SMU Data and Models
SMU MoMo Index Changes Course
Written by Brett Linton
August 27, 2014
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. turned negative this week after being in positive territory for the previous four weeks. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is measured as a percentage and shows the relation of the current hot rolled coil (HRC) price movements against the previous 12-week average spot price as recorded by Steel Market Update. MoMo was measured at -0.50 percent this week, meaning that the current HRC price is slightly lower than the average price over the last 12 weeks and the trend has been reversed from positive to negative.
The change in MoMo can be a useful indicator in depicting the severity of price movements and evaluating the directional trend prices may be in. The week-over-week change in MoMo was -1.43 percent, down from 0.00 percent the week before. Looking at this change on a 3-week moving average, we see that the trend in HRC price fluctuation is now showing a negative direction for prices after being positive for the previous six weeks. The 3-week average change in MoMo is -0.48 percent, down from +0.04 last week.
The interactive graph below demonstrates the relationship between the SMU hot rolled coil price and the three week moving average change in MoMo. Published in our Tuesday evening issue, the SMU HRC price range for this week is $670-$690 per ton with an average price of $665, down $10 from one week ago.
SMU Note: You can view the interactive graphic below when you are logged into the website and reading the newsletter online. If you have not logged into the website in the past and need your username and password, contact us at: info@SteelMarketUpdate.com or by calling 800-432-3475. If you need help navigating the website we would also be very happy to assist you.
{amchart id=”70″ SMU Price MoMo Index}
Brett Linton
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