Ferrous Scrap

Scrap market chatter this month
Written by Ethan Bernard
April 4, 2025
In the final week in March, SMU polled scrap buyers on an array of topics, including market prices, demand, tariff policies, logistics, etc.
Rather than summarizing the comments we collected, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words, as well as providing you with a sampling of the survey results analysis available here.
Want to have your voice heard? Contact david@steelmarketupdate.com to be included in our market questionnaires. Already in its third month, the scrap market survey continues to gain steam. We can’t wait to hear from you.
Note that these responses all came in pre-Liberation Day. Grab some popcorn and tune in next month to see what happens next!
Where will busheling prices be in April?

“Demand, tariff fears.”
“Mills would be silly to push scrap down if they want to maintain current, finished pricing.”
“Expecting the market to be down $15-20 for April.”
“All other commodities dropping and mill outages.”
“Spring melt will free up scrap. Slowed auto production could still push the number for primes a little higher. Some strength to the iron ore market could also lend to stabilizing prices.”
“I think signals are mixed right now and overall uncertainty will have things volatile, but within certain parameters.”
Where will shred prices be in April?

“Increased supply and flow of obsolete scrap.”
“Shred will fall $10 more than prime.”
“Oversupplied.”
“Impact of tariffs and less automotive scrap due to slowdown in manufacturing.”
“Feedstock flowing and shredders dropping prices to get back a bit of margin from first two months of the year. Mills, I believe, know this and will try to take advantage. New steel on decline.”
Where will HMS prices be in April?

“Prices have already dropped.”
“Will follow shred.”
“Hearing down $20 for obsolete grades in multiple places. Exports are slow.”
“Not as much movement as primes.”
“HMS will be close to sideways. P&S will, however, drop because of oversupply.”
How is overall demand for domestic scrap?

“Stable to down. Will be dependent on what happens with overall tariffs.”
“Depends on level of imported scrap and level of exports.”
“Correction. Reflecting stability.”
“Tariffs.”

Ethan Bernard
Read more from Ethan BernardLatest in Ferrous Scrap

US scrap market looking soft for May
The domestic ferrous scrap market in the US is generally regarded as under downward pressure.

Export scrap market weak so far in April
The ferrous scrap export market has been thinly traded thus far in April in the Atlantic Basin.

HRC, prime scrap spread narrows in April
The price spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap narrowed in April after widening since January, according to SMU’s most recent pricing data.

US scrap tags drop in April as tariff fog continues
US scrap prices declined in April for all the grades tracked by SMU amid tariff uncertainty, according to market sources.

Ferrous scrap prices poised for sharp declines in April
Last week, much attention was focused on President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs and rightly so. They have thrown a big wrench into the market-reading business. Whether you are for them or against them, the potential outcomes are hazy, at best. Maybe we should not forget the basics, tariffs concerns notwithstanding. The basics of this ferrous […]