Metalforming companies are optimistic about business conditions for the first quarter of 2020. The January survey from the Precision Metalforming Association shows 32 percent of participants expect an improvement in economic activity during the next three months, up from 20 percent in December. The majority, 55 percent, forecast no change in activity, an increase of 1 […]
The Department of Commerce announced the affirmative final determinations in the antidumping duty and countervailing duty investigations of imports of fabricated structural steel from Canada (AD only), China and Mexico, and a negative final determination in the CVD investigation of FSS from Canada. Canada and Mexico have been assigned antidumping rates of 6.7 percent and […]
Durable goods orders rose 2.4 percent in December supported by a surge in defense spending. Defense capital goods increased 90.2 percent last month primarily due to orders for defense aircraft, the Census Bureau reported. The uptick in December orders follows a sharp decline in November of 3.1 percent, revised downward from 2.1 percent. Excluding the […]
U.S. gross domestic product had positive growth in every region of the country in each of the first three quarters of 2019, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis data. The BEA reports GDP by state and region on a quarterly basis. This data is released several weeks after the national report. The latest data was […]
The South Central region of the U.S. created the most jobs in the fourth quarter of 2019, with the Pacific in second place, based on government employment data. Fourth-quarter regional employment data by state was released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. The state data follows and confirms the employment situation that […]
Canadian steel producer Stelco will return Alan Kestenbaum to the position of chief executive officer, effective Feb. 21. Current CEO David Cheney will step down and return to his previous role at Bedrock Industries. Kestenbaum served as Stelco’s CEO from the closing of the company’s initial public offering in November 2017 until February 2019 and […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel The HR futures curve, while higher in the near months, has shifted lower from Q2’20 through the end of 2020. Recent index […]
The Architecture Billings Index rose for the third month in a row reaching 52.5 in December, according to the latest report by the American Institute of Architects. A reading above 50 indicates an increase in design services by architecture firms. Indices for new project inquiries and design contracts were positive, at 58.7 and 53.4, respectively. […]
Import/export steel prices lead the market higher, reported CRU experts in a webinar recorded on Jan. 17 as part of the monthly webcast series within CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service. The 25-minute presentation can be viewed any time by clicking the link below. Overview Matt Watkins discusses developments at the global level in the internationally […]
By CRU Analyst Chris Bandmann, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor Europe: Germany has not seen any significant snowfall yet this winter, and these mild conditions had the potential to support the continuation of construction activities. Construction companies entered their holidays regardless, however, and steel demand has settled into a seasonal low point. Even so, […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive-level members. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Based on Steel Market Update’s analysis of 10 indicators in January, the decline in U.S. manufacturing continues. This report summarizes 10 data streams that describe the state of U.S. […]
U.S and Canadian active rig counts increased this past week, according to oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The active drill rigs count is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods demand. The number of active U.S. rigs rose by 15 to 796, with oil rigs up […]
In January, we have replaced the British pound in this report with the Vietnamese dong in recognition that Vietnam is now a much bigger player in the global steel market than is the UK. The U.S. dollar has strengthened against 13 of the 16 steel trading nation currencies in the last three months. In this […]
The composite producer price index of commodities peaked in October 2018, then through December 2019 declined by 2.6 percent. This Steel Market Update report is an analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data and is intended to provide subscribers with a view of the competitive position of sheet steel, aluminum, plastic and wood. The analysis […]
The official economic statistics out of China show a decline in GDP to a level slightly lower than the depths of the global recession in 2009. China’s share of global steel production was 54.3 percent in November. Once each quarter we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive-level members. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subcription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. This month we have expanded our report on steel product downstream shipments and inventories to include total manufacturing. We are (but shouldn’t be) surprised by the result, which confirms […]
Manufacturing in New York State expanded modestly in January. The Empire State Manufacturing Survey’s general business conditions index gained 1.5 points to post 4.8 for the month. Shipments posted 8.6, down one point from December, but new orders gained 4.9 points to post 8.6. Unfilled orders continued to decline, delivery times were shorter, and inventories […]
American business is facing a year of opportunity and uncertainty, says U.S. Chamber of Commerce CEO Thomas Donohue. In an address on the State of American Business, Donahue points to a “patchwork” of state rules and regulations that will stifle the free flow of goods and services if left unchecked. Data privacy is one example […]
The number of jobs created in December declined from the excellent November result on a seasonally adjusted basis. Net job creation in December declined to 145,000 from November’s exceptional result of 256,000. October and November were both revised down by 10,000. Rising employment and wages are the main contributors to GDP growth because personal consumption […]
Job creation decline by 21.3 percent in 2019, compared with 2018, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The December employment reports were delayed by a week due to the holidays. In December, 20,000 jobs were created in construction and 12,000 jobs were lost in manufacturing. The private sector gained 139,000 jobs in December as […]
Indicators of economic activity through Jan. 10 data do not predict an imminent U.S. recession. In this report, we have identified eight indicators that have some predictive ability about the short-term likelihood of a recession (definition below). Viewed individually, these don’t offer much insight into the future, but viewed collectively they give subscribers a better […]
By CRU Analyst James Campbell, from the Steel Sheet Products Market Outlook 2019 was a bad year for the steel industry. Prices and margins collapsed and, outside of China, demand contracted. However, the combination of a new restocking cycle and reduced output in many markets allowed producers to raise prices and margins at the end […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
The three themes which will run through CRU analysis this year: China’s economic re-balancing, FX currency movements, and Environmental and Social Governance. 2020 brings opportunities and challenges for commodity markets. CRU has drawn on conversations between our market experts and people from all parts of commodity market value chains—from miner to end-use consumer—and we have […]
U.S active rig counts decreased this past week, as did Canadian rig counts, according to oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The active drill rigs count is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods demand. The number of active U.S. rigs fell by 9 to 796, with […]
The industry finished 2019 with steel prices on the rebound. Steel Market Update’s Steel Pricing Momentum Indicator pointed upward in December as the mills worked to collect higher prices announced in four waves beginning in late October. The benchmark price for hot rolled steel rose to more than $570 per ton by the end of […]
The December Manufacturing ISM Report on Business showed economic activity contracting in the U.S. last month. The PMI fell 0.9 points to 47.2 percent and its lowest reading since July 2009. A PMI below 50 indicates business is contracting and a reading above 50 indicates expansion. The December PMI marks the fifth consecutive month of contraction. […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive-level members. For more informtion on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The December report of Consumer Confidence from the Conference Board shows stability at a high level based on 10 years of history. Consumer confidence as reported by the Conference Board is […]
The Chicago Business Barometer remained in contraction with a reading below 50 in December, but rose 2.6 points to 48.9. An increase in production and supplier deliveries helped boost the PMI for the month, said MNI Indicators. The production PMI rose 4.9 points to 47.2 The index for supplier deliveries gained 5.1 points to register […]