I am in California as we are conducting our 21st Steel 101 workshop. We have a great group coming as far away as New Jersey in the East, Singapore to the West, Washington state, Oregon, Indiana, Michigan, Texas and many more states. I want to thank California Steel Industries (CSI) and John Walburg for a […]
We are hearing reports from steel mills that their lead times have moved out and they have been able to collect some, if not most, of the $30 per ton price increase announced at the beginning of the month. Steel Market Update (SMU) is concerned as our research data is suggesting that service centers are […]
I have a 4 a.m. wake-up call as Diana, Brett and I head for California to conduct our next Steel 101 workshop. We have a great class and we are looking forward to meeting new people, working with California Steel again and trying to stay cool as temps are suppose to be above 90 degrees […]
Housing starts dipped 5.5 percent in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,092,000, from April’s revised estimate of 1,156,000, according to data from the U.S. Commerce Department. Single family starts dropped 3.9 percent, while starts for buildings with five or more units fell 9.8 percent. Regionally, total starts were flat in the Northeast and […]
With the announcement of a flat rolled price increase out of USS/POSCO, the table is now set for California Steel on the West Coast (which SMU’s Steel 101 workshop will be visiting on Thursday of this week), as well as the East Coast and Canadian steel mills, to make announcements of their own. Benchmark hot […]
As you can see by the number of articles in tonight’s newsletter, there is a LOT going on and we are working over-time trying to stay on top of everything. For that reason we have put off our MSCI articles until Sunday evening’s issue (we will actually publish them to the front of our website […]
There are a lot of moving pieces to this market. Government intervention into the natural flow of business is/will be impacting trade, steel prices and possibly where products get manufactured in the future. It is both a scary time and an exciting time to be in the steel business. For me, I am glad I […]
Domestic steel mills announced flat rolled steel (hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, Galvalume) price increases early last week. However, as is sometimes their want, especially when lead times are shorter than they would like, most of the mills gave their customers time to place orders at the existing prices quoted prior to the announcements. It […]
Below is the latest data release issued by the the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI) regarding residential and commercial heating and cooling equipment shipments through April 2017. You may read the press release on their website here. Residential Storage Water Heaters U.S. shipments of residential gas storage water heaters for April 2017 decreased 3.9 […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States remained negative this week for the seventh consecutive week, following an eight week streak of being in positive territory. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the […]
Late last week we got word from a steel buyer that the Indian steel mill – Uttam – was advising their customers of their intention to discontinue exports of light gauge galvanized steel to the United States. I did contact Uttam USA offices for comment and, as of this evening, I had not yet received […]
The sentiment among buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel remains largely positive, although concerns about the Section 232 investigation, the recent mill price hike and the coming summer slowdown have dampened the outlook for the market three to six months down the road, according to the latest SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index. As a […]
Flat rolled lead times have continued to decline over the past 10 weeks, according to this week’s SMU Flat Rolled Steel Market Trends questionnaire. Buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel report shorter lead times than in early May. Lead times on all products are considerably shorter than one year ago. Shorter lead times are […]
Lead times are declining, which reflects a possible softening of demand, thus domestic mills appear to be more willing to negotiate spot pricing on hot rolled, cold rolled, hot-dipped galvanized and Galvalume steels than they were earlier in the year. About 70-80 percent of steel buyers responding to this week’s flat rolled steel market trends […]
For those of you either attending or thinking of attending the 2017 SMU Steel Summit Conference in Atlanta on August 28, 29 & 30th our room block at the host hotel, which is the Atlanta Airport Marriott Gateway Hotel located next to the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC). Even though our room block is complete […]
April data for Construction Put in Place (CPIP) was released by the Department of Commerce on Thursday June 1st 2017. Total construction still has positive growth but slowed to 2.5 percent year/year in the latest three months of data. Privately funded projects are the growth engine as state and local and infrastructure both had negative […]
With the exception of ArcelorMittal and Cliffs Natural Resources, the U.S. steel industry passed on making statements about climate change and how much the steel industry has done over the past twenty years to minimize its carbon footprint and to reduce pollutants in the air and water. The rise of Electric Arc Furnaces (EAF) and […]
Multiple sources are advising SMU that California Steel (CSI) has announced a $30 per ton ($1.50/cwt) increase for production orders during the first two weeks of July. After that they will evaluate pricing and make a further announcement. We will investigate this further over the next couple of days and advise our readers what this […]
U.S. automotive sales in May are in reach of the 1.52 million units forecast by Edmunds and WardsAuto. WardsAuto is reporting a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 16.6 million for the month, just shy of its forecast for 16.8 million. Flat sales for the month would be welcomed by auto manufacturers that have seen sales […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. This will explain the difference between our view of the present situation which is subjective and our analysis of trends which is based on the latest facts available. We now have three […]
Home prices continued to rise in March, setting a 33-month high, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index. The Index gained 5.8 percent in March, up from a 5.7 percent annual gain in February. The 10- and 20-City Composite year-over-year indices were unchanged from the previous month with 5.2 […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States remained negative this week for the sixth consecutive week, following an eight week streak of being in positive territory. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the […]
I will be in New York City during this year’s Steel Success Strategies Conference. I just booked my hotel at the Marriott Marquise and for three days my total was just shy of $1700… Ugh. If you attend the SMU Steel Summit Conference and book while our room block is still available your cost for […]
For our USA customers welcome back from the Memorial Day Holiday weekend. Our scrap sources are advising us that as of today they are not aware of any cancellations of existing ferrous scrap orders by the domestic steel mills. This expectation is for a “soft sideways” market, meaning prices would remain the same, although there […]
Existing home sales dipped 2.3 percent in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales were 1.6 percent higher than in April 2016. Existing home inventory increased by 7.2 percent to 1.93 million in April, representing a 4.2 month supply at the current sales pace. […]
The Steel Market Update Steel Price Momentum Index (MoMo) for hot rolled steel in the United States remained negative this week for the fifth consecutive week, following an eight week streak of being in positive territory. MoMo is a trailing indicator and shows the relationship between the current U.S. hot rolled coil price movements against the […]
During the Section 232 hearing at the Department of Commerce yesterday, Wilbur Ross told U.S. Congresswoman Marcy Kaptur (OH) that his report on steel Section 232 will be on the President’s desk by the end of June. This coincides with the prognostication of trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz who felt the President could react by the […]
Sales of new single-family homes in April fell 11.4 percent from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 569,000, according to the Commerce Department. Sales were up 0.5 percent from the same month in 2016. The steep slide was unexpected following the ten year high of revised March sales of 642,000. Ian Shepherdson, chief […]
A number of the Steel Market Update prognostications for service center inventories and shipments came true (well, almost). We forecast daily shipments would rise on a tons per day basis to 108,400 tons per day. In actuality they rose to 111,100 tons per day. Since April 2017 only had 19 shipping days (according to MSCI) […]
Vehicle sales improved slightly from the previous month, but they were slower compared with the first quarter average and year-ago numbers. According to J.D. Power, incentive spending in April averaged about $3,500 per new vehicle—or approximately 10 percent of the average transaction price—which surpasses the previous peak for the month of April in 2009. Furthermore, inventories […]