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    SMU Price Ranges & Indices: Still Some Headroom

    Written by Brett Linton


    Steel prices cannot rise indefinitely without hitting a ceiling at which they begin to erode demand. But respondents to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week report no signs of weakening demand so far. It appears there’s still some headroom for price increases, as most flat rolled and plate tags moved up another $10-25 per ton. SMU’s benchmark price for hot rolled coil, which has been setting new records week after week since mid-January, is now at $1,340 per ton ($67/cwt), surpassing the prior high seen in 2008 by 25%. Sources tell SMU that at least one mill has offered hot rolled at $1,400 per ton ($70/cwt) this week, though we have not yet heard of any takers. With supplies critically tight and few spot tons available, buyers desperate for material may have to pay up. SMU’s Price Momentum Indicators continue to point toward higher steel prices over the next 30 days.

    Here is how we see prices this week:

    Brett Linton

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    Mills seek more scrap after lower prices fail to attract tons

    Several mills that bought October scrap early last week are still asking for additional supplies, scrap market participants said. The reason: the mills' initial prices did not attract enough of the raw material, they said. A trading source based in northern Ohio said three mills have contacted his firm seeking offers for additional tons. He said the mills asked for offers even if prices were higher than their original buys last week.

    Nucor increases spot HR to $1,240/ton

    Nucor said on Monday, Oct. 12, that its consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil will be $1,240 per short ton (st) this week, a $10/st increase from a week earlier. The CSP for HR coil from California Steel Industries (CSI) on the West Coast will be $1,305/st, up $15/st from the prior week. Nucor is still offering lead times of three to five weeks, according to the letter to customers. You can track mill price announcements on our website. Steel Market Update (SMU) published a weekly price assessment on Tuesday, Oct. 6, showing HR coil prices averaging $1,270/st, up $10/st from the previous week. We will update our prices on the evening of Tuesday, Oct. 13.

    Leibowitz: US steel prices skyrocket above world prices. Which are right?

    Steel markets in the United States now feature supply shortages. Spot tons are well-nigh unavailable, and even contract tons are scarce. Based on the available statistics, the US market for flat-rolled products is seriously constrained. The US economy is still the strongest in the world, and manufacturing output remains vigorous. But the available supply is tight. The reason is fairly obvious. US domestic supply has increased a bit. Meanwhile, imports have fallen significantly.