Tonight I thought I would present a question posed to me within the past couple of days and ask for your input in answering the question. How would you respond to this? Has the steel industry in the US stopped following laws of economics or are we living the great delusion of “ok” demand? Consider […]
US Steel Corp is realigning its flat-rolled operations and management as part of its Carnegie Way transformation. The flat-rolled facilities will report through three consolidated commercial entities: Automotive Solutions, Consumer Solutions, and Industrial, Service Center and Mining Solutions. “The commercial entities have worked to position our company to be best-in-class in innovation, customer service and […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. The total number of indicators considered in this analysis is currently 36. Please refer to Table 1 for the view of the present situation and the quantitative measure of trends. Readers should […]
The following is the Chicago Federal Reserve statement followed by our own graphical analysis. The CFNAI is an excellent reality check for much of the economic analysis that we routinely provide in The Steel Market Update and is also a reasonably good predictor of the direction of steel demand with a six to nine month […]
Total housing starts in October were at an annual rate of 1,060,000 which was the lowest number since March. In October the three month moving average (3MMA) was 1,122,000 which was down from 1,153,000 in September and from 1,160,000 in August. August had the highest 3MMA since the recession so the sky is not falling. […]
Demand for architecture design services has been increasing for most of 2015 in nearly all construction project types, according to the American Institute of Architects. AIA’s Architecture Billings Index dropped slightly in October to a score of 53.1 from 53.7 in September. A score above 50 indicates an increase in billings and design services. The […]
Housing starts fell to a seven month low in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.06 million, 11 percent below September’s revised rate of 1.105 million, said the Commerce Department on Wednesday. Economists at Reuters, Bloomberg and Wall Street Journal all anticipated a rate of 1.16 million for the month. Multi-family construction, including […]
New Star Metals is changing its name to Material Sciences Corporation. New Star acquired MSC in March 2014 which remained in operation under the MSC brand. “We have an aggressive growth plan and believe we should go to market as one team – Material Sciences Corporation,” said CEO Patrick Murley, CEO of New Star Metals […]
The HARDI wholesalers held their monthly galvanized steel conference call earlier today. During the call the wholesalers provided insights into business conditions affecting the companies and discussed the status of the flat rolled steel markets. HARDI wholesalers supply galvanized sheet and coil steels to the mechanical contractors associated with residential and commercial construction in North […]
Based on Steel Market Update (SMU) analysis of the recently released MSCI service center inventory and shipment data, total service center carbon steel shipments increased by 104,700 tons in October to 3.201 million tons. Shipping days at 22, were up by one from September. On a tons per day basis (t/d) shipments decreased from 147,900 […]
Ryerson Holding Corp, a distributor and processor of metals, reported revenue of $790 million in third quarter, down 6 percent from second quarter and down 16.7 percent from Q3 2014. Net income was $6.7 million compared to income of $15.8 million in Q2 and a net loss of $34.7 million in Q3 2014 which included […]
For those of you who have been steady readers and members of Steel Market Update you know that the purpose of my Final Thoughts is for me to voice some of my thoughts and opinions on a wide range of topics. I am going to use this forum today to speak about what I am […]
Although the Dodge Momentum Index has been on a generally upward trend this year, it has been a roller coaster ride. The Index took a large leap of 5.2 percent in September which was nearly reversed by a decline of 4.8 percent in October. Both commercial building and institutional building indexes declined last month by […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) analysis of non-farm employment reported on Friday that 271,000 jobs were added in October, which was well above economist’s consensus expectations. August’s gains were revised up by 17,000, but September’s were revised down by 5,000. This followed September’s result of 137,000 which was well below consensus expectations of about […]
The Q4 2015 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices was released on November 2nd. This survey addresses changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households on a quarterly basis and is based on the responses from 69 domestic banks and 23 U.S. branches and […]
