SMU Data and Models
SMU Market Trends: It’s No Secret Prices are Rising
Written by Tim Triplett
January 21, 2018
Most steel buyers agree that prices are on the increase, it’s just a question of how high and how fast. About 92 percent of the respondents to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire concur that steel prices are heading higher, while the remainder say they see no clear price direction.
Following are some of their comments:
- “I believe we are headed higher, but the market is not as strong as recent price announcements would suggest.” Service Center/Wholesaler
- “All ‘drivers’ are pointed upward, but if scrap retreats in February or March, the upward movement of prices will be tested.” Steel Mill
- “Clearly input costs are rising and restrictions on trade will force prices to continue to rise.” Trading Company
- “We’re waiting on Section 232.” Manufacturer/OEM
- “Mills don’t know when to stop. The continued delay on Section 232 helps the mills. Now Trump has another three months to decide, so imports will be limited until he makes the final decision.” Manufacturer/OEM
Rising prices don’t necessarily ease the competitive pressures. Nine out of 10 service centers say they are passing the mill price hikes along to their customers, while 10 percent say they are keeping prices the same. As one service center executive observed, “There’s lots of margin pressure as some service centers are not yet raising prices.
Tim Triplett
Read more from Tim TriplettLatest in SMU Data and Models
Apparent steel supply picks up in July
Following June’s slump, the amount of finished steel entering the US market partially rebounded in July, according to SMU’s analysis of data from the US Department of Commerce and the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI).
SMU’s August at a glance
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of important steel market metrics for the previous month. Our August report includes data updated through August 30th.
SMU market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.”
SMU survey: Lead times edge higher for sheet
Current steel mill lead time averages are a few days longer than levels seen one month prior, but remain near historical lows for both sheet and plate products.
SMU survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices surge
Both our Current and Future Indices are now up to multi-month highs, indicating continued optimism among steel buyers.