Editor’s note: Steel Market Update’s source in China reports on recent remarks by Chinese economic expert Xiang Songzuo, who warned that the nation’s economy is showing signs of crashing. Xiang showed courage in being publicly critical of the government, which later banned his remarks from the internet. “You can look at the history: Only the […]
Manufacturing firms in New York State are less optimistic regarding future business conditions than they were in December. In the January 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey, the future business outlook index fell 13 points to 17.8. The indices for future new orders and new shipments plunged 15.3 points and 11.4 points, respectively. Overall business activity […]
When the public first learned the government was shutting down, many of us thought, “Glad I don’t work for Uncle Sam!” Now, as the shutdown extends its record as the longest in U.S. history, the effects are being felt well beyond the households of government employees. Even here at Steel Market Update. With government data […]
Indicators of economic activity in the U.S. do not predict an imminent recession, but the yield curve and housing permits should be on our radar screen. Recessions are defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the organization tasked with identifying when a recession starts and ends, as back-to-back quarters of negative economic growth. […]
Indicators of economic activity in the U.S. do not predict an imminent recession. This month we have revamped our recession monitor report to make it more time sensitive. The reason for steel people in particular to know where we are in the business cycle is that steel demand is related to GDP but is vastly […]
With the partial government shutdown in its 20th day, the political standoff in Washington over President Trump’s border wall remains focused on his $5.7 billion budget request. The larger question is whether a construction project of the scale the president has proposed is even feasible, at any cost. From a steel industry standpoint, the project […]
President Trump’s border wall could be made of three million tons of U.S. steel if he is able to get the funding for construction. In a bid to make his request more palatable to Democrats, Trump said the wall could be made of domestic steel from the companies he has made great again. “I’ll have […]
The U.S. labor market finished 2018 on a strong note. December was the first month ever for total nonfarm payrolls to exceed 150 million, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Unlike the Commerce Department and Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) remains funded under the current government shutdown. […]
Perhaps it’s because the year started out with so much promise that the end of 2018 seemed so uninspiring. On balance, most in the steel business would call 2018 a good year, some even a great year. But few look forward to 2019 with the same optimism and confidence they felt a year ago at […]
Job growth in 2018 shattered expectations, adding 312,000 jobs to the economy in December and 2.6 million for the year. Wages increased 3.9 percent after years of marginal growth, due in part to the shrinking labor pool available to fill vacancies. The construction industry saw unemployment decrease to a historic low of 5.1 percent in […]
The Association of Women in the Metal Industries (AWMI) will have new leadership beginning in 2019. Sonya Malvick was elected president of AWMI at the organization’s annual conference in St. Petersburg, Fla., in November. Malvick is a 25-year veteran of the steel industry, beginning her career at Zalk Joseph Fabricators and later moving to the […]
The year ended on a cautionary note with steel demand, prices and buyers’ sentiment showing downward momentum in December. Prices for flat rolled products continued their fourth-quarter declines with hot rolled dipping to $754, cold rolled to $865 and galvanized to $931 in December. Plate is the notable exception, holding steady around $1,000 per ton, […]
Manufacturing activity in the U.S. continued to expand in December, but at a much lower pace, according to the latest ISM Report on Business. The December PMI fell 5.2 percentage points to 54.1 with indexes for new orders slipping 11 points and production slipping 5.3 points from November. The average PMI score for 2018 was […]
Global manufacturing slid to its lowest level in 27 months, falling from a PMI of 52.0 in November to 51.5 in December, according to the latest J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). Manufacture of consumer goods was the only bright spot in December, growing to an eight-month high. Investment and intermediate goods were […]
Twas the night before Christmas 2017 Steel buyers were happy All nestled in their beds No thoughts of turmoil running about in their heads Little did they know Little did they dread 2018 was staring at them While dreams of sugar plums danced in their heads The last three months saw prices move […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The U.S. has strengthened its position in the global scrap market since Q1 2016. This is an analysis that we perform quarterly. We believe […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. In three months through November year over year, China’s steel production grew 18 times faster than the rest of the world. (Not a typo!) […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The growth of U.S. GDP in third-quarter 2018 came in at 3.36 percent, but the mix of contributors was concerning. On Friday, the Bureau […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is sharing the following Premium content with all its readers in this issue. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The U.S. dollar now has the highest value on the foreign exchange markets in over 16 years. In the last month, the dollar strengthened […]
The Architecture Billings Index remained positive in November and rose over four points to 54.7, according to the Wednesday release by the American Institute of Architects (AIA). This is the 14th consecutive month of increasing demand for architectural firms’ services and the strongest billings growth figure in 10 months. The project inquiries index rose to […]
Demand and pricing for nonprime or secondary steel products is a mixed bag, report Steel Market Update sources. Some segments of the secondary market are faring better than others. Lisa Goldenberg, president of Delaware Steel Co. of Pennsylvania, Fort Washington, Pa., reports recent weakness in secondary sales. With domestic mills running at 80 percent of […]
Trump administration tariffs will increase the tax burden on Americans, especially lower and middle-income households, and will cost the economy thousands of jobs, according to a new report from The Tax Foundation, a conservative-leaning tax policy research organization. Trump has placed tariffs on steel, aluminum, washing machines, and thousands of other products that American businesses […]
Business activity grew at a slower pace than in recent months in New York State, according to firms responding to the December 2018 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. Manufacturing firms surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that business activity continued to expand in December, though growth was noticeably slower than in recent […]
Demand for long products is booming, plate products are doing OK, sheet products are flat and tubulars are cratering. This analysis by SMU staff is based on data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and the U.S. Department of Commerce (DoC). The analysis summarizes total steel supply by product from 2003 through October […]
The employment situation continues to be excellent with job opportunities higher than the total number of unemployed. Rising employment and wages are the main contributor to GDP growth because personal consumption accounts for almost 70 percent of GDP. Steel consumption is related to GDP; therefore, this is one of the indicators that helps us understand […]
Scrap Metal Services LLC has announced major changes in the roles of executive management. Effective Dec. 12, CEO Jeff Gertler and COO Rick Gertler have moved into board level positions as chairman and co-chairman of the company’s newly formed board of directors. The two will oversee financial performance, business development and relationship retention, but will […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to include the following Premium content in this Executive issue. For more information about upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Economic indicators of U.S. manufacturing activity are strong, though growth is slowing. This report summarizes 11 data streams that describe the state of U.S. manufacturing in general and the […]
Most Federal Reserve districts saw their economies expand at a modest to moderate pace in October and November, but tariffs remain a common concern among manufacturers, who report widespread escalation in the cost of inputs, such as steel. So far, selling prices have risen with less intensity than input costs, they say, suggesting that price […]
The U.S. economy is on track to grow further next year, say purchasing executives surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management, continuing the trend that began in mid-2009. In its December 2018 Semiannual Economic Forecast, ISM reported that the manufacturing sector is optimistic about business conditions in 2019, with revenues expected to increase in 17 […]
Planning for new commercial building projects drove a 5.3 percent increase for the Dodge Momentum Index, resulting in a reading of 159.7 in November. The Momentum Index is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by […]