Ford Motor Co. will idle some production of the F-150 pickup, the carmaker’s best-selling vehicle, due to the ongoing global semiconductor chip shortage, a company spokesperson told Steel Market Update (SMU). Ford’s Kansas City Assembly Plant in Claycomo, Mo., will begin the week-long downtime on Monday, Feb. 28. The Dearborn, Mich.-based automaker said the disruption […]
Sales of new single-family homes fell in January following a sharp upwardly revised reading the month prior. Last month’s 4.5% decline in new homes sales resulted from rising interest rates. The seasonally adjusted rate of 801,000 was steady because demand remains strong, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau reported. […]
You don’t need SMU pontificating about how the Russia-Ukraine conflict marks the end of the post-WWII order. Suffice it to say the world we woke up to today is vastly different from the one we reported on in our last edition. We’re also getting used to thinking about things we haven’t had to think about […]
For those of you who don’t pay attention to such things, today’s date is 2/22/22…. On Monday, Cleveland-Cliffs announced on their website their intention of indefinitely idling the #4 blast furnace at Indiana Harbor, and a $50 per ton ($2.50/cwt) price increase on orders slated for production in April 2022. Cliffs CEO Lourenco Goncalves spoke […]
The Tampa Steel Conference has wrapped up, and I thank all of you who attended and who took the time to catch up with me on stage or along the sidelines. Below are five themes that I took away from the event. If I were to sum it up in a sentence, it’s this: Steel […]
Builder confidence fell again in February despite strong demand from buyers, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). Home builder sentiment fell for the second straight month on ongoing building material production bottlenecks, which have pushed up construction costs and delayed projects. February’s HMI reading moved one point lower […]
Housing starts fell in January as builders reported continued supply-chain troubles leading to construction delays, according to the latest data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Despite the slow start to the year for new construction, building permits increased at a solid pace in January, signaling strong demand […]
Despite the fact that steel prices have plunged since last fall, industry sentiment has not fallen nearly as sharply and remains at a highly optimistic level – a positive sign for the first half of the year. Steel Market Update surveys buyers every two weeks and asks how they view their chances of success in […]
Spot market prices are moving and moving very quickly. One of the service centers I communicated with today said, “I’ve not seen a market downturn quite like this one (nor the upside either), and it’s making the discovery of legit pricing quite difficult. I will say, the one constant I keep hearing is that the […]
Steel mill lead times, which have shortened to near historical averages, are about as low as they will go and now register only minor movements up or down from week to week, based on Steel Market Update’s surveys of the market. Likewise, SMU’s data on negotiations between mills and buyers has reached a similar steady […]
Monthly Key Market Indicators improved slightly through January, showing promising signs of progress, according to the latest analysis by Steel Market Update. Following a more uncertain close to 2021, both neutral and positive indicators expanded, while negative indicators continued to ease. Though economic dynamics remain in flux, with supply-chain bottlenecks and rising inflation and producer […]
Service centers are the Dangerfields of steel—they just don’t get no respect. Sure, nobody likes to pay the middleman, especially when prices are plunging and margins are getting squeezed. But let’s face it, the supply chain wouldn’t work without them, especially today. Nine out of 10 service centers report they are lowering prices to their customers, […]
Prices contractors pay for construction materials jumped more than 20% in January versus the same period a year ago, reports the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) in its latest analysis of government data. The results have led AGC to urge federal officials to take additional steps to ease the industry’s challenges associated with volatile materials […]
Production at North American auto plants has begun to return to normal now that truckers protesting vaccine mandates have been removed from the Ambassador Bridge over the U.S-Canada border – a major supply route for the North American auto industry. Following a week-long blockade, traffic flow over the bridge Sunday night was a welcome sight for […]
Flat Rolled = 56.1 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 56 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories fell from their December highs, though the seasonal pick-up in demand in January was weaker than expected. At the end of January, service centers carried 56.1 shipping days of supply on an […]
