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    U.S. GDP Declines in 2020 Despite Recovery in Q3 and Q4

    Written by David Schollaert


    U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) finished 2020 with annualized growth of 4.3% in the fourth quarter, a slight upward adjustment based on the third estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The third estimate included upward revisions to private inventory investment that was partly offset by a downward revision to nonresidential fixed investment. 

    An annualized GDP growth of 4.3% in Q4 is rather remarkable considering what transpired in 2020. Following the sharpest decline in U.S. history in Q2, GDP fell by a negative 31.4% during the height of the global pandemic, but bounced back strong with the highest jump ever recorded at 33.4% in Q3. Still, for full-year 2020, real GDP declined by 3.4% versus 2019, the worst year for the economy since 1946.

    David Schollaert

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