Each month the Commerce Department issues its Construction Put in Place (CPIP) data, usually on the first working day covering activity two months earlier. September data was released on Monday November 2nd. Construction Put in Place is based on spending work as it occurs, estimated for a given month from a sample of projects. In […]
The Steel Market Update (SMU) Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is continuing its downward trend, even though the Current Index is 4 points higher and the Future segment of the Index is 9 points higher than what we reported during the middle of October. The numbers we follow closely are our 3 month moving averages (3MMA) […]
US Steel continues to utilize its Carnegie Way initiative to find cost savings throughout the company to offset the challenges of unfairly traded imports, lower order rates, and falling steel prices. In third quarter 750 projects were completed, raising the total number of projects contributing savings benefits to the company this year to almost 2000. […]
The Institute of Supply Management released their October report on November 2nd. An explanation of the ISM index is given at the end of this piece. After seven straight months of decline the three month moving average (3MMA) of the index had positive growth on a month over month basis in June and July but […]
Altos Hornos de Mexico (AHMSA) reported a net loss of 1.28 billion pesos ($77.8 million) for third quarter 2015, almost double its loss from the same period in 2014. Revenue dropped to 10.2 billion pesos ($619 million) for the quarter. Steel production fell 1.16 percent to 922,138 tonnes. Production of thermal coal increased 5.31 percent […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. The total number of indicators considered in this analysis is currently 36. Please refer to Table 1 for the view of the present situation and the quantitative measure of trends. Readers should […]
Big River Steel and Nucor were back in court on Wednesday arguing over Nucor’s claim that legal requirements were not followed in granting an air permit to Big River Steel. The Arkansas Court of Appeals will decide if the permit was properly issued. “We’re dealing with a very motivated opponent, Nucor, who wants to stop […]
Cliffs Natural Resources reported net income of $6 million for third quarter compared to a net loss of $6.9 million in Q3 2014. Cost cutting brought US Iron Ore Operations cash production costs down 16 percent to $49 per ton; Asian Pacific Iron Ore cash production costs decreased a record 49 percent to $27 per […]
The following is the Chicago Federal Reserve statement followed by our own graphical analysis. The CFNAI is an excellent reality check for much of the economic analysis that we routinely provide in The Steel Market Update and is also a reasonably good predictor of steel demand with a six to nine month lead. For example […]
The states compile their employment numbers independently of the Feds then both are reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The results are very close. In the last six quarters since Q1 2014, the Feds reported total job creation of 4,849,000 and the states reported 4,475,000. Figure 1 and Figure 2 show the history of […]
Swedish steel company SSAB posted a loss of SEK 191 million ($22.4 million*) in third quarter. Earnings were down by SEK 600 million ($70.4 million) due to lower margins on heavy plate in North America, the costs of relining the blast furnace in Lulea, and negative currency effects. The company plans to cut approximately 500 […]
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. posted net income of $54.4 million in third quarter despite falling prices, decreased sales, and a restructuring charge of $55.5 million related to businesses serving the energy industry. End market demand was relatively steady in third quarter, except in the energy market where shipments dropped approximately 40 percent year over […]
Nucor third quarter earnings exceeded analyst expectations with earnings per share of $0.71 compared to estimates of $0.49. Nucor posted net income of $227.1 million, up from $124.8 million in second quarter due to a larger than forecasted LIFO credit and improved performance in the steel segment. Consolidated net sales were $4.23 billion on shipments […]
Total housing starts in September were at an annual rate of 1,206,000 which was only the second time to break 1,200,000 since the recession. The first was in June. In September the three month moving average (3MMA) was 1,163,000 which was also the second best month since the recession. The best month was last month, […]
The September Architecture Billings Index rebounded from August’s dip into negative territory. September’s ABI score was 53.7 up from 49.1 the previous month, continuing the see-saw pattern the index has shown throughout 2015. “Aside from uneven demand for design services in the Northeast, all regions are project sectors are in good shape,” said AIA Chief […]