is developed by the Department […]
Overall construction spending reached a record high in October, totaling a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.241 trillion, an increase of 1.4 percent from September. However, government data analyzed by the Associated General Contractors of America shows public-sector infrastructure investments lagging behind other public and private spending. “There was healthy growth this October in both […]
Home prices continued to accelerate across the nation in September, posting the fastest annual rate increase since June 2014. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index showed home prices up 6.2 percent in September, compared to a gain of 5.9 percent in August. The 20-City Composite posted a 6.2 percent gain year-over-year, […]
New home sales jumped 6.2 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000 and a 10-year high. All regions of the U.S. recorded increases, according to data released by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. September’s seasonally adjusted annual rate was revised downward from 667,000 […]