First, a note about our price ranges and indices published on Tuesday evening. One of the things that I saw during my collection process was what I perceived as strength or weakness in the numbers on certain products. What do I mean by that? When checking our flat rolled steel market trends survey results I […]
The unseasonably warm weather in February resulted in vehicle sales being stronger than expected. On a seasonally adjusted annual basis, sales were 17.58 million units. Truck sales continued to capture market share as gas prices remained steady and incentive spending remained high. Moody’s expect auto sales to settle in at about 16.5 million units later […]
Galvanized steel buyers need to continue to watch LME zinc pricing as there are reports out there suggesting higher zinc prices as 2017 progresses and into 2018. This will be one of the subjects touched on during our 7th SMU Steel Summit Conference at the end of August. With the mills just having announced new […]
Steel mill lead times are one of the key indicators of future direction of steel prices. Steel buyers must be aware of the amount of time it takes a supplier to produce and ship a new order. Lead times and balancing inventories go hand in hand. When lead times shrink, buyers can pull back on […]
Over the course of a few weeks, buyers and sellers of flat rolled steels changed their view of the direction of flat rolled steel price direction. In the middle of February only 14 percent of those responding to our flat rolled steel market trends analysis survey reported prices would move higher with the majority (52 […]
When we conducted our flat rolled market trends analysis during the middle of February we found 20 percent of our respondents had concerns regarding supply during calendar year 2017. The majority of respondents (63 percent) expressed no concerns about supply. As we move forward to last week the majority is still expressing no concerns about […]
We will begin a new analysis of the flat rolled steel market on Monday with our invitations set to go out at 8 AM on Monday morning. If you receive an invitation please take a moment to click on the link/button contained in the message which will take you to SurveyMonkey.com which hosts our questionnaire. […]
President Trump announced on Wednesday the rollback of fuel economy standards that were established by executive action near the end of the Obama administration. Speaking to automotive executives and workers in Detroit, MI, Trump said, “Today, I am announcing that we are going to cancel that executive action. We are going to restore the originally […]
Housing starts in February jumped 3 percent from January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,288,000. Single family starts gained 6.5 percent to a rate of 872,000 for its highest level in nearly ten years. Housing starts for buildings of five units or more were down 7.7 percent to 396,000. Regionally single family starts […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States remained in positive territory for the third consecutive week after briefly dipping into negative territory three weeks ago. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the previous […]
A quick note about our galvanized index: Effective today we are adjusting the coating extra being used on our .060” G90 galvanized benchmark items from $69 per ton to $78 per ton. We are continuing to use the US Steel extra for guidance. So, the change that you see in our G90 item is a […]
Below is the latest data release issued by the the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI) regarding residential and commercial heating and cooling equipment shipments through January 2017. You may read the press release on their website here. Residential Storage Water Heaters U.S. shipments of residential gas storage water heaters for January 2017 increased 1.8 […]
We are five and a half months (5.5) or 166 days away from the opening of our 7th SMU Steel Summit Conference in Atlanta, Georgia. We went over 100 registrations today and we expect 500+ registrations when we get into the month of August. There are four companies that we know of that will be […]
Twice per month, Steel Market Update conducts a detailed analysis of the trends impacting the flat rolled steel markets. We issue over 670 invitations to people associated with manufacturing, distribution, steel mills, trading companies and toll processors to assist us in our analysis. We finished conducting our early March research on Thursday of this past […]
The scrap market created a lot of buzz over the past two months that resulted in, so far, two domestic steel mill price increases totaling $60 per ton ($3.00/cwt). I got a note over the weekend from one of the national companies who told me about the scrap markets, “There is a sense the market […]
Optimism reigns supreme within the steel community and those responsible for buying and selling flat rolled steel products. The SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index set new record highs for both Current and Future Sentiment indices. Buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel set a new record high for a single data point at +77 for […]
Hot rolled average lead times remain extended at 4.38 weeks compared to the 3.79 weeks SMU was reporting one year ago. Cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume lead times were running close to or just below last year’s reported average. Lead time is the average amount of time it takes for a new order of a […]
Flat rolled steel mills have become less enthusiastic about negotiating prices for new orders of hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume steels. Based on the results of the flat rolled steel market trends analysis coming out of the survey we have been conducting over the past four days. We found 33 percent of the […]
The Dodge Momentum Index jumped 1.6 percent to 144.0 in February. The index, a measure of the initial planning for nonresidential building projects, made the gain from January due to an increase in institutional building activity. Planning for institutional buildings rose 4.4 percent last month while commercial planning dipped 0.3 percent. Dodge Data & Analytics […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States remained in positive territory for the second consecutive week after briefly dipping into negative territory two weeks ago. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the previous […]
During one of the breaks from the FMA/ASD/Tolling Processing meetings I am attending in New Orleans, I met with the head of commercial for one of the domestic steel mills. We had an interesting conversation about the negativity in the market not being backed up by actions. He was telling me that a number of […]
January data for Construction Put in Place (CPIP) was released by the Department of Commerce on Wednesday March 1st 2017. This was not such a great report. Total construction is still growing though more slowly. State and local construction are contracting. The contraction is not seasonal as we are considering year/year comparisons. At SMU we […]
Just to make sure that everyone saw this: SMU received a note from a Nucor spokesperson that their Louisiana DRI facility would be back up later this week, “Repairs at our Louisiana DRI plant are ahead of schedule and we plan to restart the plant this week. An equipment failure resulted in the need to […]
We at Steel Market Update (SMU) have been upbeat on the steel market for many weeks. We thought sharing our Key Market Indicators (KMI) with our readers would help everyone to understand our reading on the market and from where we get our core optimism. An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States moved back into positive territory this week following a brief negative dip last week. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the previous 12-week average price as […]
I decided to add the Key Market Indicators to tonight’s issue of Steel Market Update because I have been bullish on the steel industry and the report, which is normally shared with our Premium members only, has some good data in it explaining why I am optimistic. Please take a few minutes to review and […]
Automotive sales slowed overall in February. Ford and FCA saw declines of 4 and 10 percent, respectively. There were still some strong sales among auto manufacturers, notably, GM up 4.2 percent, Nissan 3.7 percent, Subaru 8.3 percent, Mercedes-Benz 7.2 percent, and Volkwagen Group up 13.3 percent year-over-year. WardsAuto puts light vehicle sales for February at […]
Home prices continue to rise and at a faster pace, according to the data from the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. Home prices in the National Home Price NSA Index posted a 5.8 percent gain in December, up 5.6 percent from November and setting a 30 month high. Seattle Portland and Denver had the highest year-over-year […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. This will explain the difference between our view of the present situation which is subjective and our analysis of trends which is based on the latest facts available. During February our view […]
I did a whirlwind trip to Philadelphia along with John Eckstein, one of our Steel 101 instructors, for a speaking engagement with a manufacturing company in the area. We provided a hybrid Steel 101/Steel Market Update presentation to a small group of executives. More and more this is something I am being asked to do […]