U.S. heating and cooling equipment shipments in December rose 3.7% from November to 1.85 million units, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). Total shipment levels are up 2.4% from those seen one year prior. Recall that 2020 monthly shipment levels were somewhat erratic; shipments in the second quarter were significantly impacted […]
Michael Cowden and I will be joining more than 400 executives from steel mills, trading companies, manufacturing, distribution, logistics, as well as various warehouses and ports this week in Tampa. On Monday afternoon, we will begin the networking portion of the Tampa Steel Conference, now celebrating its 33rd year. There is still time to register, […]
Ford, Toyota and Honda continued to see production disruptions at various factories due to ongoing protests by anti-vaxxers blocking the Ambassador Bridge, the busiest international border crossing in North America. The auto industry has struggled to get parts over the U.S.-Canada border as the protest by truck drivers at the bridge had entered its fifth […]
On the price front, we’re below $1,200 per ton ($60 per cwt) for hot-rolled coil the first time in almost exactly a year, which had me going back and checking some of the headlines we had a year ago. A recurring theme is that just about everything that happened last year is happening in reverse […]
General Motors, Ford, Toyota, Honda and Stellantis have all been forced to temporarily halt production at assembly plants in the U.S. and Canada due to truckers that are blocking critical roadways in protest of COVID vaccine mandates. Detroit-based GM, the largest of the “Big Three” automakers in the U.S., was forced to cancel two production shifts […]
North American auto assemblies expanded in January after falling to 2021’s second lowest monthly total in December. January’s production total was up 12.6% sequentially, but down 4.1% from the same month last year. Supply-chain and microchip limitations continue to impact the automotive sector despite broad production improvements across North American automakers. As a result, assembly […]
Were it not for persistently strong steel demand, the plunging steel prices would be an unmitigated disaster. About 70% of the service center and manufacturing execs responding to SMU’s survey a week ago described demand for their products as stable. Another 20% even said they see demand improving. Just 10% have registered declines in demand […]
The Dodge Momentum Index fell in January by 7.0% and to a four-month low, according to data and analytics from the Dodge Construction Network. The index registered 152.9 last month versus a revised December reading of 163.7. In January, commercial planning fell 9.0% while institutional planning moved 1.0% lower. The index had a stellar 2021, […]
We are but one week away from the start of the 33rd Tampa Steel Conference. When I checked registrations mid-week last week, we were just a few executives short of 400 attendees. I now anticipate we will exceed my original goal of 300-400 attendees, which would make this the best-attended in-person Tampa Steel Conference since […]
Ford Motor Co. and Stellantis N.V. – Chrysler’s European parent company – are temporarily halting or have recently halted production at some assembly plants because of the continuing global microchip shortage. Ford will idle production at its Chicago Assembly Plant and its Michigan Assembly Plant in Wayne, Mich., from Feb. 3-13. The downtime will impact production […]
Steel Buyers Sentiment, as measured by Steel Market Update, has inched downward since the beginning of the year and may finally be reflecting the market’s concerns about sharply declining steel prices. While sentiment readings in the 60s are the lowest they have been since last spring, they remain at very optimistic levels on the 100-point […]
I was going to write something today about steel prices, lead times and the spreads between various products. There is a lot to write about there. And I’ll come back to it on another day. I’m tapping the brakes on prices today to touch on something just as important and just as disruptive: persistent shortages […]
Steel mill lead times have shortened to what is considered nearly normal by historical standards, with hot rolled lead times below four weeks and cold rolled and coated around six weeks, plus or minus. In other words, the time it takes the mills to make steel and process orders can’t get much shorter. But the […]
With steel prices continuing to plunge, buyers clearly hold the upper hand in price negotiations with the mills – a position they have enjoyed for the past two months as seen in the upward slope of the green bars in the chart below. Every two weeks, Steel Market Update asks readers: Are you finding the […]
U.S. construction spending edged up in December, though monthly outlays were down in nearly a dozen nonresidential subcategories. Construction spending rose 0.2% above the upward revised November figure and 9.0% above the same year-ago period, the Commerce Department reported. The Census Bureau’s report on construction shows spending on private construction projects rose 0.7% in December. […]